2023 ATP US Open Odds and Predictions

The final major tennis championship of the year takes place over the next two weeks on the storied grounds of Flushing Meadows. The greatest tennis players to ever pick up a racket in the world have been here in New York. We are diving into the latest men’s US Open odds and revealing the top bets that we are making at tennis betting sites.

After dissecting the US Open men’s odds, we will switch gears and look at what the women’s US Open odds have to offer in another article. As far as the men’s tournament is concerned, we have what appears to be a two-man race between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz for the 2023 US Open title.

Alcaraz denied Djokovic a chance of a Calendar Slam bid after beating the Serbian in a thriller at Wimbledon. It was a five-set match filled with drama that won’t be forgotten for a very long time. Are we set for another rematch after these two recently met at the Cincinnati Masters event last weekend?

2023 Men’s US Open Odds

The following ATP US Open odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Djokovic is the odds-on favorite to beat Alcaraz for the second consecutive time. If you weren’t paying attention after Wimbledon, you might have missed what happened in Cincinnati. On August 20, Djokovic beat Alcaraz in three sets to avenge his defeat at Wimbledon last month.

As the betting favorite, Djokovic’s US Open odds are currently at +110. However, Alcaraz’s odds are not behind by much at US Open betting sites. The Spaniard is +175 to win the 2023 US Open at Bovada.

The player with the third-best odds, Daniil Medvedev, isn’t in the same stratosphere. Medvedev is +900 to win the US Open, while the rest of the field doesn’t appear to be in strong contention.

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US Open Betting Favorites

According to online sportsbooks, there are two leading favorites to win the final Grand Slam of the year at Flushing Meadows. Let’s break down Djokovic and Alcaraz’s chances, and then our best US Open bets with our final predictions.

Novak Djokovic (+110)

Everything was setting up nicely for Djokovic, but the future superstar of tennis had other plans. Alcaraz defeated Djokovic in five sets, 1-6, 7-6, 6-1, 3-6, 6-4. After Djokovic won the fourth set, it appeared that the veteran was going to ride his wave of experience to get the job done.

Djokovic was well on his way to winning the first Calendar Slam of his career. In other words, win all four major tournaments in a calendar year. He cruised past the competition at the Australian Open and French Open.

However, Alcaraz dug deep to hold off Djokovic for the first Wimbledon title of his career. It should be the first of many for Alcaraz. At the time of Djokovic’s loss, he was on a scorching hot streak prior to getting tripped up.

Djokovic had won 11 straight matches going into the Wimbledon final. Including the 11-match win streak, the 36-year-old Serbian was coming off wins earlier this year in Australia and France. Currently, Djokovic’s singles record is an incredibly impressive mark of 38-5¹.

They call Novak Djokovic the best returner in the game for good reason 🎯#USOpen | @DjokerNole pic.twitter.com/hcQly84lfK

— Eurosport (@eurosport) August 28, 2023

On a hard court, Djokovic has been just about unbeatable at 30-1. He has lost just seven sets on a hard surface this year, with Alcaraz responsible for most losses².

Expect Djokovic to be as motivated as ever to end the Grand Slam season with a win after he was banned from participating at the US Open last year.

Carlos Alcaraz (+175)

As Rafael Nadal nears retirement, there is a torch being passed in Spain. The player on the receiving end is Alcaraz, a 20-year-old phenom who is likely going to dominate the ATP Tour for the next 15 or so years.

There isn’t another young tennis player around his age who is ready to compete with him. Djokovic is 36, so this rivalry isn’t going to go on for very much longer. Let’s enjoy it while it lasts, though.

“The feeling that I have on the court reminds me a little bit when I was facing Nadal when we were at our prime!” ⚡️

High praise from @DjokerNole for @carlosalcaraz 🤝 pic.twitter.com/NqPUoDP3cJ

— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) August 21, 2023

With his win at Wimbledon, Alcaraz won the second major title of his young career. Along with capturing the 2023 Wimbledon title, Alcaraz won the 2022 US Open. However, the defending champ did not have to contend with Djokovic.

