Elena Rybakina vs. Ons Jabeur Pick – Wimbledon Women’s Final July 9, 2022

The women’s final at Wimbledon is scheduled for Saturday afternoon on Centre Court. The men’s final will follow on Sunday. Both of these final-round matchups are not what was expected at Wimbledon.

The biggest surprise at Wimbledon is Iga Swiatek losing. This is even more shocking than Rafael Nadal dropping out of the tournament. Nadal has been banged up for months now, so Rafa having to retire can’t be seen as the most surprising.

Swiatek’s loss to unseeded Alize Cornet, 4-6, 2-6, ended a 37-match winning streak for the Pole. She was a heavy favorite to win Wimbledon, but there is going to be another champion crowned.

Swiatek didn’t have anything in the tank following that special run. It will be interesting to see how she responds to the loss. For now, we’re focusing on Elena Rybakina and Ons Jabeur.

Rybakina is on a magical run of her own, as she was not projected to be close to the Wimbledon Final. She entered the tournament as the No. 17 seed at Wimbledon, but is playing like a top seed.

Rybakina has lost just one set in five matches going into the final at Wimbledon.

The 23-year-old opened with an impressive straight-set win over Bianca Andreescu and has been cruising since then. She saved her best for the semifinals against Simona Halep.

Halep was a favorite to win Wimbledon after Swiatek’s defeat. However, she failed to stay composed under the pressure.

Jabeur had to fight off a determined unseeded Tatjana Maria in the semifinals to win in three sets. This should be an interesting final match at Wimbledon on Saturday. Head below for our free Rybakina vs. Jabeur prediction at Wimbledon on July 9, 2022.

Elena Rybakina vs. Ons Jabeur Wimbledon Women’s Final Live Betting Odds:

Wimbledon Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Players Spread Moneyline Total
Elena Rybakina +2 (-110) +130 Over 22 (-105)
Ons Jabeur -2 (-120) -155 Under 22 (-125)

Rybakina vs. Jabeur Prediction:

Elena Rybakina went into Wimbledon with no pressure on her shoulders and she’s played like someone with house money. She was the No. 23 ranked woman in the world going into Wimbledon, a spot that will undoubtedly improve win or lose after Wimbledon.

Rybakina was one and done vs Lesia Tsurenko at Eastbourne in her latest tournament.

She wasn’t given many considerations on Centre Court at Wimbledon. Many didn’t give her a chance against Andreescu. Four matches later, and she’s in the final at Wimbledon.

Her toughest match was in the semifinals vs Simona Halep, who was a favorite to win after Swiatek’s upset. Halep fell under the pressure, with eight double faults en route to a 3-6, 3-6 loss.

The key for Rybakina was committing no double faults. She made no errors, which has been a theme for her throughout this tournament.

Rybakina had 15 aces and just one double-fault in her 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 win over Ajla Tomljanovic in the semifinals.

That’s the only double-fault Rybakina has made in three matches at Wimbledon. It will be imperative to run another mistake-free match to beat Jabeur and win her first Grand Slam.

Jabeur has more talent, but Rybakina has to be the more confident player going into Saturday. The highest-ranked Arab player of all time, Jabeur, is the No. 2 woman in the world behind Swiatek.

Jabeur hasn’t been as mistake-free as Rybakina at Wimbledon. She might be No. 2 in the world, but Jabeur needed three sets to get past Marie Bouzkova and Tatjana Maria in her last two matches. Bouzkova and Maria both won a set, 6-3.

STEADY WORK ON THE GRASS
Rybakina is 25-12 in her previous 37 matches overall and 7-2 in her latest nine outings on a grass surface. Conversely, Jabeur is 36-9 on all surfaces and an 11-match winning streak on the grass.

They’ve met three times in their careers, with a match in Wuhan in 2019 resulting in a three-set win for Rybakina, 6-1, 6-7, 6-2. Jabeur responded with a 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 win lat March in Dubai. Rybakina had to retire in Chicago against Jabeur with an injury after going behind 4-6, 2-3.

Rybakina is avoiding errors right at the moment, allowing her to reach the Wimbledon Final on Centre Court. If she can stay away from double faults for another match on Saturday, Rybakina has a case over Jabeur. Expect more than 22 games in the women’s final. A play on the OVER appears like a solid option.

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Rybakina vs. Jabeur Pick
OVER 22
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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