Best Trump Prop Bets: Odds, Analysis, and Betting Predictions

Trump to be on the 2028 Presidential Election Ballot

• • Yes (+800)

Jokingly or not, Trump has mentioned a potential 2028 run multiple times. The President even has “Trump 2028” merchandise for his MAGA followers to buy.

Running for a third term would be unconstitutional, but Trump is known for trying to find loopholes and workarounds. He is listed at 8-1 odds to be on the 2028 presidential election ballot in the latest political lines at BetUS.

With Vance and Rubio seen as the party's strongest potential candidates in a 2028 primary, the two have to balance their roles in the Trump administration with their future political plans.https://t.co/xPU81Rnsyf

— PBS News (@NewsHour) April 1, 2026

BetUS also has Trump Sr. listed at 4-1 odds to run and 7-1 odds to be on the 2028 Iowa GOP Caucus ballot.

Trump has been the dominant force in the GOP for a decade and would presumably win the Republican nomination. Even if he did not win the primary, he would have more than enough support from MAGA voters to form his own party and run as a third-party candidate.

A small stake on Trump going for it makes sense, given his past history of bending the rules or outright breaking them.

Total Trump Family Members on the 2028 Election Ballot

• • Over 1.5 family members (+700)
  • Under 1.5 family members (-2000)

Speaking of the Trump family and the 2028 election, you can wager on the total number of Trumps on the 2028 ballot. BetOnline has the line set at over/under 1.5 Trumps on the 2028 ballot.

The family members included in this wager are: Don Sr., Don Jr., Eric, Ivanka, Jared Kushner, Lara, Tiffany, and Barron. To count toward the total, they must be on the ballot for one of the following positions:

• • President
  • Vice President
  • S. Senate
  • S. House of Representatives

Barron is too young to run for President, but other Trump family members have the following odds at BetUS to run for the office in 2028:

• • Donald Trump Jr. (+400)
  • Eric Trump (+700)
  • Ivanka Trump (+1000)

Whether Trump Sr. runs again in 2028 or not, bringing other Trump family members into politics would be one of the easiest ways for the President to capitalize on his MAGA support. With that in mind, I like the over in this Trump prop wager.

Trump, US to Recognize New Supreme Leader of Iran

The current US-Iran war started when a joint airstrike from Israel and the US assassinated the supreme leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei. Interim leadership is in place, but unrest in the region is likely to continue until a new permanent leader is appointed.

Trump talks of possibility of meeting Iran’s supreme leaderhttps://t.co/SuUGDE6FHB

— The Hill (@thehill) June 4, 2026

BetUS has odds on who the next leader in Iran could be. Specifically, you can bet on Reza Pahlavi returning to power and whether Trump and the US will recognize Pahlavi as the leader of Iran.

• • Reza Pahlavi to lead Iran in 2026 (+1600)
  • US to recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026 (+1000)

Pahlavi is the son of the last Shah and has lived in political exile in the US for decades. He initially supported Trump’s war in Iran, but Pahlavi and the President have had a rocky relationship since. However, if the US does play a role in picking the next leader in Iran, Pahlavi could be a sympathetic figure for Trump in the Middle East.

A small wager on him returning to his native country makes a lot of sense.

Trump to Endorse a 2028 Candidate

The next presidential election is over two years away, but questions are already rising about who the GOP will run in 2028. Trump has hinted at running for a third term, going so far as to sell “Trump 2028” merchandise.

If Trump does not run, then his endorsement will be highly sought after by every Republican hopeful.

BetOnline has Trump listed at +800 odds to endorse someone other than himself for President in the 2028 election.

There will be no shortage of presidential hopefuls vying for Trump’s endorsement, including members of his current cabinet. Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are two of the top potential candidates expected to fight for Trump’s stamp of approval, so it might be a good idea to bet on potential endorsement.

Will Trump Add Himself to Mount Rushmore?

Trump has used a significant part of his second term trying to place his personal stamp on beloved US monuments. Some of his recent efforts include putting his name on the Kennedy Center and awarding a no-bid contract to his friends to repaint the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool.

A federal judge ordered Trump’s name removed from the Kennedy Center, and the Reflecting Pool painting project has far exceeded its initial budget.

Trump posts an image of himself on Mount Rushmore pic.twitter.com/FoLN9lGaGQ

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) May 30, 2026

Trump has recently shared images of his face added as the fifth President on Mount Rushmore. BetUS has the following odds for Trump adding himself to the monument by the end of his current term:

• • Trump adds himself to Mount Rushmore by Jan. 21st, 2029 (+450)

It would take years to carve Trump’s face into the monument, but he only needs to start the process for this wager to hit. There have already been attempts to add Trump to the monument, including a H.R 792.

The bill, introduced by Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL), would direct the National Park Service to add Trump to Mount Rushmore. H.R. 792 has not progressed through the House since its introduction in January 2025.

Still, that would be a step too far, even for Trump, so I don’t recommend betting on it.

New Supreme Court Justices Appointed

• • Zero new justices (+500)
  • 1 new justice (+110)
  • 2 new justices (+100)
  • 3+ new justices (+900)

Appointing a justice to the Supreme Court of the United States is one of the best ways for any president to cement their legacy. Trump appointed three justices in his first term: Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.

BetUS has odds on the number of new justices appointed before the 2028 presidential election. Barring his unforeseen removal from office, any new justices appointed before the 2028 election would be Trump appointees.

Two new justices is the even-money favorite, with the one new justice option a close second at +110. Zero justices and three or more new justices round out the field at 5-1 and 9-1 odds, respectively.

Clarence Thomas (77) and Samuel Alito (76) are both conservative justices who could step down to make way for new Trump appointees. However, the outcome of this bet will depend heavily on the outcome of the midterm elections.

A SCOTUS appointee must be approved by a simple majority vote in the Senate. The GOP controls the Senate by a 53-45-2 margin. However, BetUS has the Democrats listed as -130 favorites to control the Senate after the midterm elections.

If the Democrats do win control of the Senate, they are unlikely to approve any Trump appointee to SCOTUS. Considering that, I recommend the “zero new justices” option, which offers a ton of value at +500 odds.

Will Trump Change US Elections?

The 2026 midterm elections could make or break the second half of Trump’s second term. Not one to accept defeat, there is plenty of speculation about how Trump may try to change US elections to his benefit.

Exclusive: Pro-Trump activists are circulating a draft executive order alleging Chinese interference in the 2020 election, proposing a national emergency to expand presidential power over voting, like banning mail ballots and voting machines. https://t.co/oZ8zw88Dpk

— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) February 26, 2026

BetUS has multiple props for how Trump could change elections, including:

• • Nationalize presidential elections (+500)
  • Sign bill to repeal presidential term limits in 2026 (+1600)
  • Declare election interference a national emergency (+400)

Trump himself has suggested nationalizing elections. There are also reports that the President could issue an executive order declaring election interference a national emergency. Trump has frequently raised the alarm about election interference dating back to before the 2020 election, so this could be the key to his best.

Repealing the 25th Amendment, which limits a President to two terms, would be Trump’s best chance of staying in power and avoiding being a lame-duck President. For reference, BetUS has Trump listed at 8-1 odds to be on the 2028 ballot, something he could not do without repealing the term limit.

Still, this is another unlikely outcome, so you better stay away from the bet.