Australian Open Men’s Betting Preview – Winner Odds, Favorites, Prediction for 2026

Jannik Sinner (-105)

The defending champion is rightly favored to win his third Australian Open in a row. After kicking off 2025 with an Aussie Open win in straight sets over Zverev, Sinner went on to have another banner season. His match record was a near-spotless 58-6 and he came away with six singles titles.

That included another slam title at Wimbledon, as well as losses in the final, both to Alcaraz, in the French and US Opens.

In his all-time matchups with Alcaraz, it’s the Spaniard who leads 10-6, including wins in seven of their past nine matches. However, Sinner has the most recent major win, defeating Alcaraz in the ATP Finals 7-6(4) 7-5.

The two recently met again in Saturday’s Hyundai Super Match in Seoul, Korea for an exhibition match where each received $2.3 million. Alcaraz came out on top in this warm-up match winning 7-5 7-6(8).

Ended 2025 playing one another.

Started 2026 playing one another.

Alcaraz defeated Sinner 7-5 7-6 in an exhibition match in Korea 🇰🇷

Next: @AustralianOpen 👀 pic.twitter.com/zCQtKp4fkI

— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) January 10, 2026

I normally wouldn’t read too much into an exhibition, but I expect a similarly close clash if the top two meet in the AO final. Still, Sinner’s preference for hard courts should give him an edge in Melbourne.

Carlos Alcaraz (+150)

Last year was just as good, if not better, for Carlos Alcaraz who went 71-9 and won eight singles titles. Alcaraz won both the French Open and US Open, while coming second to Sinner at Wimbledon.

The 71 wins were a career-best, and between April and September he went on a torrid run that saw him reach nine straight finals. Finishing 2025 as the #1 ranked player, saw Alcaraz set another impressive record, being the youngest player to finish #1 in multiple seasons before turning 23.

For all of his success, Australia hasn’t been his happy place. Alcaraz has yet to win an Australian Open and has actually not made it past the quarterfinals in his career. Should he change that narrative and claim his first Aussie Open title, he’ll become the youngest player to ever win all four Grand Slams at just 22-years-old.

However, this will be a tough ask in an unfavorable tournament and potentially, against a flying Sinner.

Novak Djokovic (+1400)

A winner of 10 Australian Opens, the last one in 2023, Djokovic went deep in the event last year, losing in a walkover in the semifinals to Zverev. That halted his pursuit of a record-breaking 25th Grand Slam title. The 38-year-old went 39-11 on the year as a whole and won two singles titles.

As his career advances, there’s always a question on his ability to go deep into tournaments. Djokovic pulled out of the ATP Finals in November with a shoulder injury.

The Serbian was set to participate in a warm-up event in Adelaide this month, but again withdrew, stating he’s not physically ready to compete. Age has caught up with Djokovic, so I don’t expect him to win against the young guns, even if a deep run is still possible.

Alexander Zverev (+2200)

Zverev is last year’s finalist and ranks 3rd in the ATP Rankings. If you believe there’ll be any slip-ups from the top favorites, the German offers an alternative with a much better payout.

Zverev went 57-25 in 2025 and won the Munich Open as his lone title last season. As good as he’s been in his career, Zverev has rarely been a champion, with only five singles titles across the past three seasons. He’s also still yet to win a Grand Slam.

Zverev has had success versus Sinner in his career, winning four of ten meetings, however, Sinner has come out on top in each of the past five.

Versus Alcaraz, Zverev is an even 6-6 and defeated the Spaniard in the ATP Finals in 2024, Still, Alcaraz is 3-1 in their last four matches.

Daniil Medvedev (+3000)

Medvedev has been inconsistent in recent years and has dealt with injuries. But if you’re looking for a player who’s had success in this event outside of the top Australian Open contenders, he could be a solid pick.

Medvedev hasn’t won a slam since 2021, but he’s reached the Australian Open final three times, including as recently as 2024.

2025 saw him go 41-23, winning one singles title. While most of the top players have been off to start the year, he’s already started strong by winning the Brisbane International this weekend; his 22nd career singles title.

Daniil Medvedev has now won 22 professional career titles.

At 22 different tournaments.

He's NEVER won the same one twice.

One of the most incredible stats in tennis. pic.twitter.com/kxkSUd6dnT

— Swish 🍒 Tennis (@Zwxsh) January 11, 2026

If Medvedev is close to his best, he has a shot against anyone, including Alcaraz and Zverev.

Alex de Minaur (+5000)

Alex de Minaur will be the betting favorite among hometown supporters. The 26-year-old Australian reached the quarterfinals last year, losing in straight sets to eventual winner Sinner. He was 56-24 in the 2025 season and won one singles title.

De Minaur was involved in the United Cup last week and did his part with a big win over Hubert Hurkacz in the quarterfinals. However, Australia went on to lose in the decisive mixed doubles match versus Poland to exit the tournament.

This could be a blessing in disguise for de Minaur, as he had the chance to play competitive tennis early on without spending too much energy. With the home crowd behind him, a deep run will be target once again.