Lorenzo Sonego vs. Rafael Nadal Pick – Wimbledon July 2, 2022

The Wimbledon card on the men’s side currently has eight matches on the board for Saturday. Rafael Nadal is in action today, while Novak Djokovic is up on Sunday on Centre Court.

Nadal and Djokovic both have winnable matches approaching. Nadal is playing a third-round match in this one versus Italian Lorenzo Sonego. Djokovic is already in the quarterfinals.

Djokovic must be aware of the red-hot Tim van Rijthoven on Sunday. Van Rijthoven is one of the hottest players, and pulled off another impressive win without any problems on Friday.

This isn’t a match Djokovic should lose if he’s interested and doesn’t take his opponent lightly. Van Rijthoven beat Daniil Medvedev in the Libema Open Final on June 12, 6-4, 6-1, and hasn’t lost since then.

Djokovic is the clear favorite in that match, but he has to be careful with van Rijthoven. Meanwhile, the same could be said for Nadal against Sonego. The Italian can be dangerous when he’s in the right mood.

Sonego survived vs Denis Kudla in five sets, but made it look easy in the second round.

Sonego is the No. 27 seed at Wimbledon and the No. 54 ranked player in the world. He’s going to have to play like a much higher-ranked player for a day to beat Nadal, though.

Nadal had an ankle injury to deal with before the French Open. However, it didn’t stop him from winning his 14th French Open title.

He’s running towards the end of his career. Rafa is a 36-year-old, and he’s hinted at retiring soon, but has turned back the clocks this year while dealing with a bothered ankle.

Head below for our free Sonego vs. Nadal prediction at Wimbledon prediction on July 2, 2022.

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Rafael Nadal Wimbledon Live Betting Odds:

Wimbledon odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Players Spread Moneyline Total
Lorenzo Sonego +6 (-105) +425 Over 35 (-115)
Rafael Nadal -6 (-125) -600 Under 35 (-115)

Sonego vs. Nadal Prediction:

Lorenzo Sonego will have to play the match of the year for him to come out victorious. He could play well and make it competitive, but to win straight up, it will require a perfect attempt.

Overall this year, Sonego is 17-16 and 51-40 in sets. He’s been fairly average on every surface. There isn’t one surface that Sonego particularly excels on, but Sonego can be a tough out on a good day.

Sonego was almost upset in the first round, but he managed to dig deep.

He fought through a tough match to beat Denis Kudla, 6-7, 6-3, 7-5, 4-6, 6-2. It was a match that could have gone either way, with Kudla running out of steam in the fifth set.

Sonego can’t depend on Rafa running out of gas on Saturday. He did show better form in his next match, though.

The Italian swept Hugo Gaston, 7-6, 6-4, 6-4. He can look great and then terrible in another match. That is Sonego’s career summed up in two matches.

This is the first time that Nadal and Sonego will meet.

Nadal has only played on the grass at Wimbledon this year. He won his first two matches and is 12-2 over the last five years. Nadal has lost just six sets in 22 attempts.

He wasn’t perfect vs Ricardas Berankis in the second round. Berankis won the third set, 6-4, though Rafa finished him off for a 6-4, 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 win.

As we progress into the third round, expect Nadal to get locked in and avoid lapses versus an inferior opponent like Soreno. We haven’t seen Rafa at his best in this tournament, but I have confidence in him getting stronger as Wimbledon progresses.


Sonego vs. Nadal Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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