Dennis Novak vs. Casper Ruud Pick – ATP Swiss Open July 22, 2021

The Swiss Open is underway in beautiful Gstaad, Switzerland. This tournament doesn’t include the typical elite names that you’ve come to know over the years, like a Novak Djokovic or Roger Federer, but there is a lot of young and up and coming talent that is more than worth your attention.

Canadian Denis Shapovalov was intending on going to the Olympics originally, but he opted out in June as a result of low vaccination rates in Tokyo. With the Olympics potentially getting cancelled at the last-minute if cases continue to go up, it seems that Shapovalov made the right decision. He isn’t sitting still, though, and decided on playing the Swiss Open in Gstaad.

If he’s looking to win a tournament, then this seems to be a good move for Shapovalov. He is the biggest brand name in this tournament, and has been inserted as the No. 1 seed and favorite. Another notable name in Roberto Bautista Agut from Spain was entered in this tournament as well.

That was until Agut was upset as the No. 2 seed against unseeded Frechman Arthur Rinderkneech. Tough match for Agut, as he struggled to find any traction. Rinderkneech dispatched Agut 6-2, 6-4 yesterday. This is a guy that is doing double duty in the doubles tournament as well. It looks like a case of Agut taking his eyes off Rinderkneech.

I really liked the presence of Shapovalov and Norweigan Casper Ruud even before this tournament began. I didn’t believe Agut was getting upset versus an opponent like Rinderkneech, but Shapovalov and Ruud looked like the best players going into this tournament. From what we’ve seen so far, they look above the rest. The one spoiler might be Cristian Garin. Head below for our free Dennis Novak vs. Casper Ruud pick for July 22, 2021.

Dennis Novak vs. Casper Ruud ATP Swiss Open Betting Odds:


  • Novak +5.5 (+100)
  • Ruud -5.5 (-120)

  • Novak +747
  • Ruud -1122

  • Over 19 (-110)
  • Under 19 (-110)


Dennis Novak vs. Casper Ruud Prediction:

For Casper Ruud, it’s going to be important for him to stay composed and focused. If the Roberto Bautista Agut loss is any lesson for what can happen when a player doesn’t come prepared. Ruud is in top form at the moment and looks like a serious threat to win back-to-back ATP tournaments.

26 years after his father, Christian Ruud, finished runner-up at the Nordea Open, Ruud won the tournament with a dominant performance against Federico Coria on Sunday. Ruud won 6-3, 6-3 after winning 13 of 16 second-serve opportunities. He was untouchable on serve, with only 12 points conceded in that situation. This is not the only match that the 22-year-old has been on fire in recently.

Note that Ruud has won six straight sets, winning three straight matches 6-0, 6-2, 6-1, 6-4, 6-3, 6-3. His most recent loss was a grueling 6-7, 6-7, 6-2, 6-2, 2-6 match at Wimbledon against Steve Johnson. That was harder than expected for Johnson. Ruud doesn’t care much for grass, while Johnson has had success on grass. Despite the loss, Ruud played a terrific game and showed no quit after losing two tight sets.

Since the loss, nobody has come close to beating Ruud. He and Dennis Novak have met once before, with Ruud going well in Portugal in 2018 with a 6-4, 6-2 win as a 20-year-old. Ruud has most certainly gotten much better since then. Novak is coming off a 6-4, 6-4 win over unseeded Kacper Zuk to reach this round.

Zuk may have had a case in that match if he didn’t trip all over himself repeatedly. He committed four double faults to hand Novak multiple free passes. Ruud has committed just one double fault in each of his last three matches going into Thursday. If Novak is going to keep this close, it’s likely going to happen because of Ruud running into unforced errors. A focused Ruud should have the upper hand here in a 6-3, 6-3 final in his attempt for back-to-back and fourth overall ATP title in Switzerland.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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