Southampton vs. Newcastle Pick – Premier League November 6, 2020

Southampton welcomes Newcastle to St Mary’s Stadium for a Premier League match on Friday in England. There are two EPL games on the schedule today, with Brighton and Burnley playing in the other contest. It’s early in the season as we go into the eighth matchday this weekend. Liverpool is predictably at the top of the table with a record of 5-1-1 and 16 points.

Leicester is within a point, while Tottenham is two back. It’s highly likely that we see Liverpool raising the trophy in the Premier League again. Manchester City have been slow starters with a record of 3-2-1 for 11 points. If you like them, it might be in your best interest to bet them to win now.

Southampton was a mid-tier club last season with a record of 15-7-16. Far from the Europa League or Champions League qualification, but far enough away from relegation. Newcastle were two spots behind Southampton with a record of 11-11-16. There wasn’t much to get excited about for either squad last year.

In their last trip on the pitch, Southampton looked good offensively in what looked like was going to be a comfortable win for the visitors. Southampton held a 4-1 advantage before Aston Villa netted a couple of goals to cut it close in extra time. They were up 4-0 before Aston Villa got on the board at the 62 minute mark.

Southampton had already taken their foot off the gas at that point. Can’t say I liked the prevent defence from them, though. Southampton will have to go back into game mode after they relaxed following their big 4-0 lead on the road. If Southampton go into this one with the same attitude that they did in the second half versus Aston Villa, then they’ll be passed over by Newcastle in this one.

Newcastle are coming off a 2-1 win over Everton at home. They’ve been up and down so far this season, which was pretty much a snapshot of last year. Getting into a groove has been difficult for them. Head below for our free Southampton vs. Newcastle pick for November 6, 2020.

Southampton vs. Newcastle Premier League Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Southampton -0.5 (-115)
  • Newcastle +0.5 (-105)
Moneyline:

  • Southampton (-109)
  • Newcastle (+300)
  • Draw (+230)
Total:

  • Over 2.5 (-109)
  • Under 2.5 (-125)

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Southampton vs. Newcastle Prediction:

Southampton have been in terrific form over their last five outings. They haven’t lost a match since September 20 against Tottenham. That wasn’t their best effort at all, as Tottenham cleared Southampton for a 5-2 victory. Since then, Southampton have been winners in four of five games, with a draw against Chelsea. Southampton scored in extra time to secure a point versus Chelsea on the road. Tough beat for Chelsea backers, but a big draw for Southampton. They followed up with a win over Everton, 2-0, and Aston Villa, 4-3.

The offence has been chewing up defences recently at a tune of 2.75 goals per game in their previous four performances. They’ve scored at least 3 goals in those two games and 2 in the other two. The bad news for Southampton is that they lost Jan Bednarek to injury against Villa. He left the match going into the second 45 and did not return. At home on Friday, they should be able to manage without Bednarek, though. After Bednarek left the pitch, Southampton weren’t in the attacking mood up 4-0 and nearly allowed their lead to slip away.

Newcastle has scored 1.43 goals per game, while conceding 1.57 goals a game this campaign. That sounds about right for Newcastle. They’ve gotten accustomed to being a mediocre club. They’ve tasted a little of everything in their last three matches, with a 4-1 loss against Manchester United at home, a 1-1 draw versus the Wolves, and 2-1 win against Everton at home. I foresee Newcastle making this a competitive game on the road. However, give the edge to Southampton based on their recent offensive form. They are really moving the ball well, and even without Bednarek, should be able to eke out a 2-1 win.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.