NBA DPOY 2025-26 Betting Preview: Odds, Favorites, Predictions

NBA DPOY 2025-26 Betting Preview: Odds, Favorites, Predictions

The 2025-26 NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds have been updated recently, and the latest prices point to one betting favorite at the top! After an injury derailed his campaign a season ago, Victor Wembanyama is back and expected to be a dominant force on defense.

Will he capture his first DPOY award, though? Let’s check out the betting odds, analyze the top favorites, and reveal my best NBA Defensive Player of the Year predictions.


NBA DPOY Betting Odds for 2025-26

The following NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds are courtesy of Lucky Rebel:

PLAYER ODDS
Victor Wembanyama (SAS) -175
Chet Holmgren (OKC) +600
Amen Thompson (HOU) +1500
Draymond Green (GSW) +1600
Dyson Daniels (ATL) +2000
Evan Mobley (CLE) +2200
Anthony Davis (DAL) +2500
Bam Adebayo (MIA) +3000
Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM) +3300
Jalen Suggs (ORL) +4000

San Antonio Spurs’ center Victor Wembanyama (-175) enters this season in the NBA as the favorite to win NBA Defensive Player of the Year. As a -175 betting favorite, Wembanyama has a 63.6% implied probability at the best NBA betting sites.

Aside from Wembanyama, the NBA DPOY odds suggest that there are only two players with a reasonable opportunity for the award.

Barring injuries, Wembanyama and the Oklahoma City Thunder’s Chet Holmgren (+600) are the only true contenders this season. After Holmgren, the Houston Rockets’ Amen Thompson (+1500) has the third-best price, with only a 6.3% implied probability to win.

Before I go through the main players and share my DPOY predictions for 2026, you should know you can find the odds at Lucky Rebel by simply going to Sports > Basketball > NBA Awards > NBA Defensive Player of the Year.


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NBA Defensive Player of the Year Betting Favorites

With only two players listed as favorites, the DPOY honors are expected to come down to two players. The rest of the field are long shots, so let’s break down Wembanyama and Holmgren’s chances:

Victor Wembanyama (-175)

Wembanyama was in the driver’s seat to win the DPOY award last season before going down with a season-ending deep vein thrombosis (DVT) condition in February. Before “Wemby” exited the floor, he was a massive -2500 favorite to win DPOY!

The biggest takeaway from this is not to lay such massive odds, especially on future bets on awards that can end instantly. When it comes to this year’s defensive honors, I think it’s going to come down to the French star’s health.

If the 7’3” phenom stays on the floor and doesn’t have a recurring issue with DVT, then it’s highly likely Wembanyama will collect the Hakeem Olajuwon Trophy. He’s a gigantic shout ahead of the competition, so it would only make sense.

Additionally, Wembanyama has another year of experience and an offseason under his belt in the NBA. The 21-year-old should be closer to reaching his full potential this season.

Before his season ended, Wembanyama was averaging 8.4 defensive rebounds and 3.6 blocks per game! He also notched 1.2 steals per game to showcase a complete defensive game.

Even before arriving in the NBA, Wembanyama’s immense defensive talent was discussed often. Above his offensive skills, he was viewed as a monster on the defensive floor. Due to his height and insane wingspan, he makes it look too easy at times.

The “Alien” is set to be a considerable frontrunner and one of the most NBA Defensive Player of the Year picks!

Chet Holmgren (+600)

I don’t know if you can classify Holmgren as much of a favorite at +600, but he is the second most likely winner. The 23-year-old Gonzaga product is entering his third season with sky-high expectations.

In the same draft class as Wembanyama, Holmgren was selected with the second overall pick behind the Frenchman. It was a smart pick by the Thunder, as Holmgren is an important member of the franchise now and will likely stay that way in the future.

He was an integral part of the Thunder’s NBA title run last season and is going to continue to play a big role this season. The power forward is only getting started, which includes his intelligence and talent as a defender. Holmgren doesn’t have the accolades or numbers to compete with Wembanyama, but he has a motor that doesn’t stop.

In 2024-25, Holmgren recorded an average of 2.3 blocks and 0.7 steals per game. He was also effective on the boards with 6.5 defensive rebounds per contest last season. Still, a lot of what Holmgren does defensively can’t be summed up on a stats sheet.

