2024 WNBA Championship Betting Odds and Predictions

2024 WNBA Championship Betting Odds and Predictions

As the start of the WNBA season quickly approaches, it is time to check out the latest 2024 WNBA Championship odds. I explore the betting lines for every team and release my best bets for this season in this article!

Last season, the Las Vegas Aces won their second consecutive WNBA title. The franchise has won two championships in only six seasons in Nevada.

Is any team ready to challenge the Aces and end their dominance? Below, find the latest championship prices of the top WNBA betting sites and my exclusive 2024 WNBA Championship predictions!

2024 WNBA Championship Betting Odds

The following WNBA Championship 2024 odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Las Vegas Aces+100
New York Liberty+230
Seattle Storm+1000
Connecticut Sun+1200
Indiana Fever+1800
Dallas Wings+2200
Phoenix Mercury+2200
Atlanta Dream+5000

The Las Vegas Aces (+100) are favorites to win the 2024 WNBA Championship once again. At even odds, the Aces have an implied probability of 50% to win their third consecutive title.

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The odds reveal that there should be a two-team race in the WNBA this season. As expected, the New York Liberty (+230) have the second-shortest price to prevent the Aces from continuing their reign at the top.

The challengers have an implied probability of 30.3% of winning the 2024 WNBA Championship. The percentages drop considerably after New York, with the Seattle Storm (+1000) next in line at 9.1%.

Las Vegas Aces (+100)

The Aces won the first professional sports championship for Las Vegas in 2022, beating the Las Vegas Knights, who won the Stanley Cup a year later. The Aces brought the city another championship this past season!

2023 Season Recap

Las Vegas finished atop the WNBA standings with a record of 34-6. They cruised through the competition to gain a 12-game advantage over the Dallas Wings in the Western Conference.

With little competition for the Aces in the West, it felt inevitable for them to reach the WNBA Championship series. Led by 2020 and 2022 WNBA MVP, A’ja Wilson, the Aces didn’t lose a game in the playoffs until the WNBA Finals versus New York.

Las Vegas finished the 2023 WNBA Playoffs with a record of 8-1 and the championship, becoming just the third team in WNBA history to win consecutive titles.

Impact Players

After failing to win her second straight WNBA MVP, Wilson answered by collecting the 2023 WNBA Finals MVP. One of the most complete players in the league, the 27-year-old native of South Carolina averaged 23.8 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks per game in the playoffs!

Wilson returns for her seventh season with the Aces and remains in prime form. After scoring 22.8 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 2.2 blocks per game last season, I do not foresee her regressing1.

With Wilson in the frontcourt and Kelsey Plum at guard, expect the Aces to be just as efficient as they’ve been the last two seasons. Plum is coming off a strong season as well, posting 18.7 points, 2.4 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game2.

However, even more important for the Aces is the return of Chelsea Gray, Jackie Young, and 37-year-old veteran Candace Parker to the starting lineup. Barring injuries, all five starters from the championship team will be back together.

Head Coach

Former Gregg Popovich assistant, Becky Hammon, is on board for another season in Las Vegas. The former WNBA player is the most highly sought-after women’s basketball coach.

In addition to having success in the women’s game, Hammon has been linked to NBA head coach rumors in the past. Prior to the start of last season, she was often mentioned as a potential replacement for Nick Nurse in Toronto.

In two seasons with the Aces, Hammon owns a regular season record of 60-16 (79%) and 16-3 (84.2%) in the playoffs3. There isn’t a better option for Las Vegas at head coach right now!

New York Liberty (+230)

Although the Liberty have played in five WNBA Finals, they do not have a championship to show for their efforts.

Heading into the 2022-23 campaign, the Liberty were roughly co-favorites to win the 2023 WNBA Championship with the Aces at most sports betting sites, but the team is step behind the champions this season.

2023 Season Recap

The Liberty had high expectations after signing Brenna Stewart in the offseason. Following six seasons with the Seattle Storm, she inked a new contract with the Liberty.

The move sent the Liberty’s WNBA Championship odds skyrocketing, and for the most part, they lived up to early season projections. The Liberty finished with a record of 32-8 to comfortably earn the best mark in the Eastern Conference.

They defeated the Washington Mystics in two games to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals versus the Connecticut Sun. The Sun were competitive, and even picked up a win, but ultimately fell in four games.

