The NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds feature a clear frontrunner with just over a week before the regular season starts. Patrick Mahomes is leading the way in the betting markets, though Aaron Donald’s return has shaken up the top of the board.
I’m here to help by exploring the latest CPOY odds for the 2026-27 season and analyzing all the main contenders. If you read to the end, you will find my prediction for the 2026 Comeback Player of the Year.
2026-2027 Comeback Player of the Year Odds
See the table below for the most recent NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, courtesy of BetUS.
| PLAYER | CPOY ODDS |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +185 |
| Jayden Daniels (WSH) | +450 |
| Kyler Murray (MIN) | +550 |
| Aaron Donald (LAR) | +750 |
| Daniel Jones (IND) | +1200 |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | +1500 |
| Micah Parsons (GB) | +2000 |
| Nick Bosa (SF) | +2200 |
| George Kittle (SF) | +2800 |
| Fred Warner (SF) | +2800 |
| Cam Skattebo (NYG) | +2800 |
| Tucker Kraft (GB) | +2800 |
| Trey Hendrickson (BAL) | +3000 |
| Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG) | +7500 |
Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes (+185) has emerged as the NFL Comeback Player of the Year betting favorite at our best NFL betting sites this season. The two-time MVP and three-time Super Bowl champion has an implied probability of 35.1% to add another trophy to his resume.
Behind Mahomes, you have Washington’s Jayden Daniels (+450) and Minnesota’s Kyler Murray (+550), which makes sense as quarterbacks have historically dominated this award. Aaron Donald (+850) is the wild card after coming out of retirement to return to the Los Angeles Rams.
A little further down the board, there are Baltimore’s Trey Hendrickson (+3000) and Odell Beckham Jr. (+7500) of the New York Giants. But there are a lot of interesting options for your NFL Comeback player betting card!
For the full list of players, head to BetUS and navigate to Sportsbook > NFL > NFL Season Awards > Comeback Player of the Year.
NFL Comeback Player of the Year Betting Favorite
There is a definitive favorite at the top of the NFL Comeback Player of the Year betting board. Patrick Mahomes is looking to get back to the top of the league after suffering a huge injury last year!
Patrick Mahomes (+185)
Mahomes is coming off arguably his worst season since he was named the Chiefs’ starting quarterback in 2018. His 62.7% completion percentage was the lowest of his career, he threw for 3,587 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, and was sacked 34 times.
Most importantly, Mahomes also tore his ACL in December, but he is reportedly healthy and ready to go for Week 1.
From @NFLGameDay Kickoff: #Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, after a stellar training camp, is on track for Week 1. pic.twitter.com/kHUlOSJsHS
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) August 29, 2026
The Chiefs signed running back (and Super Bowl MVP) Kenneth Walker III, while receivers Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy have the potential to excel.
One of the question markets is Travis Kelce who turns 37 on October 5 and is not in his peak anymore. But history is backing Mahomes, as quarterbacks have won six of the last seven editions of this award. Running back Christian McCaffrey broke a six-year streak last year.
If Mahomes has even an above-average season, given his popularity, and the Chiefs find their way back to the top of the AFC, his NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds might be a bargain.
NFL Comeback Player of the Year Betting Contenders
These three players are trying to chase down Mahomes, including one making his return out of retirement!
Jayden Daniels (+450)
Daniels had as bad of a sophomore season as anyone has in recent memory. After winning Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2024, Daniels played just seven games because of a dislocated elbow, and he went 2-5 in those games. He completed just 60.6% of his passes for 1,262 yards, eight touchdowns, and three interceptions.
Will Jayden Daniels and the Commanders silence their haters this year? pic.twitter.com/CQfUEiYfEt
— 106.7 The Fan (@1067theFan) September 1, 2026
Daniels also ran for 891 yards and six touchdowns in his rookie season, but the Commanders may dial back his running to keep him on the field. Washington’s offensive line has to improve, and the Commanders also brought in Stefon Diggs as another target for Daniels.
The talent is there, and Daniels’ NFL Comeback Player odds offers some value. If Daniels turns out to be a top-five quarterback this season, the voters should give the 2023 Heisman winner some love!
Kyler Murray (+550)
Murray’s seven-year stint in Arizona ended terribly, to the point that he was simply released by the Cardinals, who went with Jacoby Brissett as their starter. He played just five games in 2025 because of a foot injury, going 2-3. But Murray, who was the first overall pick in 2019, struggled mightily in his last three years in Arizona.
“If Kyler Murray can play just a fraction of the good we saw in Arizona, the Vikings will win the north.”
— The Purple Persuasion (@TPPSkol) September 1, 2026
You could argue that injuries played a role in that. He had weapons in Trey McBride and depending on how you feel about him, Marvin Harrison Jr.
Murray will have weapons in Minnesota, where he signed a veteran’s minimum contract of $1.3 million. Justin Jefferson is in the conversation for best receiver in the league, and Jordan Addison and Jauan Jennings are solid. Head coach Kevin O’Connell has proven to be a great communicator with quarterbacks.
If Murray can’t have a good season with the surrounding talent, the 2018 Heisman winner might find himself out of the league. But there is definitely a path to this award for Murray.
Aaron Donald (+750)
One of the worst-kept secrets in football was finally revealed as Donald came out of retirement to return to the Los Angeles Rams. Donald retired in 2023 as one of the greatest defensive players of all time. He won three Defensive Player of the Year awards, and was named to eight All-Pro first teams.
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Donald, who signed a one-year deal for $20 million (up to $30 million with incentives), will be alongside Myles Garrett, who has won two of the last three DPOYs in Cleveland and set the regular-season sack record last season. Donald has stayed in tremendous shape, and now the opposition has to decide if they’re going to double-team Garrett or Donald.
It may take Donald a couple of weeks to get back into NFL shape and get his timing back. But if he racks up a double-digit sack season (he’ll largely be a passing-down player), and I think he will, Donald’s NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds at +750 is an excellent price!
Best Comeback Player of the Year Sleepers
Sleeper picks are a great way to maximize your potential winnings from betting on CPOY betting lines. Let’s check out two longshot bets that could offer you some value.
Comeback Player of the Year Prediction and Betting Pick
Patrick Mahomes at +185 is the safe choice, and he could do it, even simply as the most popular player on this list. But I’m on the hunt for value, and that’s why I’m taking Kyler Murray at +550 for my NFL Comeback Player of the Year prediction!
Murray has more weapons than he has ever had, and I’ve seen Kevin O’Connell get the best out of Sam Darnold, who was looked down on before he got to Minnesota. Now, Darnold is a Super Bowl champion. I don’t think the Vikings will win the Super Bowl with Murray this season.
But if he can get to 4,500 yards, 25-30 touchdowns and keep the interceptions down, you’re getting him at a good price for these NFL Comeback Player odds!
Where to Bet on NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds?
It’s NFL betting season and there is no better place to visit that BetUS, which not only has NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, but a host of other betting markets.
Place your NFL CPOY bet on any of the options at BetUS and pick up a welcome bonus of 200% matched, up to $3,000 on your first three deposits!
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