After the Florida Panthers took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven series, the 2025 NHL Stanley Cup betting odds have witnessed a significant shake-up! Who has the upper hand now with Game 4 approaching, and which team will lift the Stanley Cup?
Head below to check out the latest prices to win the best-of-seven series, betting markets, and my NHL Stanley Cup predictions!
2025 NHL Stanley Cup Final Betting Odds
The following Stanley Cup betting odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| TEAM | SERIES WINNER | SERIES SPREAD | SERIES TOTAL GAMES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | -260 | -1.5 (-140) | Over 6.5 (+145) |
| Edmonton Oilers | +215 | +1.5 (+115) | Under 6.5 (-175) |
The Florida Panthers (-260) have pulled away as the odds-on favorite over the Edmonton Oilers (+215). After an emphatic Game 3 win by a score of 6-1, the Panthers are in the driver’s seat, with a 72.2% implied probability to win the Stanley Cup.
Heading into Game 1, the Stanley Cup 2025 odds had the Oilers as a -125 favorite. After dropping the opening matchup, the Panthers took over for a slight advantage at -115 odds. Now, the Panthers clearly have the upper hand with Game 4 on the horizon.
Additionally, the best NHL betting sites give the Panthers a 58.3% implied chance to win the series by 4-1 or 4-2. The under 6.5 is also favored at -175, so there is a 63.6% probability that it won’t go to seven games.
You can find the most up-to-date NHL Stanley Cup Final 2025 odds at Bovada by navigating to Sports > Hockey > Stanley Cup Series Betting.
Florida Panthers – Is the Cup Staying in the Sunshine State?
- Head Coach: Paul Maurice
- 2024-25 Record: 47-31-4 (3rd Atlantic Division)
- Stanley Cup Titles: 1
- Key Players: Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Reinhart, Sam Bennett, Sergei Bobrovsky
After winning their first Stanley Cup in franchise history in 2024, Paul Maurice’s Panthers are back in the championship series and are in control and setting the pace of the best-of-seven matchup. They faltered down the stretch and only finished third in the Atlantic Division. However, the Panthers were dealing with a rash of injuries and suspensions that handcuffed them in the final weeks.
Now, in much healthier shape, and defenseman Aaron Ekblad back from his suspension, the Panthers have been the most dominant team in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. They are 14-6 over their last 20 postseason games and won 11 of their previous 12 series since the first round in 2023.
The Panthers are a much different team when they have their health and are missing key players. Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Bennett, and Brad Marchand were all dealing with a variety of ailments, while Ekblad was suspended for 60 games. All four have played a critical role, with Ekblad contributing on the blue line and offensively.
As for Bennett and Marchand, both are in the running for the Conn Smythe! The duo has combined to produce the bulk of the Panthers’ offensive firepower. What they’ve accomplished so far has never happened in NHL history before!
Brad Marchand and Sam Bennett have both scored in all 3 games to start the Stanley Cup Final 🔥
They're just the 2nd set of teammates in NHL history to do it 👀#StanleyCupFinal #NHLPlayoffs pic.twitter.com/HrE8FsaPmv
— The Sports Geek (@TheSports_Geek) June 10, 2025
Additionally, the Panthers lead all teams in the NHL playoffs with 80 goals, for an average of 4.0 per game. Despite playing one more game than the Oilers, the Panthers have still averaged more goals, which is up from 3.88 before the series started.
Florida ranks first in the league, with 2.40 goals against per game in the postseason. Ekblad’s return and Sergei Bobrovsky’s effort through three rounds have made all the difference, with the goalie delivering a 2.15 GAA and 0.916 save percentage.
Edmonton Oilers – Party Like It’s 1990 in Edmonton?
- Head Coach: Kris Knoblauch
- 2024-25 Record: 48-29-5 (3rd Pacific Division)
- Stanley Cup Titles: 5
- Key Players: Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman, Evan Bouchard
The Oilers achieved their goal of getting back to the Stanley Cup Final after failing to complete the comeback last year. Now, can they win one more game than they did a season ago?
As it stands after three games, the Oilers are in the underdog role after going into the Stanley Cup Final as the betting favorite. They had no energy and were overwhelmed by the Panthers’ physicality.
