2026 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview: Course Analysis and Best Bets

2026 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview: Course Analysis and Best Bets

Picking the best bets for the RBC Canadian Open 2026 will be tricky, as the tournament returns to the North Course at TPC Toronto for the second consecutive season.

I explore what the venue looks like and share my top picks for the eventual winner below. Let’s start with a quick overview of my RBC Canadian Open 2026 top picks.


RBC Canadian Open Betting Picks Summary

Golfer Best Odds Bookmaker
Tommy Fleetwood +1200 BetUS
Wyndham Clark +2000 BetUS
Shane Lowry +4000 Lucky Rebel
Robert MacIntyre +3000 Lucky Rebel
Mac Meissner +6000 Lucky Rebel

RBC Canadian Open 2026 Venue Analysis

The TCP Toronto North Course will host the RBC Canadian Open once again in 2026. It underwent major renovations in 2023 with championship golf firmly in mind, and those changes were rewarded when it was selected to host last year’s Canadian Open.

The tournament proved to be a big success as well, with Ryan Fox mastering the course to post 18 under par over the four days. His victory provided a strong indication of the attributes required to contend around this layout.

Off the tee, the fairways are relatively generous and don’t particularly favour either a draw or a fade bias. Players are given plenty of room to work with, so driving isn’t where the course applies most of its pressure.

The real challenge begins from the fairway onwards. Throughout the week, players will face a large number of approach shots from the 175 to 225-yard range, making long-iron play one of the most important factors.

Precision with those clubs is absolutely vital, not only because the approach shots are lengthy, but because they are often played into elevated, firm greens that place a huge emphasis on distance control and trajectory.

As a result, this course places a premium on consistent ball-striking, particularly with the longer irons. That requirement becomes even more important when you look at how well protected the greens are.

Deep bunkers guard many of the putting surfaces, and they don’t necessarily offer straightforward up and down opportunities. Miss in the wrong place and saving par can quickly become a difficult task.

Overall, I think it’s a really good setup, and for me there is one statistic that stands above all others this week, and that’s long iron play. Of course, if a player does miss plenty of greens, then strong scrambling will help protect their score, but ideally I’m looking for golfers who can consistently find greens in regulation and keep themselves out of trouble in the first place.

I’ve put together a five-man squad for this week’s event before attention turns to the third major championship of the season, with the US Open taking place next week. Best of luck if you’re following the selections, and please gamble responsibly.

1. Tommy Fleetwood (+1200)

My headline selection for this week’s event is world number seven, Tommy Fleetwood. He’s an eight-time DP World Tour winner, a PGA Tour champion, and has already recorded six top 10 finishes this season.

His game is in excellent shape and if anything, it appears to be getting stronger as the year progresses. On top of that, TPC Toronto looks like an ideal fit for Fleetwood’s skill set.

As mentioned earlier, this isn’t a course that demands a huge amount of shot-shaping, and Fleetwood is more than solid off the tee. It’s from the fairway where he really comes into his own. His approach play over the last 12 months has been outstanding, and this looks exactly the type of test that should play to those strengths.

I highlighted earlier that success around TPC Toronto is likely to come from consistently finding greens in regulation and controlling approaches into elevated putting surfaces. With so many elevation changes throughout the course, high quality ball striking is essential, and that’s Fleetwood’s bread and butter.

I also like the form he brings into the week. He finished tied fifth at the Truist Championship before missing the cut at the PGA Championship, which doesn’t concern me too much as I didn’t particularly like that setup for him anyway.

More importantly, he bounced back with a tied fourth finish at the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village last week, which I think offers a strong correlation to this week’s challenge.

The two courses are very different visually, but both place a huge emphasis on second shot golf, and reward players who consistently strike their long irons well. Fleetwood fits that profile perfectly.

It’s difficult to identify many weaknesses in his case this week. The course suits, the form is there, and his ball-striking remains one of the strongest assets in the field. I’d be expecting a very good run for our money from him at TPC Toronto, and if he rocks the putter well here, he could post a real good number.

The Bet
Tommy Fletwood
Betus
+1200

2. Wyndham Clark (+2000)

Next on my list is Wyndham Clark, a player who looks to be peaking at exactly the right time of the season. He currently sits at world number 37, but don’t let that fool you. At his best, Clark is undoubtedly a top 20 player in the world, and he has produced enough evidence over the last few years to back that up. In fact, I think a lot of people have forgotten just how good he is.

His breakthrough PGA Tour victory came at the Wells Fargo Championship in 2023, but that was only the beginning. Later that same season, he went on to win the US Open in a seriously impressive display of high-quality golf. He then followed that up in 2024 by winning the AT&T Pebble Beach, one of the most prestigious and demanding events on the schedule, where he also fired a remarkable round of 60.

No many players in the world can go that low around Pebble Beach. So, 2023 was a huge year, and 2024 was another excellent season. Then came a significant dip in form in 2025, but I think there was a genuine reason behind it.

