Andrey Rublev vs. Alex de Minaur Pick – Monte Carlo Masters April 13, 2022

The ATP Tour lands in beautiful Monaco for the ATP Monte Carlo. Many tennis players call Monaco home for their friendly tax laws, so this is largely a trip home. We’re entering the Round of 32 in Monte Carlo on Wednesday.

Some of the biggest names in the world are in Monte Carlo for this Masters event. There are three top-5 seeds in the Round of 32 on Wednesday. Casper Ruud, Alexander Zverev, and Andrey Rublev are scheduled to play.

Novak Djokovic crashed out in spectacular fashion with a 3-6, 7-6, 1-6 loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina yesterday. It was his first match since February, and Djokovic was not up for the task on the clay.

This was a chance for Djokovic to shake the rust off in anticipation of the French Open.

If he didn’t shake the rust off, he certainly got a wake-up call in Monte Carlo. Rublev will look to that match as a reminder that anything can happen.

Rublev enters as a favorite against unseeded Aussie Alex de Minaur.
De Minaur opened the Monte Carlo Masters with a 6-3, 6-4 win over Bernabe Zapata Miralles in the Round of 64. He was in control despite two double faults.

Miralles is ranked No. 123 in the world, while Rublev is in the top-10, so this should be a much bigger challenge on Wednesday. If Djokovic offered any kind of warning, it’s for Rublev not to take de Minaur lightly.

Rublev had the Round of 64 off and had extra time to think about his early exit in the Miami Open. That was a disaster for Rublev, as he was chased out of the tournament after one match.

Please Note:
Depending on Nick Kyrgios’s mood, he can be a tough opponent. Rublev was bounced by a score of 3-6, 0-6 in that one. It’s the worst form we’ve seen of him in a while.

Head below for our free Andrey Rublev vs. Alex de Minaur prediction on April 13, 2022.

Andrey Rublev vs. Alex de Minaur ATP Monte Carlo Masters:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Players Spread Moneyline Total
Andrey Rublev -4 (-125) -345 Over 21.5 (-115)
Alex de Minaur +4 (-105) +280 Under 21.5 (-105)
Player Data Andrey Rublev Alex de Minaur
Overall Record (2022) 18-4 9-5
Overall Sets Record (2022) 40-15 23-13
Clay Court Record (2022) 0-0 1-0
Clay Court Sets Record (2022) 0-0 2-0
Career Titles 10 5
Career Record 203-116 122-89

Andrey Rublev vs. Alex de Minaur Prediction:

Alex de Minaur has a win on the clay this calendar year, while this will be Andre Rublev’s debut in the clay in 2022.

De Minaur looked sharp:
Winning his match in straight sets, though I’m not convinced that this is where he is most comfortable, though. His overall record on the clay in his career isn’t anything that will get you excited about de Minaur.

He is 5-11 on a clay court, with a sets record of 14-21 in his career. The Aussie had an easy trip in his first clay match in Monte Carlo against No. 123 Zapata Miralles.

But Rublev should prove to be tougher.

Rublev isn’t Nadal on the clay, though he’s not a bad player with a career record of 25-12 on the clay. After mediocre clay results in his first two years, Rublev hasn’t shied away from the clay court more recently.

Between 2020 and 2021, Rublev is 18-6 and has a 44-24 sets record going into his first clay match of 2022. While Rublev was in shaky form against Kyrgios in Miami, expect him to respond nicely in the Round of 32 in Monte Carlo. Despite the loss, Rublev has been strong through 2022 with an impressive sets record of 40-15. He’s 13-2 in his previous 15 single matches going into Wednesday.

De Minaur has beaten Rublev twice, but there’s been a lot of improvement since then for the No. 8 player in the world.

Rublev will look to attack early and often with his forearm.

De Minaur didn’t experience an aggressive Rublev when they met the last time four years ago. Coming off a terrible effort in Miami, look for Rublev to come back with a strong punch.

I’m on Rublev to dispatch in de Mimaur in straight sets with a final of 6-3, 6-4 to win and cover.


Rublev vs. de Minaur Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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