US Open Golf 2024 Odds: Will Scheffler Roll at Pinehurst?

US Open Golf 2024 Odds: Will Scheffler Roll at Pinehurst?

The US Open golf odds for the 124th edition of the most prestigious tournament in the country are live! Who is going to win at Pinehurst in 2024? The best golf betting sites have updated their prices, and there is one clear favorite for the title!

Scottie Sheffler is expected to come back with vengeance after an unfortunate incident with the police likely hurt his chances to win the PGA Championship.

Should you bet on the favorite or look elsewhere to win? Below, check out the latest prices, an overview of the favorites and the most appealing dark horses, and my US Open predictions and best bets!

2024 US Open Golf Odds

The following US Open 2024 odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Scottie Scheffler+300
Rory McIlroy+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Bryson DeChambeau+1600
Collin Morikawa+1600
Viktor Hovland+1600
Brooks Koepka+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500
Jon Rahm+3500
Matt Fitzpatrick+4000

Scottie Scheffler’s (+300) odds to win the US Open have shortened even more! Prior to winning the Memorial Tournament, Scheffler had +400 US Open betting odds.

Now, the price has dropped to +300. Scheffler’s implied probability of winning has improved from 20% to 25%! Money continues to pour in on the world number 1, so we’ll see where his price closes.

Rory McIlroy’s (+1200) odds have regressed over the last week. Currently, McIlroy is in a tie with Xander Schauffele for the second-best odds at +1200. They both share a 7.7% implied chance to win the tournament.

You can find up-to-date odds for the US Open by navigating to Sports > Golf > Futures > US Open.

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US Open Betting Favorites

The focus for my analysis of the favorites includes the golfers with the top three 2024 US Open betting odds, per online sportsbooks.

Scottie Scheffler (+300)

Scheffler is the undisputed No. 1 golfer in the world. According to the latest Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), the superstar leads by a wide margin with 754.78 points. He’s having an unbelievable season, which includes his second green jacket.

After his charges were dropped following a bizarre arrest at the PGA Championship, is the top-rated golfer prepared to win his second major of the year?

Tournament Form

Scheffler has been the hottest golfer on the PGA Tour. There are multiple good reasons why he is a +400 favorite to win the US Open. Certainly, North Carolina sports betting sites near Pinehurst will be writing a lot of Scheffler tickets.

The 27-year-old native of Dallas, TX, has won 5 out of the 13 tournaments he’s entered in 2024! Expressed differently, Scheffler has won 38.5% of events. That’s an incredible figure for a sport like golf!

Additionally, Scheffler’s previous 11 entries in 12 starts have resulted in a top-10 finish! This includes eight top-5 showings and T2 in his most recent tournament at the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club.


Best US Open Finish: T2 (2022)

Scheffler Results

Let’s summarize Sheffler’s past ten tournament performances in the table below. Scheffler doesn’t have to do any trash talk, as this does all the talking for him:

June 6 – June 9 Memorial Tournament1st
May 23 – May 26Charles Schwab ChallengeT2
May 16 – May 19PGA ChampionshipT8
April 18 – April 22RBC Heritage1st
April 11 – April 14Masters1st
March 28 – March 31Texas Children Houston’s OpenT2
March 14 – March 17The Players Championship1st
March 7 – March 10Arnold Palmer Invitational1st
Feb. 15 – Feb. 18The Genesis InvitationalT10
Feb. 8 – Feb. 11WM Phoenix OpenT3
Feb. 1 – Feb. 3AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT6

As you can see, everything has come naturally for Scheffler this season. He had a rock-solid 2023 campaign, but the consistently low scores on the golf course this year are something to behold.

What can we learn from these results? Scheffler’s US Open golf betting odds are +300 due to this sharp form. In addition to his win at Augusta National, signature wins against tough fields in the Players Championship and Arnold Palmer Invitational are worth noting.

Stats & Performance

Scheffler hasn’t shown any discernible weaknesses on the golf course. If there’s anything to nitpick, it has to be his putter. Scheffler is 75th on the PGA Tour, with an SG: Putting of 0.100.

