Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Nadal Pick – Wimbledon July 6, 2022

Tuesday was Novak Djokovic day; on Wednesday, it is Rafael Nadal day on Centre Court at Wimbledon. Wimbledon schedules these two brilliantly to have Djokovic and Nadal playing every other day. Fortunately, we don’t have a case of Djokovic and Nadal playing at similar times.

The way Wimbledon is progressing, they’re likely to be playing on Centre Court simultaneously. With Djokovic winning over a pesky Jannik Sinner on Monday, he edges closer to meeting Nadal at Wimbledon.

Nadal will have to hold his own and have a response for Djokovic on Tuesday if that’s going to happen, though. Rafa has been on fire, but he meets a hot opponent on Centre Court in the quarterfinals.

It was looking dicey for Djokovic early on against Sinner. Actually, I should rephrase that, because Joker was on fire in the opening set. He was a point away from taking a 5-1 lead in the first set. After losing that point, everything went sideways, and he lost that set and then the next, 6-2.

Nadal has been having an easier time than Djokovic at Wimbledon.

Rafa hasn’t looked bothered at any point in this tournament. He won the French Open without too much trouble, and is well on his way to going back to the final of another Grand Slam.

Taylor Fritz stands in front of Nadal in the quarterfinals. Fritz is coming off a dominant performance against Jason Kubler for his fourth win at Wimbledon.

Fritz hasn’t played a contender yet, though. That’s going to change versus Rafa this afternoon. Head below for our free Fritz vs. Nadal prediction at Wimbledon on July 6, 2022.

Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Nadal Wimbledon Live Betting Odds:

Wimbledon Odds are Courtesy of Bovada:
Players Spread Moneyline Total
Taylor Fritz +4 (-115) +220 Over 39 (-115)
Rafael Nadal -4 (-115) -275 Under 39 (-115)

Fritz vs. Nadal Prediction:

Taylor Fritz is riding a hot wave of momentum going into the quarterfinals. He hasn’t dropped a set at Wimbledon going into Centre Court on Wednesday.

In his latest win, Fritz cleared Jason Kluber, 6-3, 6-1, 6-4.

That was too easy after he made it look too easy against Alex Molcan. Fritz beat up on Molcan for an easy 6-4, 6-1, 7-6 win.

Is it such a good thing that Fritz is beating his foes so easily? He hasn’t been tested and had to face any advertisity at Wimbledon.

That’d be great if he were playing top-flight competition, but none of the opponents he’s beaten are seeded. They’re all lowly ranked players that wouldn’t hang with Nadal.

If you don’t know tennis, you’re not going to know who he defeated at Wimbledon.

Fritz has won over Lorenzo Musetti, Alastair Gray, Alex Molcan, and Jason Kluber. Molcan at No. 51 is the highest-ranked player he beat; the next closest is Musetti at No. 70.

Now, he must deal with Nadal that is playing like he’s possessed and determined in his last two matches. Nadal skipped past Lorenzo Sonego in straight sets, 6-1, 6-2, 6-4, and then Botic van de Zandschulp most recently, 6-4, 6-2, 7-6 (8-6).

Sonego and van de Zandschulp aren’t bad players. They were seeded and went into their match with Nadal with confidence, just like Fritz on Tuesday.

Overall, Nadal is 35-3 this year and perfect on the grass at 4-0. Dating back to 2018, Nadal is 14-2 on a grass surface. Fritz is a nice story, but so was van de Zandschulp.

They’ve met twice, with Nadal winning in 2020, 6-3, 6-2 in Mexico, and then a 6-3, 7-6 win for Fritz at the Indian Wells earlier in the year. I’m not sure Nadal was too interested in the Indian Wells, and his ankle gave him bigger problems then.

Rafa by six games is where I’m going with this match on Centre Court. Fritz might come up with some nice spots, but cannot overcome a laser-focused Nadal. I’ll back Nadal for another win at Wimbledon.


Fritz vs. Nadal Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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