Torino vs. Lazio Pick – Serie A June 30, 2020

It’s a big day of Series A action in Italy on Tuesday. Two of the most important clubs in Serie A, Lazio and Juventus, are both on the pitch today. They won’t be playing each other, but it’s still a notable day for these two rivals. It took Juventus a minute to wake up following the Serie A shutdown. They lost in penalties against Napoli in the Coppa Italia for what was a disappointing result for Ronaldo and company.

Before going back into the Serie A schedule, they were able to get a couple of matches to shake off the rust, though, so that’s the positive that Juventus can take from that. Since Ronaldo and manager Maurizio Sarri had discussions regarding their ongoing issues and offensive struggles, the Old Lady have been flying high. They’re coming off two textbook wins over Bologna and Lecce by scores of 2-0 and 4-0.

The two wins put Juventus 4 points up on Lazio for the Serie A title. Lazio have to win down the stretch and hope for help along the way. With ten match days left for Lazio and Juventus, there is still time left on the calendar for Lazio to play catch up with Juventus. They just have to keep their fingers crossed that Juventus turn cold again. However, unfortunately for Lazio, Juventus were cold during the Coppa Italia and are playing better football now.

Lazio are coming off a 2-1 win over Fiorentina on Saturday. It was a nice response after losing 3-2 against Atalanta. Atalanta are a tough club that you can’t sit back against. Their offence just keeps coming despite issues on the other end of the pitch. Lazio took their eyes off Atalanta for a minute and they lost while Juventus won to gain a bigger lead on the table.

Torino will play host to Lazio on Tuesday at Olympic Grande Torino Stadium. They’re on the heels of a porous effort against Cagliari where they suffered a 4-2 loss. Torino opened post-lockdown mode with an expected 1-0 win against lowly Lecce. I’m not going to say that was a terrific performance against a struggling Lecce squad, though.

Torino are 9-4-15 on the season with 31 points. Conversely, Lazio boasts a mark of 20-5-3 and 65 points going into Tuesday. That has them 4 points behind Juventus for the league title, with Inter Milan 4 points back of Lazio. Head below for our free Torino vs. Lazio pick for June 30, 2020 in Serie A.

Torino vs. Lazio Serie A Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Torino +0.5, +1 (-109)
  • Lazio -0.5, -1 (-111)
Moneyline:

  • Torino (+340)
  • Lazio (-135)
Total Points:

  • Over 2.5, 3 (+100)
  • Under 2.5, 3 (-120)

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Torino vs. Lazio Prediction:

Lazio needs a good performance on Tuesday. If Juventus win and Lazio earn no points, or even a point, the gap is going to get a whole lot bigger between the two clubs. Juventus have a winnable match ahead of them against Genoa, so Lazio must be focused in this one. If they do come focused, then 3 points is going to be within reach.

Lazio played Torino earlier in the season on October 30, 2019 and it was a clinic. Torino were no match, as they fell by a score of 4-0 against the dominant Lazio. The stats were lopsided in favour of Lazio, with 19 shots and 8 on target, as opposed to just 9 shots and 2 on target for Torino. Lazio were awarded 8 corners, while Torino had none. Lazio will have to go on the road this time, though.

Overall on the season, Lazio has converted for 2.29 goals per match, while conceding 0.96 goals per match. Their numbers regress on the road, but they’re still dangerous with 1.77 goals per match and 1.23 conceded. The problem for Torino is that they haven’t been able to take advantage of homefield in this campaign.

An empty stadium with no fans can’t help matters either. Torino has scored just 0.83 goals per match, while conceding 1.64 goals at home in the 2019-20 Serie A season. They’ve actually been more productive on the road than at home.

Like they had to do against Cagliari in their 4-2 loss, Torino will once again be without Simone Zaza and Daniele Baselli. Cagliari are a 10-8-10 club, so it wasn’t really a good loss for Torino. They’re about on the same level as mid-tier clubs, but Torino didn’t look like they belonged on the pitch with Cagliari.

Their effort will have to be ten times better to compete against Lazio. I think they will for most of the first-half, though expect to see Lazio open things up later. The looks of a 2-1 or 2-0 win for Lazio appears to be realistic on Tuesday. They have to play a desperate brand of football here to keep Juve within reach, and I think they will come out with enough fire to get the win as a visitor.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.