This puts him just about the field average, though it isn’t spectacular like his other numbers. Also, he has been mediocre out of the sand, with a save percentage out of the sand of just 51.72%.

That said, Scheffler ranks the best in several important metrics, including SG: Total and SG: Off the Tee.


Scheffler 2024 Stats

With that in mind, let’s summarize Scheffler’s stats from the 2024 season. He’s done some amazing things with a golf club in his hand. Just look at these fantastic numbers:

  • SG: Total – 1st (2.842)
  • SG: Off the Tee – 1st (0.947)
  • SG: Approach to Green – 1st (1.348)
  • SG: Putting – 75th (0.100)
  • Scoring Average – 1st (67.51)

Rory McIlroy (+1200)

Since winning the PGA Championship at Valhalla in 2014, a major championship has eluded the native of Northern Ireland. Despite all the success he’s had aside from majors, including FedEx Cup titles, McIlroy has failed to win his fifth major title over the last decade.

Online sports betting sites have won plenty of cash off McIlroy’s bettors backing him in majors. Is the 2024 US Open where he ends the drought to win his second major title in America?

According to the latest US Open 2024 betting odds, only Scheffler has a better chance than McIlroy. Currently, McIlroy is third in the OWGR rankings with 381.53 points. That said, McIlroy’s US Open 2024 odds have moved from +1100 to +1200.

Tournament Form

McIlroy is in top form with the US Open approaching.  He isn’t quite as hot as Scheffler but he’s regaining his confidence. On May 12, the 35-year-old veteran shot 17-under par to win the Wells Fargo Championship.

It was McIlroy’s first tournament win since the 2023 Scottish Open. That was part of a stretch that saw McIlroy finish in the top 10 in 10 events. In the hunt at the Canadian Open, he is finally heating up in 2024.

McIlroy is on the heels of a respectable performance at Muirfield Village Golf Club in the Memorial Tournament. He shot 2-over par for a T15 performance on a tricky course against a tough field.


Best US Open Finish: 1st (2011)

McIlroy 2024 Results

The Northern Irishman did not get off to a smooth start this year. After catching fire in the second half of 2023, McIlroy cooled off in January.

However, he is following a similar pattern and heating up at the same time as the summer approaches:

June 6 – June 9 Memorial TournamentT15
May 30 – June 2Canadian OpenT4
May 9 – May 12Wells Fargo Championship1st
April 18 – April 22RBC HeritageT33
April 11 – April 14MastersT22
April 4 – April 7Valero Texas Open3rd
March 14 – March 17The Players ChampionshipT19
March 7 – March 10Arnold Palmer InvitationalT21
Feb. 29 – March 3Cognizant ClassicT21
Feb. 15 – Feb. 18The Genesis InvitationalT24
Feb. 1 – Feb. 3AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT66

With McIlroy playing well at the Canadian Open, I can confidently say that he has found his form again. After winning the Wells Fargo Championship, he put in solid work to finish T12 at the PGA Championship.

He fired off a 13-under par for a T4 performance in the Canadian Open two events back. McIlroy’s effort at the Canadian Open reaffirms his status as a threat to win the US Open. Last week, he was in fine form, but a step behind the top players with a T15 finish.

Stats & Performance

If the PGA Tour was a driving contest, McIlroy would have double-digit major championships on his resume. He has consistently been a top-tier golfer with a driver in his hand.

That remains true in 2024, where he ranks first in total driving and driving distance. He’s also been above average in his approach to the green. Where McIlroy has struggled is on the dance floor with the putter.

There have been several times over the last decade when it appeared like McIlroy was going to win his fifth major but couldn’t finish the job in Round 4 because of lackluster putting. This year, however, McIlroy is 65th in putting, so above average at 0.176.


McIlroy 2024 Stats

While it took McIlroy a handful of tournaments before heating up this year, his numbers are amongst the best on the PGA Tour.

