Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Odds: Will the Problem Child Dominate?

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Odds: Will the Problem Child Dominate?

The Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry odds are now on the board at the best boxing betting sites. Paul’s showdown with Mike Tyson was postponed to November, so the eccentric social media star will fight Mike Perry on July 20.

The former UFC fighter is taking a small break from his bare-knuckle career for a boxing match against Paul. Perry will secure a huge payday for this fight, so you can’t blame him for taking on this assignment. Will the brawler turn the influence into mush?

Continue reading to find the latest odds, analysis, and Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry predictions!


Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Betting Odds

The following Paul vs. Perry odds are courtesy of Bovada:

  • Jake Paul (-220)
  • Mike Perry (+165)

Paul is a solid favorite at sports betting sites to defeat Perry in the boxing ring. The odds of -220 mean that he has a 68.8% implied probability of winning this fight, according to the oddsmakers.

If you are interested in more betting markets, including the over/under rounds, these will be posted closer to the date of the bout on July 20.

You can find up-to-date odds on Paul vs. Perry at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Boxing > Boxing Lines > Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry.

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Jake Paul Analysis

Paul will step into the ring for the 11th fight of his career. It appeared that his 11th contest was going to be against 58-year-old “Iron Mike”. However, he can now fit in an extra fight this year, with Tyson recovering from a mid-flight emergency due to an ulcer flare-up.

He wants to be taken seriously as a fighter and has shown improvement in the boxing ring. Is he ready to take on top-ranked boxers? Absolutely not, but he has enough talent to compete with lower-tier boxers, older stars, and fighters transitioning into boxing to cash a check.

Fighter Record and Recent Form

  • March 2, 2023 – WIN Ryan Bourland (TKO)
  • December 15, 2023 – WIN vs. Andre August (KO)
  • August 5, 2023 – WIN vs. Nate Diaz (UD)
  • February 26, 2023 – LOSS vs. Tommy Fury (SD)
  • October 29, 2022 – WIN vs. Anderson Silva (UD)

Paul is on a three-fight win streak, with back-to-back victories over actual boxers. Ryan Bourland and Andre August are lower-tier pros, and Paul made easy work of both fighters.

The 27-year-old social media star KO’d August with one punch in Round 1 this past December. His opponent is a lesser-known boxer who has primarily fought in regional promotions. The same applies to Bourland, with Paul ending the bout in the opening round!

After losing a close fight to Tommy Fury — the most accomplished boxer he’s fought thus far — Paul had mop-up duty against an out-of-shape Nate Diaz. It was an easy unanimous decision win for Paul against the ex-MMA star.

In 2022, Paul outlasted a gassed Anderson Silva to secure another unanimous decision win. The YouTuber’s opponent selection has been just about near-perfect, including the fight versus Tyson. Overall, he owns a 9-1-0 (6 KOs) since his first sanctioned fight in 2020.

Fighter Style

The 6-foot-1 Paul doesn’t utilize the most unique boxing style. He’s an aggressive fighter who goes to the jab to open up a hook and cross. While Paul doesn’t have substantial power compared to top fighters, it’s enough for him to KO fighters in his own class.

Paul’s power is sufficient to hurt opponents who don’t have solid defense and gas tank. He’s also typically bigger, which should come into play against Perry.

In several of his fights, Paul played the long game and waited for them to run out of gas. For example, Diaz and Silva had nothing left to give by the end of the fight. Paul can’t play this strategy against Perry here, though.

Physical Condition

There aren’t any concerns about Paul’s physical condition. He had been prepping for the Tyson fight, so expect him to come into the fight well-conditioned.

He weighed 199.8 pounds at the weigh-in to fight Bourland. Paul was preparing to fight Tyson as a heavyweight, so he should have good size for this match. The size and reach advantage will lean in favor of Paul.

Paul’s 76” reach provides a five-inch upper hand to the native of Cleveland, OH. The Paul vs. Perry betting odds suggest that he has a better chance of winning partially due to the “Problem Child” having the physical advantage in a boxing ring!


