Wolves @ Brighton EPL Pick – October 27th

Welcome to my EPL Draw value soccer picks, where I’ll be looking to exploit the bookies with value plays for our readers. The next pick features Brighton taking on Wolves with the hosts looking to register a third win on the trot in the English top flight. — Kickoff: 1000hrs (EST)


Brighton head into Saturday afternoon’s clash with Wolves on the back of two 1-0 victories over West Ham United and Newcastle United respectively, and the hosts will be eager to add a third success here.

These recent back-to-back wins would have been welcome relief for Chris Hughton’s side who had previously gone five league matches without a win, a run that included defeats to Liverpool, Tottenham and Manchester City.

However, six points from the last two matches have helped lift The Seagulls away from the bottom three and the relegation zone, and with just one defeat at The Amex Stadium so far this season, the home side will be confident they can add to their points tally here.

Home Form & Team News

Brighton’s home form this season have seen them record wins against Manchester United and West Ham along with gaining a point in a 2-2 draw with Fulham and the hosts have lost just once which was a narrow 2-1 defeat to Tottenham. They possess a record of  2-1-1  7/6 at the Amex Stadium.

However, Brighton’s attack is likely to be depleted for this clash as their leading goalscorer, Glenn Murray, was injured in Brighton’s 1-0 win at Newcastle United last weekend. Midfielder Davy Propper has also been ruled out while Pascal Gross is rated as doubtful.


Wolves were handed a somewhat unexpected 2-0 defeat at home by Watford last Saturday which ended Wolves’s impressive run of six matches without defeat in the Premier League.

Last season’s promoted side from the Championship seemed to have stamped their authority in the top flight with recent wins over West Ham, Burnley, Southampton and Crystal Palace but the defeat to Watford has seen the midlands club drop down to 9th place on the league ladder.

Away Form & Team News

However, Wolves are unbeaten in their last three away matches in the Premier League having beaten the likes of the aforementioned West Ham and Crystal Palace and grabbing a point in a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford against Manchester United.

Wolves possess a similar looking away record to that of Brighton’s home record, with the visitors’ stats standing at  2-1-1  3/3 on their travels so far this season.

Wolves manager, Nuno Espirito Santo has no injury worries ahead of their trip down to the south coast but he may tinker with his squad in view of last weekend’s defeat. The visitors’ main threat in front of goal is Mexican forward Raul Jimenez (2 goals, 3 assists) but both of his goals so far have been recorded at Molineux.

The Wrap-up

Brighton appear to just about have the edge over Wolves heading into this encounter, but the injury to striker Glenn Murray is a big loss for the hosts. Wolves for their part, will want to put in a better shift this Saturday after last week’s defeat.

Both teams therefore seem evenly matched and the draw looks a distinct possibility at good odds.

My Pick
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