If he can avoid putting woes at Pinehurst, McIlroy’s US Open 2024 golf odds are a bargain at +1100. Check out McIlroy’s 2024 stats, with the Canadian Open pending:

  • SG: Total – 3rd (1.547)
  • SG: Off the Tee – 3rd (0.908)
  • SG: Approach to Green – 35th (0.394)
  • SG: Putting – 65th (0.167)
  • Scoring Average – 29th (69.69)

Xander Schauffele (+1200)

Is Schauffele part of your best bets for US Open 2024? If you had him to win the PGA Championship, then it was a good weekend at Valhalla. Schauffele held off Bryson DeChambeau to win by one stroke.

This was the first major championship for the 30-year-old from San Diego. Are you confident in Schauffele winning back-to-back majors after waiting as long as he did?

At +1200, bettors can pocket $1,200 on a $100 moneyline bet!

Tournament Form

There isn’t another golfer heading into the US Open that will be as in good of a mood as Schauffele. After seven wins on the PGA Tour, Schauffele’s eighth was the most special in the PGA Championship.

Schauffele set a PGA Championship and Valhalla course record with a 62-under! It was the second time in two years that Schauffele shot 62-under at a major championship.

Last year, he shot a 62-under in the opening round of the US Open — the first golfer to record a 62-under in two rounds of majors.

Even if you remove the PGA Championship win, Schauffele has been in great shape this year. He is riding a hot streak of nine top-10 performances in 2024. Additionally, Schauffele has notched six top-5 finishes!


Best US Open Finish: T3 (2019)

Schauffele 2024 Results

As great as Scheffler has been, Schauffele isn’t that far behind his rival. In fact, with Schauffele winning the PGA Championship, he has to be considered as one of the top golfers in the world right now.

June 6 – June 9Memorial TournamentT8
May 16 – May 19PGA Championship1st
May 9 – May 12Wells Fargo Championship2nd
April 18 – April 22RBC HeritageT18
April 11 – April 14Masters8th
March 21 – March 24Valspar ChampionshipT5
March 14 – March 17The Players ChampionshipT2
March 7 – March 10Arnold Palmer InvitationalT25
Feb. 15 – Feb 18The Genesis InvitationalT4
Feb. 1 – Feb. 3AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT54
Jan. 24 – Jan. 27Farmers Insurance OpenT9

Before winning the PGA Championship, Schauffele almost captured the Wells Fargo Championship. McIlroy held him off for a four-stroke win, but it was Schauffele’s sixth tournament in seven starts where he finished in the top 10.

In his latest effort, Schauffele put together yet another strong performance in the Memorial Tournament in Ohio. He didn’t have enough in the tank to catch Scheffler, but Schauffele had another strong performance in him. It’s been that kind of year for Schauffele!

Stats & Performance

As expected, Schauffele is amongst the leaders on many top golfer PGA metrics. He is one of the most well-balanced players on the golf course, with no serious weaknesses.

Schauffele can get himself into trouble if he finds the rough, but when his driver is performing, he picks up birdies and pars with relative ease.

Overall, Schauffele ranks second in SG: Total and SG: Tee-to-Green. He’s also in the top 5 in driving and approach shots!


Schauffele 2024 Stats

Schauffele’s numbers represent the tremendous form he’s been in recently, on the heels of his first major championship. Only Scheffler has a lower scoring average per round than him.

It was a long time coming for Schauffele, who has come close at majors previously.

  • SG: Total – 2nd (2.265)
  • SG: Off the Tee – 6th (0.796)
  • SG: Approach to Green – 4th (0.794)
  • SG: Putting – 28th (0.398)
  • Scoring Average – 2nd (68.53)

Best Longshots for the 2024 US Open Golf Tournament

The 2024 US Open golf odds include a few quality longshots on betting apps and sites. There is an abundance of value for this year’s event at Pinehurst. I am including these talented dark horses on my US Open betting card:

  1. The 2022 Open Championship winner departed for LIV Golf shortly after capturing his first major title. Cameron Smith hasn’t duplicated the same success in the PGA events he’s returned for but had a strong T6 showing in the 2024 Masters.

    Smith returned to LIV Golf to fire off a T2 performance in Singapore. Before departing for LIV Golf, he was regarded as one of the best golfers in the world.