Mike Perry Analysis

Perry fought in the UFC from 2016 to 2021. He had early success but was released after losing four out of his last five bouts. “Platinum Mike” exited the UFC after a unanimous decision losses to Tim Means and Daniel Rodriguez.

Since then, Perry has spent time in the Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship. The 32-year-old from Flint, MI, has had some success in the BKFC, but these wins have mostly come against washed-up former MMA fighters. He has limited experience in boxing, so we’ll see how things play out.

Fighter Record and Recent Form

  • March 28, 2015 – LOSS Kenneth McNeil (KO)

According to BoxRec, Perry has made one official appearance in a boxing match. In 2015, he was KO’d by Kenneth McNeil, a fighter who didn’t turn that win into much. After dabbling in boxing and struggling to find success, Perry moved on to MMA.

With a record of 14-8-0 in the UFC, it was smart for Perry to give up on boxing to focus on an MMA career. However, he needed a change when it was evident he couldn’t keep up in the UFC. Perry’s defense was brought into question, as he was getting banged around pretty good!

The 32-year-old made another smart career change, as Perry has looked at home in the Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship. He is 5-0-0 with wins over some familiar names, including Eddie Alvarez, Luke Rockhold, and Thiago Alves most recently in April.

All three are former MMA fighters who went to BKFC after failing to keep their jobs in the UFC. Perry hasn’t been tested by a competent boxer in his career yet. He’s shown success in bare-knuckle fighting, but boxing is a different sport altogether.

Fighter Style

Perry is a pure brawler who likes to go in and take swings at his opponent. That doesn’t necessarily translate to being a good boxer. He’s a tough, gritty competitor, but will need more to beat Paul.

He’s perfect for bare-knuckle fighting with no fear in the ring. However, fighting with gloves on requires a different skill set!

Defense is an afterthought for Perry, but he’ll need it against Paul. Knocking out him in the early rounds should be difficult, so Perry must assemble some type of defensive strategy.

In his current form, Perry takes too many shots to get out of this fight without Paul inflicting any damage.

Physical Condition

Perry is in fine shape preparing for this fight, but there is one area of concern for him heading into the Paul bout. Despite beating Alves in April, the California State Athletic Commission suspended Perry from fighting until June 24.

He was added to the suspended list on medical grounds. It took him just 60 seconds to win the fight, but he was roughed up enough to warrant a two-month break from fighting. He had lacerated his left cheek prompting the California State Athletic Commission to issue the suspension.

In any event, Perry’s cardio and fitness levels will be amongst the best that Paul has seen in his career. Perry doesn’t have top-rated cardio, but certainly better than most fighters that the social media star has fought in the past!

I don’t suspect Paul can simply wait for Perry to gas out like Silva and Diaz. If he was preparing to do the same against Tyson, this could lead to complications in the upcoming Perry fight.


Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Prediction and Betting Pick

At first glance, given Perry’s work in the BKFC, the betting value might appear to be on “Platinum”. He’s getting +165 on the moneyline, which equates to a nice payout for a fighter still in his prime. 

However, I don’t suspect his jump from bare-knuckle fighting to boxing will be smooth. The last time Perry stepped into a boxing ring he was rocked by an unknown fighter in 2015. His lack of defense in the fight against McNeil resulted in him getting KO’d.

While Perry improved his defense at one point in the UFC, he had none toward the end of his tenure. The veteran won’t be scared to come at Paul, but he’ll leave gaping holes for his opponent to cause significant damage.

Additionally, Paul has been preparing to fight Tyson this year, so he should have a muscular frame ahead of the Perry bout. His opponent will come out slugging, but Paul should end this with a KO in the mid to late rounds!

My top Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry betting pick favors the “Problem Child” extending his boxing record to 10-1-0.

The Bet
Jake Paul


Where to Bet on Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry?

If you’re looking for Paul vs. Perry odds, I recommend checking out Bovada’s betting markets for the best online boxing experience. I expect to see plenty of props for this fight and the lines are fair.

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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