Masters 2024 Betting Odds, Analysis, and Predictions

Masters 2024 Betting Odds, Analysis, and Predictions

The 2024 Masters betting odds of the best golf betting sites suggest an exciting tournament that could go in many different directions.

LIV Golf’s Jon Rahm will return to Augusta National to defend his Masters title from 2023. In December, the star signed a $300 million contract with the Saudi-backed golf series and was subsequently suspended from the PGA Tour, but he is eligible to play in the major tournaments. Can he win the title again?

The bookies certainly think so! In this article, I explore the latest odds to win the Masters and share my best bets for the most prestigious golf tournament in the world.

2024 Masters Winner Odds

The following betting odds for the 2024 Masters as of April 9, 2024 are courtesy of Bovada:

Scottie Scheffler+450
Jon Rahm+1200
Rory McIlroy+1200
Brooks Koepka+1600
Jordan Spieth+2200
Viktor Hovland+3500
Patrick Cantlay+3500
Sahith Theegala+4500
Russell Henley+4500
Justin Thomas+5000

Scottie Scheffler (+450) is the odds-on favorite to win the 2024 Masters. Rahm was close second when odds were posted months ago, but the reigning champion’s odds have since moved all the way down from +900.

Rory McIlroy, who is still searching for his first coveted green jacket, is tied with Rahm’s odds to win the Masters. They have both an implied win probability of 9.1% compared to Scheffler’s 10% if we trust the 2024 Masters betting odds.

As an aside, Tiger Woods’ Masters winner odds are well down the board at +10000. The iconic veteran is a longshot to win the 2024 Masters, with an implied probability of winning of just 1%.

Woods entered his first tournament of 2024 at The Genesis Invitational, where he ultimately withdrew due to an illness in the second round.

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Masters 2024 Top Favorites

Let’s check out the top favorites to win the Masters of the leading online sportsbooks first. These are the guys who you simply can’t ignore when working on your bets.

Scottie Scheffler (+450)

Scheffler is favored to win the Masters and PGA Championship. Additionally, he is the co-favorite to win the U.S. Open and the Open Championship at Bovada. 2024 is obviously expected to be another big year for the 2022 Masters champion.

Currently, Scheffler ranks first in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) rankings. With a total of 533.53 points, Scheffler holds nearly a 200-point advantage over McIlroy as of April 9, 20241.

Tournament Form

The 27-year-old native of Ridgewood, New Jersey, has been in top form on the PGA Tour since the 2022 season. Scheffler dominated the links with four PGA tournament victories, including the 2022 Masters.

Despite not winning a major last season, Scheffler won the “fifth” major of the year at the 2023 Players Championship. Scheffler also won the 2023 WM Phoenix Open in February.

In 119 total events in his PGA career, Scheffler has won eight tournaments and recorded 47 top-10 finishes. Let’s examine what Scheffler has done thus far for the 2024 season:

  • yellow-starBest Masters Result: 1st (2022)

Scheffler 2024 Results:

  • Jan. 21, 2024 – T17 at The American Express
  • Feb. 4, 2024 – T6 at AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
  • Feb. 11, 2024 – T3 at WM Phoenix Open
  • Feb. 18, 2024 – T10 at The Genesis Invitational
  • March 10, 2024 – 1st at Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • March 17, 2024 – 1st at The Players Championship
  • March 31, 2024 – T2 at Texas Children’s Houston Open

Scheffler is in the midst of a torrid pace, with back-to-back wins in the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship. In Scheffler’s latest effort, he was in sharp form in the Texas Children’s Houston Open.

With a T2 finish, Scheffler has recorded a top-3 finish in four of his previous four events! Additionally, Scheffler closed out 2023 with a win in the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas.

Stats & Performance

Through the 2023 season, Scheffler ranked atop the PGA Tour in several important metrics. He was first in Strokes Gained: Total, Approach the Green, and Off the Tee. Additionally, Scheffler had the lowest scoring average on the PGA Tour at 68.629 per tournament.

Also, the star was second in scrambling from the rough. It’s an underrated metric, which measures the ability to bounce back after getting into trouble off the green and fairway. In 2024, Scheffler has remained strong scrambling from the rough, as he is ninth with a 69.23% success rate2.


Scheffler 2024 Stats (PGA):

  • Scoring Average: 1st (67.39)
  • SG: Total: 1st (2.812)
  • SG: Approach the Green: 1st (1.347)
  • Greens In Regulation: 1st (76.13%)
  • SG: Off the Tee: 2nd (0.903)

Scheffler is picking up right from where he left off last season. His top odds of winning the Masters in 2024 are not a surprise. It’s hard to ignore Scheffler’s chances at Augusta National. The guy has been close to unstoppable for a while.

