Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou Odds and Predictions

Two of the best heavyweights in their respective sports will collide this weekend in Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou. Ngannou will be making his boxing debut after a successful career in MMA. The fight is scheduled for this Saturday, October 28th, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

You can wager on this once-in-a-lifetime clash of heavyweight superstars. Boxing betting sites are loaded with great betting options for this exciting match. Fury is a heavy favorite, but there are plenty of prop betting options that offer appealing odds and value.

Continue reading to see the latest Ngannou vs. Fury odds and prop bets. Also, check out our predictions for this exciting heavyweight clash.

Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou Odds

Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou are courtesy of Bovada.

FighterMoneylineTotal Rounds
Tyson Fury-1600Over 4.5 rounds (even)
Francis Ngannou+800Under 4.5 rounds (-130)

Fury is the reigning World Boxing Council (WBC) champion. The 6’9” “Gypsy King” is also a remarkable 33-0-1 in his professional career. So, it should come as no surprise that sports betting sites have Fury (-1600) as a heavy favorite in this matchup.

Ngannou (+800) cannot be counted out completely, though. He is making his debut in the boxing ring, but Ngannou has proven that he has knockout power. If he can land a clean shot on Fury, the champion could be in trouble.

Tyson Fury’s Recent Fights

Fury made his professional debut in 2008 and racked up a 9-0 record in his first year of boxing. Many of those wins came via KO or TKO.

His early success allowed Fury to climb through the professional ranks quickly, winning several titles along the way. By November 2015, Fury had successfully claimed over a half dozen belts, including:

  • English heavyweight title
  • British heavyweight title
  • Commonwealth heavyweight title
  • Irish heavyweight title
  • WBO Inter-Continental heavyweight title
  • WBO International heavyweight title
  • WBA (Super) heavyweight title

Personal issues, including severe depression and weight gain, caused Fury to step away from the sport. He dropped or was stripped of all of his belts and even lost his boxing license.

Fury was able to return to the sport in 2018, and has used the last half-decade to show he is still the best heavyweight boxer on the planet. Since his return, Fury has had nine fights, including a trilogy with KO artist Deontay Wilder.

Wilder is the only man to put a blemish on Fury’s record. The two boxing superstars fought to a draw in their first matchup. However, Fury defeated Wilder handily in their next two fights. Most recently, Fury faced Dillian Whyte and Derek Chisora, earning TKO victories over both.

Francis Ngannou’s Recent Fights

Former UFC heavyweight champion Francis Ngannou has never competed in a professional boxing match. However, he has a well-earned reputation as one of the scariest knockout artists to ever compete in MMA.

Ngannou made his professional MMA debut in 2013. He fought six times in two years, earning a 5-1 record and a UFC contract.

After winning his first five fights in the promotion, Ngannou lost for the first time in the octagon in his first bout against Stipe Miocic.

Miocic was the reigning UFC heavyweight champion at the time and was able to earn a decision victory. The champion tired Ngannou out with wrestling before picking him apart for a unanimous decision.

Ngannou lost his next fight, too, ending up on the wrong side of a decision against Derrick Lewis. This would be his last loss in the UFC.

A motivated Ngannou went on to earn KO or TKO wins in his next five fights. He defeated the likes of Curtis Blaydes, Junior dos Santos, and Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Ngannou earned a rematch against Miocic and knocked out the champion to win the UFC heavyweight championship.

Ngannou defended his belt only once, earning a decision win over Ciryl Gane. That fight took place in January 2022, and was the last time Ngannou competed professionally. He was stripped of the belt when his contract expired with the UFC.

Fury vs. Ngannou Prediction

StatsTyson FuryFrancis Ngannou
Total Fights3420 (MMA)
Record33-0-117-3 (MMA)
Knockouts2412 (MMA)

Fury has the clear experience advantage this Saturday when he steps into the ring with Ngannou. Fury has competed in 34 pro boxing bouts, earning a 33-0-1 record. Ngannou has never boxed professionally, but he did earn a 17-3 record in MMA, including 12 KOs.

