Daniil Medvedev vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut Pick – ATP Mallorca Open June 23, 2022

The Mallorca Open, a final tune-up before Wimbledon, continues in the quarterfinals on Thursday afternoon. Daniil Medvedev and Roberto Bautista-Agut meet in what should be a quality match on this Spanish island.

Medvedev has nothing to tune-up before Wimbledon this year. He and his fellow Russians, along with Belarusian players, will not be able to play at Wimbledon in 2022.

In other words, Medvedev has no lookahead spot in the Mallorca Open. He can focus on what’s ahead of him here in Spain without looking at Wimbledon.

Medvedev only wishes that he could look towards Wimbledon.

The good news for the Russian is that the US Open will accept his entry into the tournament in August. Medvedev is the defending US Open champ, so he will have an opportunity to defend his title.

Medvedev will face a fresh Roberto Bautista-Agut in the quarterfinals at Mallorca. Bautista-Agut had a walkover to the quarters after Nick Kyrgios felt some discomfort in his midsection.

Kyrgios visited a doctor before the match and determined that he should retire from the tournament. He is expected to be back for Wimbledon.

Head below for our free Medvedev vs. Bautista-Agut prediction for June 23, 2022.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut ATP Mallorca Open Live Betting Odds:

Mallorca Open odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Players Spread Moneyline Total
Daniil Medvedev -3.5 (-125) -345 Over 22.5 (-120)
Roberto Bautista-Agut +3.5 (-105) +280 Under 22.5 (-110)
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Daniil Medvedev vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut Prediction:

Medvedev started off slow against Aslan Karatsev but finished strong. He lost the first set by two games in a shaky start for the world No. 1. However, Medvedev shook the rust off and turned his effort up several notches.

This is his first match since losing the Halle Open to Hubert Hurkackz. It’s the second straight tournament that Medvedev reached the final in and then looked like a different player. He found his good side after losing the first set to Karatsev, who is a fine player in his own right.

Medvedev blew past Karatsev in the second and third set for a 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 victory. He was in complete control and was able to counter all of Karatsev’s attempts.

The Russian notched 10 aces while Karatsev was only able to get one past Medvedev. Double faults were equal, with both players committing five each. If Medvedev limits his faults, he beats Karatsev in straight sets.

Medvedev cleaned his errors up after dropping the first set.

He was playing great tennis on the grass before making the same mistake in two straight tournaments and getting too comfortable in the final round.

Medvedev is 7-2 on the grass this season and 32-16 overal in his career. Bautista-Agut went 4-3 last season and is 2-1 on a grass surface going into Thursday.

Bautista-Agut has had success against Medvedev with three wins in four meetings. However, it’s important to note that the wins were on a hard court.

Medvedev beat Bautista-Agut easily on the grass just last week at the Halle Open. He had eight aces while Bautista-Agut had none. Despite committing two more double faults, Medvedev cleared Bautista-Agut for a 6-2, 6-4 win.

This match could be closer, but Medvedev should be able to do the same and win in straight sets. He was able to get his bad form out of the way in the first set versus Karatsev and should be fine for a while now.


Medvedev vs. Bautista-Agut Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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