2025 FA Cup Final Odds and Prediction – Will Man City Hold Off Palace at Wembley?

2025 FA Cup Final Odds and Prediction – Will Man City Hold Off Palace at Wembley?

The 2025 FA Cup Final odds unsurprisingly favor Manchester City, who are seven-time winners in the world’s oldest soccer competition. However, high-flying Crystal Palace are looking for their first FA Cup title and will enter the game in excellent form. Who will lift the trophy at the legendary Wembley Stadium on May 17?

I’ll sort through the FA Cup Final odds and give you my predictions and best bets on a solid return as the 144th edition of the tournament comes to a close in London!

FA Cup Finals Odds Summary

TEAMMONEYLINESPREADTOTALTO LIFT THE TROPHY
Manchester City-133 (Tie +280)+0.75 (-116)Over 2.75 (-106)-250
Crystal Palace+362 (Tie +280)-0.75 (-104)Under 2.75 (-114)+198

As I said, City are the favorites in the FA Cup Final odds, and they’ve had their way with Palace recently. The moneyline odds give City an implied win probability of 57.1% to win in regular time, which is much lower than I would have expected. Coming back, Palace has an implied win chance of 21.6% to win their first FA Cup!

You can bet on these FA Cup Final odds for 2025 at SportsBetting.ag by navigating to Sports > Soccer > Other Leagues > English FA Cup.

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Can Manchester City Rescue the Season with a Trophy?

Manchester City (-133)

Pep Guardiola has won a trophy in each of the previous eight seasons at Manchester City, including a pair of FA Cups in 2019 and 2023. They lost in the FA Cup Final last season as favorites over rivals Manchester United, who pulled out a 2-1 upset win.

This is City’s last chance to win a trophy this season as Liverpool has won the Premier League. City also lost to Real Madrid in the knockout play-off phase in the Champions League, and Tottenham in the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

But there are plenty of reasons that City are heavy favorites in the 2025 FA Cup Final odds. They’re definitely the better team on paper. They haven’t lost in ten games, which includes a 5-2 win over Crystal Palace on April 12 at home.

Kevin De Bruyne will leave the club after ten seasons, and while he isn’t the player he was, “KDB” was brilliant in that game with a goal and two assists. Erling Haaland is back from injury, joining Phil Foden, Omar Marmoush, Bernardo Silva, and Jeremy Doku, among others.

It’s no secret that City has missed Ballon d’Or winner Rodri in midfield after he tore his ACL early in the season. But Mateo Kovacic is a veteran who can hold his own, and Nico Gonzalez gas been a strong addition to the midfield after signing in February from Porto.

If City plays to their potential, there’s no reason that they shouldn’t win this game. However, they lost to United as the better team last season. That’s why you play the games!

Can Crystal Palace Win Their First FA Cup?

Crystal Palace (+362)

Crystal Palace will finish middle of the pack in the Premier League, which is where they usually end up. They also fell 3-2 to Arsenal in the quarterfinals of the EFL Cup. Not only would this be Palace’s first FA Cup win ever, but it would be their first trophy since winning the Championship (the second division) in 1994.

They have finished second in the FA Cup twice, to Manchester United in 1990 (when there was a second game after the first was 3-3 after 120 minutes), and again to United in 2016 in extra time.

Losing Michael Olise to Bayern Munich was massive, leaving a lot of the attacking responsibility to Eberechi Eze. However, Ismaila Sarr and Jean-Philippe Mateta have been excellent, and Mateta has made his way back from a scary head injury suffered against Millwall in the FA Cup.

Palace will try to lean on a defense marshalled by center-backs Marc Guehi and Maxence Lacroix. They’ll try to keep City at bay and launch quick counterattacks.

The problem is that it hasn’t gone Palace’s way against City lately. They’ve won just two of their last 20 meetings against the Cityzens, back in December 2018 by a 3-2 scoreline, and 2-0 in October 2021. Both of those wins came at City’s home ground, but this is a neutral-ground affair.

FA Cup 2025 Final Odds, Predictions, and Betting Picks

I believe this game will be finished in 90 minutes, and I would make Manchester City at -133 as my FA Cup Final betting prediction! City has played much better as of late and swatted aside Palace just a month ago, and they would love to finish the season with a trophy.

I would also recommend a wager on Over 2.75 at -106. I think Palace can get one on City, whose defense is suspect this season. But City’s attack can overwhelm the best of teams, and Palace isn’t there.

Manchester City will be on a mission. They’ll want to send De Bruyne, one the best players in the club’s history, out on a high note!

The Bet
MAN CITY TO WIN
The Bet
OVER 2.75 GOALS

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About the Author
Finn Archer profile picture
Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years of experience publishing articles under the pseudonym Phil Bowman. He’s also a longtime sports enthusiast and bettor with a strong passion for soccer. That said, he’ll dabble in anything involving a ball, bat, or boxing gloves! His writing mainly focuses on helping bettors learn from their mistakes and gamble responsibly. Finn currently lives in Europe.
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