He’s a tremendous off-the-ball defender and is a major threat due to his length. Along with being an elite rim protector, Holmgren can defend on the perimeter and bother three-point shooters. There isn’t a limit to his defensive talent—he’s one of the most well-rounded players in the NBA.

If Wembanyama suffers another injury this season, Holmgren is in a great position to capture his first Defensive Player of the Year award.


Best 2025-26 NBA DPOY Sleeper Bets

So, what if “Wemby” and Holmgren both go down for an extended period of time? The race will be wide open, with the long shots taking over as the contenders.

Take a look at my top sleeper 2025-26 NBA DPOY betting picks:

Dyson Daniels (+2000)

The Atlanta Hawks’ Dyson Daniels is the most overlooked young player in the NBA. I don’t suggest looking past Daniels, who is a magician with his hands and forces teams to commit turnovers.

He led the NBA in steals with 229 a season ago, finishing with an impressive three steals per game, 1.2 better than Nikola Jokić in second! Getting lazy with the ball around Daniels typically meant it was heading in the other direction.

The 22-year-old eighth overall pick of the 2022 NBA Draft has much more to offer as well. Daniels averaged 1.4 steals in 2023-24 with the New Orleans Pelicans before heading to Atlanta on a trade. He has flourished as a pesky guard with the Hawks, and I think Daniels will build on that season.

At +2000 odds, Daniels carries plenty of value as one of the best Defensive Player of the Year 2025-26 picks.

Evan Mobley (+2200)

Evan Mobley captured the 2024-25 DPOY award to become the first Cleveland Cavalier to win. Mobley had a standout campaign on the offensive and defensive sides. However, it was Mobley’s presence as a defender that caught the eyes of voters.

At 24 years old, Mobley returns this season with another strong chance of getting into the Defensive Player of the Year hunt again. Mobley netted seven defensive rebounds and 1.6 blocks per game. He also finished with 0.9 steals per game, with Mobley an all-around solid player.

His real asset is contesting shots against all players on the floor. He can defend every position with his elite athleticism and versatility. It’s going to be tough for Mobley to defend his DPOY title, but at +2200, a flier is worth considering!


NBA Defensive Player of the Year Predictions and Betting Pick

If Wembanyama stays healthy, the Hakeem Olajuwon Trophy is heading to San Antonio. It would be the first time a Spurs’ player has won the Defensive Player of the Year since 2015-16. Kawhi Leonard captured the top defensive honors in the NBA in back-to-back years.

If it wasn’t for Wembanyama’s DVT condition, we would be talking of how the native of La Chesnay is in prime position to repeat. In any event, he is cleared to return to action and should be operating at 100% without any setbacks this season.

He’s a physical freak, and by that fact alone, Wembanyama is going to have the advantage over his competition. Holmgren is a fantastic defensive player, but despite having a big wingspan, he can’t match up with Wembanyama’s presence.

The way I see it, the value at -175 is undeniable. It won’t be long before Wemby is available at -1000, as long as he is healthy, so get on the “Alien” before this wager has outrageous odds!

The Bet
Victor Wembanyama
-175


Where to Bet on the NBA Defensive Player of the Year 2025-26?

Bet on NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds for the 2025-26 season at Lucky Rebel! Place your wager to win the award at a trusted and well-reviewed online bookie.

Whether you agree with my NBA Defensive Player of the Year predictions or are interested in fading, Lucky Rebel will have you covered with the best odds in the industry! Furthermore, the bookie is offering a tremendous sign-up bonus to new customers right now.

For a limited time, new customers can register at Lucky Rebel to claim a 125% match bonus of up to $1,250!


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125% up to $1,250
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About the Author
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Kyle Eve
Editor-in-Chief
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Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek, providing reliable analysis for millions of readers since joining the team in 2012. After placing his first sports bet on his 18th birthday, Kyle has devoted his entire adult life to becoming the best bettor he can be. He’s covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world, from the Super Bowl and World Series to the NBA Finals and Kentucky Derby. Kyle lives in Windsor, Ontario.
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