2025 Heisman Odds and Predictions – Arch Manning’s Time to Win the Heisman?

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Finn Archer
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2025 Heisman Odds and Predictions – Arch Manning’s Time to Win the Heisman?

The Heisman odds for 2025 featured a familiar last name at the top of the board as Arch Manning was favored. He has dropped down the list, but how far has Manning fallen, and who is the favorite now?

I’ll take a look at the favorites, contenders, and longshots I like, and give you my best Heisman prediction at the end of this article!


2025 Heisman Trophy Winner Odds

Here are the current Heisman odds heading into Week 3, courtesy of BetUS.

PLAYER ODDS
Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) +700
John Mateer (Oklahoma) +800
Carson Beck (Miami) +1000
Arch Manning (Texas) +1200
Dante Moore (Oregon) +1200
LaNorris Sellers (South Carolina) +1400
Gunnar Stockton (Georgia) +1400
Devon Dampier (Utah) +1400
Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) +1600
Drew Allar (Penn State) +1800
Cade Klubnik (Clemson) +2000
Jackson Arnold (Auburn) +2000
Thomas Castellanos (Florida State) +2000
Julian Sayin (Ohio State) +2200
DJ Lagway (Florida) +2200
Marcel Reed (Texas A&M) +3500
Jayden Maiava (USC) +4500

After two weeks of action, there is a change at the top of the Heisman winner odds at college football betting sites! Garrett Nussmeier (+700) is now the favorite after opening at +900, giving him an implied probability of 12.5% to win the award. Oklahoma quarterback John Mateer (+800) has moved from +2500, giving him an implied probability of 11.1% to win the award. Oregon signal-caller Dante Moore (+120) has also moved up after starting the season at +2500.

Miami’s Carson Beck (+1000) has improved his Heisman odds from +1800, while preseason favorite Arch Manning (+1200) of Texas has fallen from +600 to +1200, although he is still in the mix. South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers (+1400) and Georgia’s Gunnar Stockton (+1400) have an implied win chance of 6.7%.

There are several players between +1400 and +1800, but it’ll probably take a couple more weeks for the true contenders to distance themselves from the rest of the field. We’ll keep you updated throughout the season!

You can wager on the updated Heisman odds at BetUS by going to Sportsbook > Football > NCAAF Season Awards > Heisman Trophy.

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Favorites in the 2025 Heisman Odds

First, let’s examine the 2025 Heisman odds for the favorites after Week 2!

Garrett Nussmeier (+700)

Nussmeier was better on the road at Clemson in Week 1 than he was last week against Louisiana Tech at home. The senior quarterback was 26-of-41 for 237 yards, a touchdown, and a pick in a 23-7 win over the Bulldogs.

Nussmeier looked much more poised at Clemson, where he was 28-of-38 for 232 yards and a touchdown in one of college football’s toughest places to play. He should know now that you can’t take your foot off the gas, even against a lower team like Louisiana State, who sacked Nussmeier three times.

He’ll have a chance to redeem himself this weekend as LSU hosts Florida, who just lost at home to South Florida. The Gators might not be as good as in the past, but plenty of eyes will be on this match, which means Nussmeier has to perform. I wouldn’t discount Nussmeier’s Heisman winner odds just yet, but the Florida game will be huge in terms of momentum starting the SEC schedule.

John Mateer (+800)

The junior QB has been solid in his first two games for the Sooners, including in a 24-13 win vs. Michigan. Mateer was 21-of-34 for 270 yards, a touchdown and a pick against the Wolverines, while adding 74 yards and a pair of scores on 19 carries.

Mateer was highly touted after transferring from Washington State, and the Sooners have high hopes for this season. Oklahoma has a road game against Temple next week, followed by home games against Auburn and Kent State. Mateer has three games to work on some things ahead of a brutal SEC slate that starts with the Red River Rivalry against Texas on October 11.

Mateer’s ability to run gives him a high ceiling, but he has to fare well in the SEC to stay atop the Heisman winner odds this season.

Carson Beck (+1000)

The former Georgia quarterback transferred to Miami in the summer and has been excellent so far. Beck was 20-of-31 for 205 yards and a pair of touchdowns to open the season in a 27-24 win over Notre Dame. He followed that up by going 22-of-24 for 267 yards and two scores in a 45-3 blowout of Bethune-Miami.

Beck might have the most success of any player in this article, as he led Georgia to the SEC championship game last season. But Beck was injured on the last play of the first half, and Gunnar Stockton came in to help the Bulldogs to a 22-19 win over Texas. The injury to his elbow ended his season, but Beck was superb at Georgia, finishing with a 24-3 record in two years.

The Bulldogs had a fantastic defense, but Beck did his share on offense. But after an October 4 trip to Florida State, Miami might not play a ranked team for the rest of the season. That has to count for something, so Beck has to put up outlandish numbers to stay near the top of the Heisman odds for 2025.

Contenders in the 2025 Heisman Odds

Next, let’s consider the contenders in the 2025 Heisman winner odds.

