2023 PGA Championship Odds and Picks

The second major PGA Tour golf championship of the year is less than a week away. On Thursday, May 18, 2023, the best golfers in the world will be at Oak Hill Country Club for the 2023 PGA Championship.

The PGA Championship is one of four major championships on the PGA Tour. Spaniard Jon Rahm, won The Masters at Augusta National a month ago. Following the PGA Championship, the PGA Tour will turn to Los Angeles Country Club for the U.S. Open in June.

Rahm was the hottest golfer through the first half of 2023. After winning multiple tournaments, including the Masters, he is a serious contender in the PGA Championship. However, Rahm is not the only favorite at Oak Hill.

Let’s take a look at the latest PGA Championship odds, courtesy of the best PGA Championship betting sites, and make our predictions as to who will win this tournament.

How To Watch PGA Championship

The 2023 PGA Championship can be watched on ESPN, ESPN+, and CBS. The dates and times will determine which television network you must tune in to watch the PGA Championship.

CBS gets the late window on Saturday and Sunday in the afternoon. Otherwise, you can catch the rest of the action live from Oak Hill on ESPN and ESPN+. Refer to the PGA Championship TV schedule for more information1.

Thursday, May 18:

  • ESPN+: 7:00 a.m. EST – 1:00 p.m. EST
  • ESPN: 1:00 p.m. EST – 7:00 p.m. EST

Friday, May 19:

  • ESPN+: 7:00 a.m. EST – 1:00 p.m. EST
  • ESPN: 1:00 p.m. EST – 7:00 p.m. EST

Saturday, May 20:

  • ESPN+: 8:00 a.m. EST – 10:00 a.m. EST
  • ESPN: 10:00 a.m. EST –  1:00 p.m. EST
  • CBS: 1:00 p.m. EST – 7:00 p.m. EST

Sunday, May 21:

  • ESPN+: 8:00 a.m. EST – 10:00 a.m. EST
  • ESPN: 10:00 a.m. EST – 1:00 p.m. EST
  • CBS: 1:00 p.m. EST – 7:00 p.m. EST

Tiger Woods PGA Championship

If you are interested in the PGA Championship because of Tiger Woods, then we have some bad news. Tiger will not be on the PGA Championship odds board in 2023.

Woods played the Masters and was seen limping off the course at Augusta National after making the cut. Woods’ body ultimately broke down on him, and the Masters’ longshot had to withdraw from the event.

After dealing with back problems in his career, along with a car wreck that broke his leg in multiple spots, it isn’t any surprise that Woods is having trouble finishing rounds.

Woods recently underwent ankle surgery to repair a subtalar fusion. The surgery will reportedly provide Woods with more stability, but there is currently no word on how long this will keep him out of action2.

Before it was announced he wouldn’t play, golf betting sites had PGA Championship odds for Tiger. Last month, Woods was listed to win the PGA Championship with +6600 odds at Bovada.

Despite the injury concerns, his odds to win the PGA Championship were in the same ballpark as Patrick Reed, Justin Rose, Louis Oosthuizen, Corey Conners, and Talor Gooch. Oddsmakers are well aware that the public will bet on Tiger regardless if he is playing on one leg or not.

2023 PGA Championship Odds

The following 2023 PGA Championship odds are courtesy of Bovada:

GOLFER ODDS GOLFERODDS
Jon Rahm+800Scottie Scheffler+800
Rory McIlroy+1200Brooks Koepka+1600
Justin Thomas+2000Cameron Young+2200
Collin Morikawa+2200Patrick Cantlay+2200
Xander Schauffele+2200Jordan Spieth+2500
Tony Finau+2500Viktor Hovland+2800
Cameron Smith+3000Jason Day+3000
Max Homa+3000Dustin Johnson+3300
Matthew Fitzpatrick+3300Sung-Jae Im+3500
Sam Burns+4000Hideki Matsuyama+5000
Shane Lowry+5000Sahith Theegala+6000

Currently, Bovada has Scottie Scheffler and Rahm as co-favorites to win the 2023 PGA Championship at +800. These two golfers are co-favorites at a majority of PGA betting sites.

Are we going to have a duel between the two hottest golfers on the PGA Tour? It would make for an exciting back nine of golf on Sunday afternoon in Rochester, New York. Let’s break down the favorites and our top PGA Championship picks.

PGA Championship Betting Favorites

The following players are considered the favorites according to sports betting sites:

Jon Rahm (+800)

If you just want to bet on a golfer that is in the best form this season, Rahm has to be your pick at Oak Hill. He didn’t fully live up to expectations last year, but he has made up for it in short order.

Rahm was favored to win several tournaments last year. However, he was only victorious in one out of 19 attempts. In 2023, Rahm has already won four tournaments in 13 outings, including this year’s Masters tournament.

His win at the Genesis Invitational was the first time that a PGA Tour player has won three tournaments in a calendar year before March since 19753. Rahm has dominated at the top of the Tour metrics as well.

The 28-year-old native of Barrika, Spain, ranks first in three important statistical categories. Rahm is first in scoring average, birdies per tournament, and Shots Gained: Total. Additionally, Rahm ranks second in greens in regulation and third in approaching the green.

The PGA Tour average for a tournament is 71.285. Rahm is well ahead of the curve with an average score per tournament of 68.629. With 5.22 birdies per event, Rahm has nearly two more on average than his opponents this season4.

It does not come as a surprise that Rahm is a front-runner to win consecutive majors.

Scottie Scheffler (+800)

Scheffler couldn’t finish strong in the FedEx Cup Championship last year. Rory McIlroy staged an improbable comeback to win the season title. However, Scheffler had the best overall form in 2022.

Last year, Scheffler won four tournaments. He was also a runner-up in another four outings. Scheffler was close to winning a whopping eight tournaments in a single calendar year.