Last season, Alcaraz posted a record of 55-12. He is only two wins away from surpassing that mark, and it’s only August. In 2023, Alcaraz carries a record of 53-6 into the US Open. He’s been just as sharp on hard courts as Djokovic, with a standout record of 22-3³.

Alcaraz has arrived, and it could be his time again at Flushing Meadows. However, the road to victory is not going to be as easy with the three-time US Open winner standing in his path.

Best US Open Value Bet: Alexander Zverev (+3300)

Alexander Zverev is coming off a valiant effort at the Cincinnati Masters event last weekend. The German was in top form, as he won four matches, including a win over Medvedev in the Round of 16.

Zverev reached the semifinals, where he was stopped by Djokovic in straight sets. He put in a decent effort despite the loss. The 26-year-old Hamburg native went to a tiebreaker in the first set, but ultimately dropped the match as Djokovic won 7-6, 7-5.

The loss came two tournaments following a win at home in the Hamburg European Open. The No. 4 seed in the tournament, Zverev dispatched Laslo Djere in straight sets, 7-5, 6-3. It was the 20th career title for Zverev.

He has yet to win a major championship, but came close three years ago at the US Open. Zverev was a set away from winning a US Open title, though came up short versus Austria’s Dominic Thiem after winning the first two, 6-2, 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 6-7.

In 2023, Zverev has not been in acceptable form. He enters Flushing Meadows with a record of 37-17 and 85-50 in sets⁴. It is not expected to be an easy assignment, but at +3300 odds to win the US Open, he has to be considered.

Best US Open Longshot Bet: Hubert Hurkacz (+6600)

Another great value to win the US Open is on Hubert Hurkacz at +6600 odds. Hurkacz winning the event would certainly be an upset. However, we can’t pass on the young 26-year-old Pole at these generous US Open odds.

Hurkacz has some solid work on his resume recently, as well. On July 9, he gave Djokovic a sizable challenge in the Round of 16. Hurkacz would eventually lose, but a 6-7, 6-7, 7-5, 4-6 defeat against the red-hot Serbian superstar wasn’t anything to be ashamed about.

Last weekend, at the Western & Southern Open, Hurkacz was playing well until running into Alcaraz in the semifinals. Alcaraz was on his heels in the first set, with Hurkacz being more aggressive and forcing the issue.

Alcaraz & Hubert Hurkacz share a high five at the net after a crazy point.

Carlos ends up on the floor & laughs it off.

Two of the friendliest guys you’ll ever see at the top of any sport.

Appreciate the point.

But appreciate them more. ❤️
pic.twitter.com/xe3NrxmVQS

— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) August 19, 2023

Hurkacz won the first set and just about won the second, too. The Wimbledon winner finished strong, though, for a 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 win to advance to the final match against Djokovic.

He has one ATP tournament win on his resume in 2023. Hurkacz won earlier this year at the Open 13 Provence in France. Overall, he owns a record of 31-18 going into the first round at Flushing Meadows⁵.

If Hurkacz catches a break with Djokovic and Alcaraz struggling, there could be an opening in New York. +6600 on Hurkacz is some of the best men’s US Open odds value of the tournament at Bovada.

Men’s 2023 US Open Prediction

Earlier this year, we locked in our Djokovic future prop bets and predictions for the year. Our final prediction for Djokovic was three Grand Slam titles and reaching the quarterfinals of all four major events.

If Djokovic gets to the quarterfinals at Flushing Meadows, we easily win the one prop bet. Winning the US Open should prove to be more difficult. However, Djokovic has to feel confident in his chances to finish the summer strong.

Not only is he looking to bounce back after losing to Alcaraz at Wimbledon, but he was not allowed to participate at the US Open last year. This prevented Djokovic from having an opportunity to win his third US Open title since 2015.

Most likely, there is extra motivation and drive for Djokovic to leave Flushing Meadows with a win. Any plus-money bet on Djokovic to win the 2023 US Open is a smart play.