    The Aussie appears to be in the right mindset lately, so Smith is worth serious consideration at +2000!

  2. Brian Harmon is the 10th-ranked player, according to the latest OWGR update. Not bad for a guy who has among the worst odds of winning the 2024 US Open. Harmon tends to show up when you least expect it.

    The 37-year-old native of Savannah, GA, has four top-15 finishes in 2024. Harmon’s best results are T5 in The Sentry and T2 in The Players. The highlight of his career was taking the Open Championship at Royal Liverpool last July.

    Harmon has top value as a +10000 longshot in the 2024 US Open.

  3. Another Georgia native, Russell Henley, finds himself on form heading into the US Open. Henley has three top-5 finishes and recently had a top-10 showing in the Wells Fargo Championship.

    Although Henley couldn’t get into the hunt in the PGA Championship, he shot a respectable 10-under par to post a T23 performance. Missing only one cut this season, Henley should have a chance to surprise at +10000!

Recent US Open Golf Winners

Let’s take a brief look back at the previous 10 golfers to win the US Open:

2023Wyndham ClarkLA Country Club270 (-10)+8500
2022Matt FitzpatrickThe Country Club274 (-6)+2200
2021Jon RahmTorrey Pines278 (-6)+1400
2020Bryson DeChambeauWinged Foot Golf Club274 (-6)+2800
2019Gary WoodlandPebble Beach Golf Links271 (-13)+8000
2018Brooks KoepkaShinnecock Hills281 (+1)+3300
2017Brooks KoepkaErin Hills272 (-16)+4000
2016Dustin JohnsonOakmont Country Club276 (-4)+1200
2015Jordan SpiethChambers Bay275 (-5)+800
2014Martin KaymerPinehurst271 (-9)+3300

US Open Pinehurst – A Look at the Golf Course

Pinehurst Resort & Country Club’s Course No. 2 is the home of the 2024 US Open. The golf course is located in Pinehurst, North Carolina, a village in Moore County.

The course was designed by legendary golf architect Donald Ross in the early 1900s. Since then, Pinehurst Resort & CC has hosted more golf championships than any other course in the country.

Pinehurst No. 2 consists of 7,543 yards and a 70-par course. There are four par-5 holes, 10 par-4 holes, and four par-3s in the 2024 US Open. The course includes beautiful pine trees on every hole, which are largely flat.

How Many US Opens Has Pinehurst Hosted?

Pinehurst has played host to three US Open tournaments. The 1999, 2005, and 2014 US Opens went to Pinehurst. Martin Kaymer is the most recent US Open winner in 2024.

Kaymer dominated for a final score of 9-under par. He pulled away from Erik Compton and Rickie Fowler, who finished at 1-under par.

US Open Betting Prediction and Betting Pick

The 2024 US Open promises plenty of intrigue at Pinehurst & CC. Will Scheffler stay hot and dominate for his second major championship of the year? It’s possible, but at +300 odds, I am not willing to back him here.

There isn’t any betting value on a Scheffler at +300. Although I expect the world number 1 to play well, another player has been playing as confidently as him recently. However, he is getting a much better price to win!

It’s never easy to win back-to-back majors, but Schauffele has the tools and momentum to get it done in North Carolina. He was playing solid golf well before winning the PGA Championship, including 8th in the Masters!

Schauffele already had four top-5 finishes on his resume since January. He came close in the Wells Fargo Championship, Valspar Championship, The Players, The American Express, and Genesis Invitational before striking for his first major.

All of this considered, Schauffele should have the second-best 2024 US Open golf odds behind Scheffler. His true price is closer to +1000 than the current odds of +1200, so consider backing Schauffele at Pinehurst!

The Bet
Xander Schauffele

Where to Bet on 2024 US Open Golf Odds

For the top US Open sportsbook, consider checking out the plethora of betting lines available at Bovada!

As well as US Open 2024 winner odds, prop bets, and matchup wagering, Bovada will have live betting throughout the tournament! If you don’t get your selections in on time, don’t worry. Bovada’s state-of-the-art in-game wagering platform will continue to accept bets after the Round 1 tee times.

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About the Author
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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