In the final match of group play the nation of Sweden may not be tuning in considering their side is already done and dusted. The French, on the other hand, still have a great likelihood of advancing and proving to the world that they are yet again one of the most talented sides in this whole European Championship. While France opened up their group play with a 1-1 draw against England, they improved in their second match with a full 3 points in their game against Ukraine. Now, as they face an opponent that will be hard to judge, the French side has really got to dig deep for a result. We know that Sweden is unable to advance, but they would love nothing more than to take France down with them; something they are able to do with a victory.
Coming off of a 2-0 shutout of hosts Ukraine, France will be looking to send another team packing when it comes to Sweden on Tuesday. The one part of their game that may be lacking is in the attacking third of the pitch. Apart from Karim Benzema there is not really a solid striker in the group. This is something that can not only hurt them in their final group match, but also the rest of the tournament, should they make it that far. Samir Nasri has been a bright spot in the attacking third, but he is coming from his midfield spot and it would be nice to show some more attacking prowess from the forwards.
It was in their last match against England where Sweden’s fate was decided. A 3-2 loss was all it took to seal the fate of a Swedish team who many expected to yield a better showing at this year’s Euros. Olof Mellberg and Zlatan Ibrahimovic cannot leave Poland and Ukraine too disappointed because they were able to produce goals, and a lot of them. Sweden’s problem makes its home in defense because any time you concede 3 goals in one match you are going to be providing yourself with a tall deficit to overcome. The overall lack of team chemistry seemed to doom Sweden from the start and their opening match loss to co-hosts Ukraine really set the tone for this side. Coming in to their final game you can expect the Swedes to look for at least one point to take home with them, but against a French side that still has everything to play for, the chances of Sweden escaping with even a goal are looking slimmer and slimmer by the second.
As you would expect, Bovada.lv has Sweden being the heavy underdog and they sit at +475 on the moneyline. France, the favorite, is currently at -160 on the moneyline, and a draw is sitting at +280.
I think that France is going to come away with the all-important victory simply because they will want it more. When it comes down to it, one team has nothing to play for and the other still has a shot of winning the tournament, or at least advancing to the knockout stages if nothing else. Look for a slow start where France establishes possession and then uses it to their advantage.
Pick: France to win (-160)