Clark has long been known for his powerful fade, but throughout last season he appeared to be working hard on adding a reliable draw to his game. That’s not an adjustment that happens overnight, and when a player is making a change of that magnitude, results can often suffer in the short term. The sacrifice now looks to be paying off though.

Over the last few weeks, we’ve seen him use that draw far more confidently and effectively, giving him greater versatility to a wider range of golf courses. The signs have been there in the results too. He won the Byron Nelson two starts ago and then narrowly missed out at the Memorial Tournament last week, finishing runner up with another excellent performance.

His ball striking is in tremendous shape right now, and that’s a major positive heading into a week, where hitting plenty of greens in regulation looks likely to be crucial. TPC Toronto should reward elite tee-to-green players, and Clark certainly falls into that category when he is playing at his best.

With his confidence high, his game trending in the right direction and with his long game firing on all cylinders, he has to have a massive chance this week in Canada.

The Bet
Wyndham Clark
Betus
+2000

3. Shane Lowry (+4000)

Shane Lowry hasn’t enjoyed the best season so far, but one area of his game that has remained consistently strong is his long iron play. Given the demands of TPC Toronto, where approach play and long iron proficiency look set to be crucial, he has to come under consideration.

A three-time PGA Tour winner, Lowry has often produced his best golf on courses that place a premium on second shot play, and that is exactly the type of challenge he faces this week.

TPC Toronto is a layout built around long par 4s, significant elevation changes and firm, demanding greens. Those characteristics tend to reward players who can control their ball flight, manage trajectory and consistently find the right sections of the putting surfaces with their longer irons.

No many players in the field have the skill set that aligns with those requirements quite as well as Shane Lowry’s. While he hasn’t quite hit top gear this season, he has still been playing reasonably well without putting everything together.

This week presents an excellent opportunity to do just that on a course that feels almost tailor made for his strengths. His recent results are far from ideal, but course fit is a huge factor in golf betting, and few players appear to tick as many boxes as Lowry does this week. For that reason alone, he earns his place in the squad.

The Bet
Shane Lowry
Lucky Rebel
+4000

4. Bobby MacIntyre (+3000)

Robert MacIntyre is probably the most difficult player in the squad to fully trust. His recent form hasn’t exactly inspired confidence and to be fair, I’m not sure his price has fully reflected that either.

That said, this looks like a course that should suit him extremely well, and I’m more than willing to forgive a few disappointing performances because of it. MacIntyre can be an emotional player at times, particularly when things aren’t going his way or when a golf course doesn’t suit his eye.

However, he is a previous winner of this event, and that experience alone should give him a confidence boost heading into the week’s event. More importantly, TPC Toronto appears to be a much better fit for his game than many of the courses he has encountered recently.

While his stats profile may not always jump off the page, it’s quite clear that MacIntyre tends to produce his best golf on courses that reward high quality ball striking. His resume also suggests he is a player who enjoys the bigger occasions and stronger fields, often raising his level when the challenge is greater.

If this tournament develops into the ball striking contest many expect it to be, then MacIntyre suddenly becomes a very interesting contender. His putting is generally one of the strongest parts of his game and gives him a solid foundation every week, but the key question is whether the irons turn up. On a course that appears tailor made for his strengths, I would be inclined to give him the chance that a return to form is now. Do not underestimate him this week.

The Bet
Robert MacIntyre
Lucky Rebel
+3000

5. Mac Meissner (+6000)

Finally, Mac Meissner completes the five-man squad, and he is a player who could easily fly under the radar this week. He is still searching for his first PGA Tour victory, but that breakthrough success feels like a matter of when rather than if.

There is plenty to like about his game, and he has shown enough over the last couple of seasons to suggest he is capable of competing at this level.

This season has been particularly encouraging. Meissner has made 11 of his 14 cuts and already recorded three top 10 finishes, highlighting both his consistency and his ability to contend when things click.

When I look at TPC Toronto, I see a course that places a huge emphasis on hitting greens, particularly on the longer par 4s, and that’s where Meissner should feel right at home. In my opinion, his greatest strength is his tee-to-green game. When his ball striking is firing, he is capable of matching some very good players.

The obvious concern is the putter. His form on the greens can disappear for extended periods, and that’s probably the biggest obstacle standing between him and a breakthrough win.

However, if Meissner strikes the ball as well as he is capable of, and seemingly showing to be doing consistently enough, he should give himself plenty of birdie opportunities throughout the week.

At the very least, I’d expect him to hit a lot of greens and give himself a chance to post a competitive number. I could easily see him producing one of the better performances of his season. A real interesting contender this week at a very tempting price.

The Bet
Mac Meissner
Lucky Rebel
+6000

About the Author
Finn Archer profile picture
Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years experience publishing articles on sports, iGaming, travel, and politics. He has a particular passion for soccer as both a fan and a bettor, but he enjoys placing wagers on most sports, political events, and casino games. Since joining The Sports Geek he has been sharing his wisdom to help give you the best chance at making winning bets.
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