When it was time to meet with the juggernaut Aces, the Liberty couldn’t sustain the same level of success and lost in the WNBA Finals in four games.

Impact Players

Like the Aces, the Liberty returns their top players from a season ago. Stewart will enter the season looking to defend her WNBA MVP title.

The dynamic 29-year-old forward won the MVP award after delivering 23 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game4. It was a tightly contested battle between Wilson and Stewart, with perhaps some voter fatigue playing a role after Wilson won in 2020 and 2022.

Nevertheless, Stewart was a good choice, and it was a well-deserved MVP for the former UConn star. Stewart is joined by star guard Sabrina Ionescu, who is entering her fifth season in the WNBA after a strong career at Oregon.

As long as Stewart and Ionescu stay healthy, the Liberty will be in good shape again this season. However, do they have the depth and balance throughout their starting five to upend the Aces?

That is the big question mark looking over the Liberty this season.

Head Coach

Sandy Brondello is back with the Liberty this season. She spent eight seasons with the Phoenix Mercury, leading them to a championship in her first year in 2014.

It was best for both parties to move on after Phoenix went just 19-13 in 2021. In her first year with the Liberty, Brondello went a measly 16-20, but the addition of Stewart transformed them into instant contenders.

Overall, Brondello has an WNBA head coaching record of 212-156 (57.6%) and 31-27 in the playoffs (53.4%)5.

Best 2024 WNBA Championship Sleepers

While Las Vegas and New York appear ready to control the WNBA in 2024, there are two dark horses you should be aware of heading into this season. If they suffer a rash of injuries, the door would then be opened for an unexpected team to come into the picture.

  1. Caitlin Clark fever isn’t quite over yet! After playing in her final collegiate game, Clark will take her special talents to the WNBA.

    The undisputed No. 1 pick of the WNBA Draft joins a young team that should have some growth this season. In addition to this season, the Fever  had the first pick in the 2022 and 2023 WNBA Draft.

    While there will be an adjustment period for Clark early in her rookie campaign, she will mature and develop by the end of the year. Enough to win a WNBA Championship? It’s unlikely with the Aces and Liberty in the league, but at +1800, there is value here.

  2. The Phoenix Mercury finished dead last in the WNBA last season. At 9-31, it was a miserable season in the desert, but things are looking much better in 2024.

    Brittney Griner spent last year getting acclimated with basketball again after spending nearly a year in a Russian prison. Not only basketball, but life in general.

    With time to unwind and a new contract, Griner should be ready to lead the Mercury to a decent run this season. Along with 41-year-old Diana Taurasi, there is no shortage of veteran leadership on the Mercury.

2024 WNBA Championship Predictions and Betting Pick

Similar to the 2025 NCAA Women’s Championship, one team has too much depth and balance in their lineup in the WNBA. No other roster in the WNBA comes close to the Las Vegas Aces.

The champions should continue to dominate in the WNBA until the Liberty adds an extra piece or two to their team. Stewart and Ionescu are fantastic players, though they don’t have the same help Wilson and Plum have in Las Vegas.

They are set to join Houston as the only franchise to win three consecutive titles. Houston won four in a row in the first four years of the WNBA. With more competition in the league now, it would be even more impressive for the Aces to pull it off.

There is no reason to believe they can’t win another title with all their talent back in 2024. In my view, the Aces have a 60% to 65% chance of repeating, so I like this bet at even odds.

The Bet
Las Vegas Aces

Where To Bet On The 2024 WNBA Championship?

Bovada has everything recreational and professional bettors need for WNBA Championship betting in 2024.

I encourage you to join the site and explore the extensive list of 2024 WNBA season odds. As well as Caitlin Clark prop bets, live betting, and game props, Bovada will have lines on every regular season and playoff matchup!

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  1. A’ja Wilson Career Stats | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/wnba/player/stats/_/id/3149391/aja-wilson

  2. Kelsey Plum Career Stats | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/wnba/player/stats/_/id/3065570/kelsey-plum

  3. Becky Hammon WNBA Coaching Record | WNBA-Reference.com. Retrieved From “https://www.basketball-reference.com/wnba/coaches/hammobe01w.html

  4. Breanna Stewart Career Stats | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/wnba/player/stats/_/id/2998928/breanna-stewart

  5. Sandy Brondello WNBA Coaching Record | WNBA-Reference.com. Retrieved From “https://twitter.com/BleacherReport/status/1777089124568092812

About the Author
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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