Arch Manning (+1200)

It was good to see Manning bounce back in a 38-7 rout of San Jose State at home, where he was 19-of-30 for 295 yards and four touchdowns with a pick. Manning also ran for 23 yards and a score. There was far too much pressure on Manning in his debut on the road against a tough defense in Ohio State, who are the defending national champs.

Ohio State might be the toughest game Manning plays all season, although there will be a lot of attention on the Oklahoma game on October 11, and a trip to Georgia on November 15. The sophomore quarterback has a lot of growing up to do, and he was thrown into a tough Week1 situation.

I think Manning’s Heisman price is overblown, largely because of his last name. He’s a good quarterback, and will potentially be very good. But let the kid get comfortable first.

Dante Moore (+1200)

Moore has been outstanding in Oregon’s first two wins, beating Montana State and Oklahoma State by a combined score of 138-16. The 69-3 rout of Oklahoma State was personal after Cowboys’ coach Mike Gundy commented on Oregon’s NIL budget. Moore was 16-of-21 for 266 yards and three touchdowns.

I’ll wait on Moore’s Heisman odds after the Ducks play tougher competition, which might not happen until September 27, when Oregon heads to Penn State. The Ducks don’t have a particularly tough schedule, so Moore can put up some great stats this season.

But I’m skeptical about his chances, just because I don’t see a notable game on Oregon’s schedule outside of the visit to Penn State. The Ducks might have to get to the Big Ten title game and beat Ohio State, along with beating Penn State, for Moore to have a solid shot at the Heisman.

Gunnar Stockton (+1400)

The aforementioned Stockton has some concern surrounding him, despite Georgia winning their first two games. Stockton was 14-of-24 for 190 yards and two scores against Marshall, and then 26-of-34 for 227 yards and no touchdowns in a 28-6 win over Austin Peay. He has also run 15 times for 86 yards and two touchdowns.

While Stockton has been solid, there hasn’t been much in the way of big plays for the Georgia offense. This needs to be unlocked soon, as Georgia visits Tennessee this weekend, and then hosts Alabama the following week.

Stockton just might not be that kind of quarterback. He was average against Texas after replacing Beck in the 2024 SEC title game, and he wasn’t very good in a 23-10 loss to Notre Dame in the Sugar Bowl to end Georgia’s second. I see Stockton as a good, but not great, quarterback, and while he can run the ball a little, the Bulldogs need more explosive plays out of the junior QB.


Best Longshot Heisman Odds for 2025

Finally, let’s look at two players who could net you a big payday if you wager on their Heisman betting odds!

Thomas Castellanos (+2000)

Castellanos has been a shot in the arm to a Florida State program that was absolutely brutal last season. He led the Seminoles to a 31-17 win over Alabama to open the season, throwing for 152 yards, but the senior that transferred from Boston College also ran for 78 yards and a score. He was better in a 77-3 romp over East Texas, passing for 237 yards and three touchdowns.

Castellanos will need to put up some huge numbers to break into the favorites, and Florida State has a favorable schedule with a home game against Miami on October 4, and a trip to Clemson on November 8. It might not be enough to get Castellanos to the top, but if the Seminoles run the table, who knows?

Jayden Maiava (+4500)

There is some real value in considering Maiava’s Heisman odds this far down the board! The USC junior was 15-of-18 for 295 yards and two touchdowns in a 73-13 throttling of Missouri State. Maiava was then 16-of-24 for 412 yards and four scores in a 59-20 rout of Georgia Southern.

USC isn’t the national powerhouse they used to be since moving to the Big Ten. But Maiava has a strong three-game stretch coming up, starting with a trip to Illinois on September 27. They host Michigan on October 11, and then visit Notre Dame on October 18.

If Maiava shows out in those three games and the Trojans go 2-1, the chatter will pick up considering the QB, and his Heisman odds will drop considerably. It might be worth a small sprinkle on Maiava’s price right now just to get ahead of it.


2025 Heisman Trophy Prediction and Betting Pick

Heading into Week 3, there is still plenty of time to solidify your Heisman winner prediction for 2025. But I’m going to lean on Garrett Nussmeier at +700 as I think the performance against Louisiana Tech will put a spark into the LSU offense. I believe Nussmeier is the best quarterback in the SEC, which is the best conference in the country. If LSU rolls through the SEC, it’ll be largely due to Nussmeier, and that boosts his chances.

Again, I’d sneak a small bet on Jayden Maiava simply because his odds are remarkable right now. If he emerges from that three-game stretch on the ascent, his price of +4500 will be a bargain. But I feel more certain about the LSU senior, so let’s go with Garrett Nussmeier in our 2025 Heisman predictions!

The Bet
Garrett Nussmeier
+700
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Where to Bet on 2025 Heisman Odds?

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About the Author
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Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years of experience publishing articles under the pseudonym Phil Bowman. He’s also a longtime sports enthusiast and bettor with a strong passion for soccer. That said, he’ll dabble in anything involving a ball, bat, or boxing gloves! His writing mainly focuses on helping bettors learn from their mistakes and gamble responsibly. Finn currently lives in Europe.
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