Although the Oilers have the speed advantage, the Panthers have been able to counter with their physical approach. The champions know how to stretch the rules, which is bothering the Oilers thus far in this series.
If the Oilers can get their step back in Game 4 and back home for Game 5, the Panthers will be under pressure, though. When Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid are blasting into the offensive zone, it can be difficult to counter.
Heading into the Stanley Cup Final, the Oilers led the NHL with 4.06 goals per game. Currently, they are down to 3.89 goals per game after getting locked down in the third matchup.
Led by Corey Perry and Draisaitl, the Oilers have eight players who have scored at least five goals in the postseason. McDavid needs to find the extra gear and somehow get around the Panthers’ aggressive strategy on him because he’s getting banged up right now.
Ekblad STEPPED UP on McDavid 👀 pic.twitter.com/MSeCHB8yXs
— B/R Open Ice (@BR_OpenIce) June 10, 2025
If there is any player who wants this the most, it has to be Perry, who is searching for his second Stanley Cup after losing out multiple times in recent years. Perry has done a great job finding a team to play for that reaches the Stanley Cup Final, but winning has been another story!
Perry has been playing out of his mind with nine goals, four assists, and 13 points in 19 playoff games. He scored in Game 2 and Game 3, as Perry continues to find room in front of the net.
Is this the year that Corey Perry breaks his Stanley Cup Final curse and gets his second career championship? pic.twitter.com/vcmqv1mMzh
— PuckEmpire (@puckempire) May 30, 2025
My biggest concern is which goaltender is going to show up between the pipes for the Oilers. Stuart Skinner was outstanding in the Western Conference Final and outplayed Jake Oettinger. However, he’s such an inconsistent goalie, and that’s undoubtedly been the case against the Panthers.
The goalie holds a 2.84 GAA and .894 save percentage in 13 games in the playoffs this season. In three games against the Panthers, Skinner has allowed 13 goals on 97 shots. He was pulled from Game 3 and replaced with Calvin Pickard after conceding five goals on 23 shots.
If Skinner continues to struggle, don’t be surprised if Pickard takes over for the rest of the series, but it’ll likely be too late by then.
2025 Stanley Cup Final Predictions and Betting Pick
Now, let’s delve into my NHL Stanley Cup Final prediction between the Panthers and Oilers! Is the Cup going back to Canada for the first time since 1993?
If Skinner remains in top form, the Oilers will have a good chance of pulling it off in a revenge spot over the Panthers. However, it hasn’t happened yet, and Skinner appears frustrated in the crease.
Head coach Kris Knoblauch is in a tough position right now. He can stick with Skinner or turn to Pickard, who looked sharp earlier in the playoffs before he got injured.
Knoblauch will likely give Skinner another start, but he could have a short leash. Let’s not act like it’s only the goalie’s fault, though. The defense has looked lazy and is getting beaten up by the Panthers’ physical forecheck.
The Panthers only needed five games to beat the Hurricanes, and end two of their three series early, for good reason. When their opponents tried to set up shop in the Panthers’ zone, it was increasingly difficult to work the puck around because the Panthers were constantly shutting down lanes.
Combine that with a physical team that wins puck battles in the corner, and the Panthers are a tough team to beat. Despite needing seven games versus the Maple Leafs, they didn’t allow their stars to get going, as Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and Mitch Marner were non-factors offensively. Credit to their head coach, whose system has resonated tenfold in Sunrise.
I backed the Panthers prior to the puck dropping for Game 1 at +105 and will continue riding Florida. As expected, the Panthers have been too physical and aggressive, which has ultimately beaten the Oilers’ team speed. I don’t think you can rule out a team that has McDavid and Draisaitl, but the Panthers are firmly in control.
For your 2025 Stanley Cup Final betting picks, consider betting on the red-hot and confident Panthers to win the series!
Where to Bet on the 2025 NHL Stanley Cup Final?
Multiple online bookmakers are offering NHL betting odds for the championship series. With many options, where should you place your NHL Stanley Cup Final picks? For the best experience, which includes superior prices, betting markets, and fast payouts, The Sports Geek recommends registering at Bovada.
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