- The Buffalo Bills are back in Super Bowl 58 contention after a 31-10 win over the Dallas Cowboys.
- After dropping to 6-6 on the season in heartbreaking fashion against the Philadelphia Eagles, the Bills responded with wins over the Kansas City Chiefs and Cowboys.
- The Bills are expected to be heavy favorites in their next two games before finishing the season at Miami against the Dolphins.
The Buffalo Bills are riding high into their final three games of the regular season. On the heels of a 31-10 victory over the Dallas Cowboys, the Bills’ Super Bowl 58 odds have skyrocketed at online betting sites. Currently, the Bills are +1000 to win Super Bowl 58, according to Bovada.
Entering December, the Bills’ Super Bowl 58 odds were +3000 following a 37-34 loss to the Eagles in overtime. The +3000 odds represented an implied probability of just 3.2 percent. In the preseason, the Bills were +950 to win the Big Game, at Bovada.
Since defeating the Chiefs and Cowboys, the Bills’ chances jumped to 9.1 percent. In other words, the probability of the Bills winning the Super Bowl has roughly tripled in two weeks. It was an incredibly impressive performance, and the most complete effort to date by the Bills this season.
Bills Play Smashmouth Football To Crush Cowboys
The Bills have not typically been known as a team that dominates on the ground to win, but they were the aggressors against one of the most physical teams in the NFL. James Cook had a career performance, as he gained 179 yards on 7.2 yards per attempt.
Cook added a touchdown on the ground and through the air as a receiver to cap off a top-end effort from the 63rd overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft. It’s only the second career 100-plus-yard rushing game from the second-year running back out of Georgia.
The game ball should have gone to Cook and the Bills’ offensive line. Against one of the most aggressive front seven in football, the Bills bullied the Cowboys in the trenches from the first snap to the fourth quarter.
The Bills didn’t require Josh Allen to have a standout start. Allen passed for just 94 yards on 46.7 percent completions. However, he connected for a touchdown pass and scampered for a rushing score. The 27-year-old former Wyoming Cowboy has passed for 3,541 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions in 2023.
When the Bills don’t need Allen to be perfect, this team is at their best. If the offensive line and Cook can carry this momentum into January, they will have the ability to outplay any team in the NFL.
Bills’ Super Bowl 58 Odds Expected To Continue To Rise
Looking ahead to the Bills’ remaining regular season schedule, they should see a slight boost for at least the next two weeks. In Week 16, the Bills are 11.5-point favorites over the Los Angeles Chargers. The Bills have an implied probability of 88.2 percent to beat the Chargers.
The following week, the Bills face another inferior opponent in the New England Patriots at home. Barring significant upsets, expect the Bills to advance to 10-6 with only the regular season finale left against the Miami Dolphins.
Depending on how the next two weeks shake out, the Bills could very well be favored in Week 18, too. The best-case scenario, and realistic scenario, is an 11-6 regular season record after a 6-6 record through 12 games. Following the 37-34 OT loss to the Eagles, the Bills weren’t even favored to make the playoffs.
Public bettors will gravitate to the Bills, as they would be one of the hottest teams in the league entering the playoffs. However, currently, there are several contenders ahead of them with shorter Super Bowl 58 odds.
Despite getting hammered by the Bills, the Cowboys have better odds at +900. Additionally, the Philadelphia Eagles, Miami Dolphins, Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens, and San Francisco 49ers have stronger Super Bowl 58 odds.
At +210, the 49ers are favored to win the inaugural Super Bowl at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Gaining the confidence and support of bettors, the Bills could soon be a favorite to win the AFC and face the 49ers at Super Bowl 58.