Scheffler has been overshadowed by Rahm this season, but he is still having success. He has won two tournaments, and it might be a third after the AT&T Byron Nelson. As of this writing, Scheffler is currently in contention at TPC Craig Ranch (finished T5).

In March, Scheffler had a fairly easy win at The Players Championship. He pulled away for a five-stroke win at TPC Sawgrass in Florida. A month earlier, Scheffler won in Arizona on Super Bowl Weekend in the Phoenix Open.

While Rahm has more wins this year, including the Masters, Scheffler is in top form going into the PGA Championship. His ability to get onto the green before the rest of the field has helped immensely.

Scheffler leads the PGA Tour with roughly 74% of greens reached in regulation5. He has a slight advantage over Rahm in this respect. At Oak Hill, it should come in handy for the 2022 Masters winner.

The metrics point to Rahm and Scheffler at the top of the PGA Championship leaderboard. However, should your betting strategy include either of them? What about the 2022 PGA Championship winner, Justin Thomas?

Let’s dig deeper into the PGA Championship odds at Bovada.

Best PGA Championship Betting Value: Tony Finau (+2500)

After winning two tournaments last season, Finau is just one win away from recording a new career high in wins. In the early stages of the 2022-23 season, Finau won the Houston Open at Memorial Park Golf Course.

On April 30, he captured the Mexico Championship over Rahm. Finau shot a tournament-best 24 to finish three strokes better than the streaking Rahm in Vidanta Vallarta.

There aren’t many golfers that can say that they outdueled Rahm on the final day of a tournament this year. However, Finau is still in search of the first major tournament win of his career.

After going five years with only one win, Finau has won five tournaments since 2021. The 33-year-old is in the best position he has ever been in to win a major.

This is the first season that we have seen Finau rank consistently with the top players on the PGA Tour. For instance, Finau is third in SG: Total, SG: Tee-to-Green, and birdies per event this season.

Approaching the green has been a particularly strong point for Finau. He is second with a value of 1.1086. Despite finishing T30 at Southern Hills in the 2022 PGA Championship, Finau should be in better shape at Oak Hill.

It is hard not to like Finau to win the PGA Championship at these odds, as they are among the best on the board at Bovada.

The Bet
TONY FINAU

Best PGA Championship Longshot Bet: Sahith Theegala (+6000)

Theegala may not have the form of Scheffler and Rahm, but he has been playing some competitive golf. The native of Orange, California, is still looking for his first career win.

In 63 PGA Tour events, Theegala has come up winless. However, he has gotten closer recently. Last season, Theegala was the runner-up at the Travelers Championship, and then in November 2022, at the RSM Classic.

There have been more promising results from Theegala recently too. In the 2022-23 season, Theegala has a total of seven Top 10 finishes in 18 tournaments7.

This includes the Farmers Insurance Open, The Genesis Invitational, Masters, and RBC Heritage. The Masters took place a week earlier than the RBC Heritage last month.

For a player that only started playing the top tier of PGA Tour golf in 2022, Theegala is holding his own. He is trending up and could play spoiler at Oak Hill this weekend.

Theegala is in the Top 5 for total hole outs, total birdies, and consecutive cuts made on the PGA Tour this season. He’s also above the PGA average with an SG: Total of 0.6848

With odds to win the PGA Championship at +6000 or longer, Theegala is worth considering as a longshot bet to win at Oak Hill.

The Bet
SAHITH THEEGALA

2023 PGA Championship Prediction

For our final PGA Championship prediction, it is a tough call between Scheffler and Finau. We recommend grabbing both at these odds. Scheffler might be a favorite, but he is still getting good value at +800 odds.

Despite not having as impressive of a resume as Rahm this season, Scheffler is right there next to him. The 26-year-old native of Ridgewood, New Jersey, has some big wins to his credit.

Scheffler was the runner-up at the Hero World Challenge and fourth at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play earlier this season. However, his most notable accomplishments were winning the Phoenix Open and The Players Championship9.

Currently, the second-highest ranked golfer in the world is in the midst of a strong effort at TPC Craig Ranch in the AT&T Byron Nelson. In his tune-up for the PGA Championship, Scheffler is in great form.

After Rahm won the Masters, expect Scheffler to have a strong chance of finishing at the top of the 2023 PGA Championship leaderboard.

The Bet
SCOTTIE SCHEFFLER

Sources

  1. How To Watch: 2023 PGA Championship | PGA Championship. Retrieved From “https://www.pgachampionship.com/how-to-watch

  2. Woods’s latest surgery will provide football stability; his availability is a different question | Sports Illustrated. Retrieved From “https://www.si.com/golf/news/woods-latest-surgery-foot-stability-availability-is-different-question

  3. Jon Rahm Bio: PGA Tour Media Guide. Retrieved From “https://www.pgatourmediaguide.com/player/bio/46970

  4. Golf Stat and Records | PGA Tour. Retrieved From “https://www.pgatour.com/stats

  5. Scottie Scheffler PGA TOUR Stats | PGA Tour. Retrieved From “https://www.pgatour.com/player/46046/scottie-scheffler/stats

  6. Tony Finau Bio: PGA TOUR Media Guide | PGA Tour. Retrieved From “https://www.pgatourmediaguide.com/player/bio/29725

  7. Sahith Theegala PGA TOUR Stats | PGA Tour. Retrieved From “https://www.pgatour.com/player/51634/sahith-theegala/career

  8. Sahith Theegala PGA Tour Stats | PGA Tour. Retrieved From “https://www.pgatour.com/player/51634/sahith-theegala/stats

  9. Official World Golf Rankings – Scottie Scheffler Player Profile | OWGR. Retrieved From “https://www.owgr.com/playerprofile/scottie-scheffler-18417

About the Author
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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