Turkey vs. Wales Euro 2020 Pick – June 16

Turkey and Wales will meet in Azerbaijan on Wednesday afternoon in a crucial Group A tie in which both sides need a positive result.

Turkey were soundly outplayed and thoroughly beaten in the opening match of the tournament against the host Italians, and will be looking to start off on a better foot against a lower-ranked Welsh side. Many anticipated the Turks could be seen as a potential darkhorse squad at Euro 2020, and they will be in desperate need of a better showing if they do want to live up to that billing.

For Wales, they at least secured a result against the Swiss – but were pretty fortunate in doing so. A late Swiss tally was ruled out by VAR, and Wales were pretty much dominated across all 90 minutes of game action. They didn’t generate much by way of expected goals, and couldn’t disrupt the flow and passing of the Switzerland attack. It’s likely only going to get tougher for the Welsh as they progress through a tough group, and they too will be keen on putting forth a stronger effort on Wednesday.

With both sides in desperate need of results, it should make for a pretty intriguing showdown between these two sides. Expect both Wales and Turkey to push for offense, and a victory – as that is likely their only way forward in a tightly contested Group A. For more team news and a betting breakdown, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our take on this Group A match-up. Enjoy the game, folks!

Wales vs. Turkey Betting Odds:

Wales (+240)
Turkey (+140)
Draw (+210)

Turkey -0.5 (+140)
Wales +0.5 (-160)

Over 2 (-110)
Under 2 (-110)

*Betting odds provided by BetOnline.ag

Wales vs. Turkey Pick:

Expect the Turks not to tinker too much with their lineup heading into their crucial match vs. the Welsh. Manager Senol Gunes will again look to a 4-1-4-1 formation to push them forward, clogging up the middle of the pitch with solid play and physicality from their five midfielders.

Although Turkey showed some bad signs of poor defending vs. Italy, they remain a quality side that can generate something from nothing. The Welsh don’t have the same goal-scoring threats, and we should see an improved showing from the Turkish defense, one that is normally quite solid without the ball.

One area the Turks need to be better in for Wednesday is generating chances at goal, and retaining possession. Those are two staples to the Turkish attack, and more will be expected of Burak Yilmaz atop their formation. Yilmaz can score at will, as was seen in Ligue 1 this past season – and he’ll be keen to test a Welsh defense that conceded many chances against a Swiss side with a questionable attack. Look for the Turks to push the pace and dictate tempo with a more pressing offensive approach.

Wales will counter with a 4-2-3-1, again keen to sit back and strike on the counter with their pace out wide. That said, you have to wonder if that style is working given what we all witnessed in their opening clash. Gareth Bale didn’t seem to make a difference, nor did a banged-up Aaron Ramsey. Their best pieces are likely past their prime, and the next wave isn;t quite ready to take over just yet either.

The Welsh have the ability to have a proper go at a Turkey back-line that showed weakness vs. Italy, but without Daniel James, Bale, and Ramsey firing on all cylinders – it seems unlikely they can properly trouble the Turks. One potential addition would be Harry Wilson into the squad, as his passing ability and creativity could help unlock stingy defenses.

Expect to see a different and more assertive Turkey side in their second game. Italy was just in a different class, while the Turks have the pace to hang with the Welsh speed, and more quality over the pitch. While Wales might boast more recognizable names to the casual North American soccer fan, Turkey is a side that is well set-up to trouble the Welsh. They’re quick enough to negate the counter, and skilled enough to break down their defense, much like the Swiss did, and with better finishers. Expect Burak Yilmaz to play a key role in a Turkish victory on Wednesday.
My Pick
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euro 2020
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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