Jon Rahm (+1200)

The defending Masters champ is back with his former peers on the PGA Tour after he departed to LIV Golf. The Spaniard is coming off a win at the 2023 Masters and the 2021 U.S. Open two years prior.

Since leaving the PGA Tour, Rahm has been unable to acquire points toward the OWGR. Nevertheless, he still ranks third in the world with 256 points.

Photo of Jon Rahm celebrating winning the 2023 Master.
Jon Rahm won the 2023 Masters tournament [Photo: Jae C. Hong]

Tournament Form

The last time we saw Rahm in a PGA Tour event was a T18 performance at the Tour Championship in August. He had a rough go of it in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, finishing T37, T31, and T18.

Rahm responded with a win at the Ryder Cup alongside Team Europe, but his last push in the PGA Tour wasn’t his best form. Earlier in the season, however, Rahm was the hottest player in golf.

The superstar won The Sentry, The American Express, The Genesis Invitational, and Masters in 2023. Although Rahm went out with a whimper after a hot start, he had the best comprehensive resume on the PGA Tour last year.

  • yellow-starBest Masters Result: 1st (2023)

Rahm 2024 Results:

  • Feb. 4, 2024 – T3 at LIV Golf Mayakoba
  • Feb. 10, 2024 – 8th at LIV Golf Las Vegas
  • March 3, 2024 – 5th at LIV Golf Jeddah
  • March 10, 2024 – T8 at LIV Golf Hong Kong
  • April 7, 2024 – T4 at LIV Golf Miami

Rahm has finished in the top 10 through his first three LIV Golf events. He’s still searching for his maiden LIV win, but he is in strong form overall. Rahm most recently finished T8 in Hong Kong.

Stats & Performance

Rahm was among the best statistical golfers on the PGA Tour last season. However, his numbers regressed towards the end of the year, and he was unable to maintain his red-hot form.

In 2023, the Spaniard finished third in scoring average at 69.912 on the PGA Tour. Additionally, Rahm was third in birdie average and second in Shots Gained: Total, 2.0323.


Rahm 2024 Stats (LIV):

  • Scrambling: 7th (67.65%)
  • Birdie Average:1st (5.07)
  • Fairway Hit: 16th (55.71%)
  • Greens In Regulation:2nd (74.81%)

Overall, Rahm has been playing well, but the 55.71% of fairways hit is concerning for the Masters. Missing too many fairways at Augusta National can cripple a golfer’s tournament.

Rory McIlroy (+1200)

McIlroy has been regarded as one of the best golfers on the PGA Tour for over a decade. On June 19, 2011, the Northern Irishman won the first major of his career at the U.S. Open.

A year later, he captured the 2012 PGA Championship title and then followed up with the 2014 Open Championship and 2014 PGA Championship titles. Did anyone foresee McIlroy going the next decade without another win in a major?

While the golfer won the FedEx Cup Championship in 2016, 2019, and 2022, he hasn’t won another major since 2014. He’s had a lot of success, but a green jacket has evaded him throughout his career.

Tournament Form

The most frustrating aspect of McIlroy’s major drought is how well he has played otherwise. Over the last five years, McIlroy has won ten PGA tournaments. The most recent was the 2023 Scottish Open at the Renaissance Club in July for the 34-year-old.

Overseas, McIlroy won the European Tour’s Hero Dubai Desert Classic on Jan. 21. The guy has done everything but win another major. He’s come close and been competitive several times, though his putter is known to betray him.

 Since winning the 2023 Scottish Open, McIlroy hasn’t been back to the top of the podium and has struggled thus far this season. The native of Northern Ireland hasn’t finished in the top 20 in all five tournaments he’s entered this year.

  • yellow-starBest Masters Result: 2nd (2022)

McIlroy 2024 Results:

  • Feb. 4, 2024 – T66 at AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
  • Feb. 18, 2024 – T24 at The Genesis Invitational
  • March 3, 2024 – T21 at Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches
  • March 10, 2024 – T21 at Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • March 17, 2024 – T19 at The Players Championship
  • April 7, 2024 – 3rd at Valero Texas Open

Nonetheless, McIlroy is regularly in the hunt at Augusta National. He’s been close to winning the competition several times since 2015. McIlroy has five top-10 performances, including the runner-up position in 2022.

Last season was McIlroy’s worst showing at the Masters. He failed to make the cut after shooting +5 through the first two rounds.

Stats & Performance

McIlroy is regarded as one of the most consistent golfers on the PGA Tour. He hasn’t gotten off to a fast start this year, but I expect McIlroy to get on track soon. Augusta National could very well be McIlroy’s breakout showing of 2024.