Fury’s best asset in the second half of his career has been his movement. He was largely able to avoid the powerful punches of Deontay Wilder in their series of fights. Then, when Wilder was tired, Fury used his boxing skills to put away the power puncher.

Ngannou has the power to knock out anyone at any time. However, the question is whether he will be able to land any knockout shots on Fury.

I think this will be another defensive master class from Fury. Outside of Floyd Mayweather Jr., Fury may be the best defensive boxer of this century. He will likely try to tire out the inexperienced Ngannou and then hunt for the KO in the latter rounds of this 10-round bout.

The Bet
Tyson Fury

Fury vs. Ngannou Prop Bets

The current odds make it challenging to win money from betting on the moneyline for the Fury vs. Ngannou matchup. Thankfully, sites like Bovada have great prop betting markets for this fight. These wagers give you more chances to win money from this unique boxing match.

Fury vs. Ngannou Method of Victory

Fury by KO, TKO, or DQ-500
Fury by decision or technical decision+600
Ngannou by KO, TKO, or DQ+800
Ngannou by decision or technical decision+6600
Draw or technical draw+2000

Fury vs. Ngannou is not going to be a technical matchup. But both fighters have knockout power, and there is a good chance that this fight does not make it to a decision. You can wager on how the fight will end with this method of victory prop wager.

Fury is favored to win by KO, TKO, or DQ (-500). If he is able to tire Ngannou out in the early rounds, then Fury should have an easier time knocking out the former UFC champion.

Ngannou’s best chance to win is also by a KO, TKO, or DQ (+800), according to the odds for this bet. It is hard to imagine Ngannou fighting a more technical fight than Fury and winning via decision. An early KO is likely the only way that Ngannou gets his hand raised in his pro boxing debut.

I would stick with the favored option for this bet because I doubt that Ngannou can make it 10 rounds with Fury.

The Bet
Fury wins by KO, TKO, or DQ

Will the Fury vs. Ngannou Fight Go the Distance?


If you do think that Ngannou can last the full 10 rounds, then this prop wager is a great option. The oddsmakers at Bovada have the Fury vs. Ngannou bout listed at +500 to go to decision.

As I mentioned above, I do not think that Ngannou will make it the full 10 rounds. Also, even if you believe that Ngannou can pull off the upset, he will likely do it by KO. So, regardless of who you think wins, the “no” (-900) option is the way to go with this bet.

The Bet
Fight Will Not Go Distance

What Round Will Fury vs. Ngannou End?

Rounds 1-2+235
Rounds 3-4+250
Rounds 5-6+235
Rounds 7-8+500
Rounds 9-10+1000

Bovada also has great props available for the round that Fury vs. Ngannou will end in. I like this prop, which puts the rounds in groups of two.

The fight is favored to end in the early rounds, with rounds 1-2 and rounds 5-6 both being listed at +235. Rounds 9-10 are the least likely option in this prop bet and are listed at +1000.

I believe that Ngannou can make it roughly halfway through the bout before he runs out of gas. With that in mind, I like the rounds 5-6 (+235) option the best. After four rounds of trying and failing to land a knockout, I think an exhausted Ngannou will have a difficult time fending off Fury.

The Bet
Fight Ends In Rounds 5-6

Number Of Rounds

Over 4.5 roundsEven
Under 4.5 rounds-130

Last, but not least, you can also wager on a traditional Over/Under for this bout. Bovada has the Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou fight listed at an Over/Under 4.5 rounds.

If you are taking advantage of the final round prop bet above, then you need to make sure that your wagers match up. For instance, I picked the fight to finish in the fifth or sixth rounds. So, I would stick with the Over (even money) option in this total rounds wager.

The Bet
Over 4.5 rounds
About the Author
Shaun Stack profile picture
Shaun Stack
Shaun Stack has authored dozens of casino blogs and joined our team in 2022. He enjoys playing any casino game but is particularly fond of Blackjack and Texas Hold'em. Also, he likes betting on sports, especially the NFL. Shaun is a native of Kansas City, but now lives in Pennsylvania and is an avid PA sports fan.

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