QB Bills Josh Allen

  • The NFL MVP odds have reacted significantly to the Buffalo Bills’ 48-21 win over the Miami Dolphins.
  • Bills’ QB Josh Allen is the new betting favorite to win the NFL MVP, according to BetOnline.
  • Allen leaped over the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes and Dolphins’ Tua Tagovailoa following Sunday’s big win.

There is a new odds-on favorite to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP award. The Buffalo Bills’ Josh Allen is the new betting favorite to be crowned league MVP at the end of the season. Allen throttled up the board, as he went from the third-best odds (+700) to the betting favorite (+350) at BetOnline.

Allen surged past Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes, Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts, and Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa to become the new NFL MVP favorite. The Bills’ star QB has an implied probability of 22.2 percent to win the NFL MVP.

Before Allen’s standout performance against the Dolphins, Allen had an implied probability of 12.5 percent. Allen was +800 to win the NFL MVP entering the season. Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow had the second-best odds at +750, while Mahomes was favored at +650 odds.

Through Week 4, Mahomes has dropped into a tie with Tagovailoa to win the NFL MVP. Currently, Mahomes and Tagovailoa have +500 odds to win. With 2023-24 NFL MVP odds at +1800 going into Week 1, Tagovailoa has been one of the biggest odds movers.

Allen and Bills Torch Dolphins In Statement Win

Allen’s performance against the  Dolphins sent his NFL MVP odds soaring. The two-time Pro Bowler scorched the Dolphins’ defense for 320 passing yards, four touchdowns, and no interceptions on 21/25 passing.

His presence was felt on the ground, too. Allen ran for 17 yards and a touchdown on the Dolphins. Allen’s effort led the Bills to a season-high 48 points in a 48-21 win in Week 4. Following the win, Allen said that the Bills were looking to score on every possession.

“Our thought process every time we touch the ball is to score, whether that be six or three,” stated Allen after his team’s blowout win over the Dolphins. “No turnovers today, which is great, but I still think there’s some things we can clean up.”

Due to the big win, the Bills lead the AFC East at 3-1 on the season. Currently, they own the tiebreaker over the Dolphins. The New England Patriots and New York Jets are not considered a threat to the Bills and Dolphins in the AFC East.

Allen’s numbers have taken a much-needed hike since beating the Dolphins. Overall, this season, Allen has passed for 1,048 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions. He has been incredibly efficient, with a completion percentage of 74.8%.

Bills’ Super Bowl 58 Odds React To Win

The ultimate goal for Allen and the Bills is to win Super Bowl 58 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Following the 48-21 victory, the Bills’ Super Bowl 58 odds reacted favorably.

The Bills have moved from +1000 to +700 odds of winning Super Bowl 58 at BetOnline. Conversely, the Dolphins’ Super Bowl odds dropped from +900 to +1200.

Bettors are not confident in the Dolphins being equipped with a strong enough defense after they were chased off the field by the Bills. Confidence in Tagovailoa’s MVP chances suffered a hit as well.

In Week 5, the Bills are scheduled to head to London for an international matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are in what many people consider a “get right” spot against the New York Giants.


Joe Burrow’s NFL MVP Odds Tanking

As Allen’s NFL MVP odds surge to the top of the odds, his AFC rival, Joe Burrow, has witnessed his odds fall off considerably. Excluding Aaron Rodgers’ injury, Burrow has had the most significant dive in the NFL MVP betting markets.

Burrow entered the season trailing only Mahomes for the best NFL MVP odds. However, he has fallen off the map since then. Currently, Burrow has +7500 odds to win the top individual award in football.

Burrow’s calf injury has had an impact on his play this season. The 26-year-old has passed for 728 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions on 57.6 percent completions. In addition to the injury, the Bengals as a team have not been playing fundamentally sound football.

Allen and Burrow are expected to meet at Paul Brown Stadium on November 5. 

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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