If McIlroy is going to win, he needs to shake off the jitters on the green. He’s notoriously struggled to finish holes with a strong putter. Last season, McIlroy was 65th in Strokes Gained: Putting.

As expected, though, he was dominant at almost everything else, with leading numbers in driving distance and second in Strokes Gained: Total, Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, and scoring average4.

Thus far, in 2024, the putter has been letting him down more than ever. After getting into a position to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational through the first two rounds, McIlroy struggled to finish strong for a dreadful score of 76 on Sunday. Ultimately, he fell out of contention to finish T21.

Similar woes followed McIlroy to Bay Hill for The Players Championship, where he finished T19 and shot a 72 in the final round. However, there might be some light at the end of the tunnel. In his prep tournament for the Masters, McIlroy finished 3rd after shooting a blistering hot 66 this past Sunday.


McIlroy 2024 Stats (PGA):

  • SG: Putting: 79th (0.119)
  • SG: Approach the Green:62nd (0.193)
  • Greens In Regulation: 46th (67.87%)
  • SG: Off the Tee: 4th (0.858)
  • SG: Total: 14th (1.052)
  • Scoring Average:61st (70.00)

The driving from McIlroy has been superb again this year. Conversely, however, his putting woes have been present again, as well. Considering McIlroy’s 2024 Masters odds to win, you wouldn’t know he is struggling with his putter.

Nevertheless, McIlory flexed his full arsenal of skills at the Valero Texas Open. If it marks a turning point for McIlory, he bounced back at the perfect time this year. He should be among the leaders, but concerns with his putting in the final round are not going anywhere.

Best Longshots for the 2024 Masters Tournament

You should never ignore the best sleepers when working on your Masters predictions. It would be tough if one of your longshot Masters picks wins, and you didn’t make the bet!

Let’s dig through the betting odds for the 2024 Masters and find some diamonds in the rough at Augusta National:

  1. Sahith Theegala (+4500) – The 26-year-old isn’t a stranger to playing well at Augusta National. Sahith Theegala finished 9th at the 2023 Masters and looked to be in command throughout.

    This year, Theegala started the year with a 2nd place performance at The Sentry and followed up a month later with a top-5 showing in the WM Phoenix Open. Additionally, Theegala’s T6 finish versus a tough field in the Arnold Palmer Invitational was commendable. He did not lose his touch the following tournament at The Players Championship to finish T9 at Bay Hill.

  2. Max Homa (+5000) – Max Homa’s Masters betting odds are a value play at +5000. The eighth-rated player in the OWGR is coming off two wins at PGA events this past season.

    Over the last two seasons, Homa has notched four wins, including the Wells Fargo Championship and Farmers Insurance Open. Also, he recently had solid performances in The Genesis Invitational (T16) and the Arnold Palmer Invitational (T8). I suggest considering Homa as a longshot pick.

  3. Sam Burns (+5000) – If you want to back an under-the-radar player in top form, consider 27-year-old Sam Burns. Before falling to T30 at Bay Hill, Burns was in contention in his previous four assignments: T10, T3, 10th, T6. At +5000, I recommend giving Burns strong consideration on your Masters card.

  4. Russell Henley (+4500) – In the past month, Henley’s odds have come down all the way from +10000! This is a longshot golfer who you should consider putting near the top of your shortlist. After finishing T4 at the 2023 Masters, he returns to Augusta National in good form this year.

    To close out the 2023 season, Henley played well in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. He went T6, T8, and T14 in the three FedEx Cup events. Henley has finished top 5 in two of his last three events entering the Masters, leading oddsmakers to shorten his odds of winning.

Masters 2024 Prediction and Betting Pick

I will preface this by saying I would love to side with McIlroy. It would be a great time to watch him win his first green jacket while cashing a ticket simultaneously.

That being said, it pains me to bet on McIlroy due to his continual putting struggles in big spots. If you want a golfer who has proven to be more clutch over the last few years, Scheffler is hard to beat at the Masters.

Scheffler has the numbers and hardware to show for his hot form over the past few years. Over the last three seasons, he’s ranked 2nd, 1st, and 2nd thus far this season in overall scoring average. Additionally, Scheffler has led in GIR % and the top 5 in Strokes Gained: Total since 2021-22.

Along with the Masters’ longshot bets, we still like Scottie Scheffler despite his odds dropping to +450 . He’s the man to beat in 2024, so Scheffler is my pick to win the 2024 Masters.

The Bet
Scottie Scheffler
Bovada Sportsbook
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  1. Official World Golf Ranking | Retrieved From “

  2. Scottie Scheffler PGA TOUR Stats | Retrieved From “

  3. Jon Rahm PGA TOUR Stats | Retrieved From “

  4. Rory McIlroy PGA TOUR Stats | Retrieved From “

About the Author
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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