NFL Comeback Player of the Year Betting Odds and Predictions for 2025-26

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Betting Odds and Predictions for 2025-26

The NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds feature several favorites, but this reward is one of the toughest to predict. The favorites rarely win, so you should always be careful with you predictions.

I’m here to help by exploring the latest COTY odds for the 2025-26 season and analyzing all the main contenders. If you read to the end, you will find my prediction for the 2025 Comeback Player of the Year.


2025-2026 Comeback Player of the Year Odds

See the table below for the preseason NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, courtesy of BetUS.

Player CPOY Odds
Dak Prescott +275
Aidan Hutchinson +275
Christian McCaffrey +350
Trevor Lawrence +475
J.J. McCarthy +800
Nick Chubb +1200
Maxx Crosby +2500
Stefon Diggs +2500
Anthony Richardson +3000
Tua Tagovailoa +3000

Dak Prescott and Aidan Hutchinson are tied for the shortest CPOY odds this season. Prescott injured his hamstring in Week 9 last season and missed the remainder of the season. Hutchinson, on the other hand, broke his leg attempting to sack Prescott in Week 6.

Christian McCaffrey (+350), Trevor Lawrence (+475), and J.J. McCarthy (+800) round out the top five. McCaffrey suffered multiple leg injuries last season and missed the majority of the year. Lawrence missed seven games, while McCarthy missed his entire rookie season after tearing his meniscus in the preseason.

If you want to see more candidates, you can find the Comeback Player of the Year odds at BetUS > Sportsbook > NFL > NFL Season Awards > Comeback Player of the Year.

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NFL Comeback Player of the Year Favorites

Top NFL betting sites have three players listed at +350 odds or better in this year’s CPOY odds. Let’s take a closer look at the Comeback Player of the Year favorites.

Dak Prescott (+275)

Prescott was the front-runner for CPOY in 2021 but ultimately lost the award to Joe Burrow. Burrow also won the award last year, so Prescott does not need to worry about the Bengals’ quarterback stealing the award from him this season.

Prescott is tied for the best odds to win CPOTY this season at +275. However, he has multiple advantages over the other co-favorite, Aidan Hutchinson.

First, Prescott plays in Dallas, which will have plenty of media attention. He should have one of the top receiver duos to work with in CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. Also, being a quarterback gives him an edge over any non-QB. For reference, all of the previous seven CPOY winners have been quarterbacks.

In 2023, his last healthy season, Prescott finished second in MVP voting. He amassed 4,516 passing yards and 36 passing TDs while leading Dallas to a 12-5 record.

The challenges for Prescott are, first and foremost, staying healthy. Dak has missed at least five games in three of the last four seasons. Also, Prescott must master a new offense now that Brian Schottenheimer is the head coach.

You can find arguments against him, but if the quarterback is healthy for most of the season, he should easily generate impressive numbers and fight for the Comeback Player of the Year award.

Aidan Hutchinson (+275)

The other co-favorite in this year’s NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds is Detroit’s Aidan Hutchinson. He missed 12 games last year after breaking his leg in the Lions’ Week 6 matchup with the Cowboys.

Hutchinson had 7.5 sacks in his five starts last year. At the time of his injury, he was leading the NFL in sacks.

Returning to form after breaking his leg will be easier said than done. However, the Lions are confident in their young pass rusher. Detroit picked up Hutchinson’s fifth-year option this offseason.

The severity of Hutchinson’s injury is not the only hurdle he must overcome. Since the turn of the century, only four defensive players have won CPOY. The last defender to take home the award was Eric Berry in 2015.

Detroit also had to hire a new defensive coordinator after Aaron Glenn accepted the job as the Jets’ head coach. It is unknown how Hutchinson will perform in Kelvin Sheppard’s, the new DC,  scheme.

On the bright side, Hutchinson can stand out early by racking up sacks. If he can replicate his start from last year, he will be a Defensive Player of the Year candidate as well as a CPOY frontrunner.

Christian McCaffrey (+350)

Rounding out the top three of the preseason Comeback Player of the Year betting lines is San Francisco’s Christian McCaffrey. The former All-Pro and Offensive Player of the Year winner is listed at +350 to win CPOY this year.

McCaffrey only appeared in four games last season. He missed the first eight games of the season while dealing with Achilles and calf injuries. Then, in the 49ers’ Week 13 loss to Buffalo, McCaffrey suffered a PCL injury that knocked him out for the remainder of the year.

When healthy, CMC is one of the best running backs in the league. If he can return to his 2023 form, McCaffrey will run away with CPOTY.

San Francisco needs McCaffrey to be great this season. The team traded away Deebo Samuel, and its top remaining receivers, including Brandon Aiyuk, are dealing with injuries. McCaffrey should see plenty of touches as a result.

On the other hand, McCaffrey only played eight or more games twice in the last five seasons. Also, the 49ers recently traded for Washington’s Brian Robinson Jr. The addition of Robinson Jr. should lighten McCaffrey’s workload, making it easier to stay healthy, but also reducing his chances to rack up stats and win CPOY.


Best Comeback Player of the Year Sleepers

Sleeper picks are a great way to maximize your potential winnings from betting on CPOY betting lines. Here are my two top sleeper picks for the 2025 Comeback Player of the Year.

  1. 1. Stefon Diggs (+2500)

    Stefon Diggs had a great start to his lone season in Houston, catching 47 passes for 496 yards and three touchdowns in eight games. Unfortunately, Diggs tore his ACL in Week 8 and missed the rest of the season.

    He is now in New England and should be the primary target for Drake Maye. We don’t know yet if he will start, but a good season for Diggs would make him a viable candidate for the Comeback Player of the Year award.

  2. 2. Tua Tagovailoa (+3000)

    Another player to watch in this year’s CPOY markets is Miami’s quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. As mentioned above, quarterbacks are usually favored by CPOY voters.

    If Tagovailoa is healthy, he can operate one of the highest-scoring and most efficient offenses in the NFL. Miami is full of offensive weapons for Tua to work with, and he has one of the best offensive minds in the NFL in Mike McDaniel. He finished fifth for this award and made the Pro Bowl in 2023.


Comeback Player of the Year Prediction and Betting Pick

Dak Prescott headlines my NFL Comeback Player of the Year predictions. The Cowboys’ quarterback will receive plenty of media attention simply by playing in Dallas. Also, thanks to the team’s poor running game and potential problems on defense, Prescott should have plenty of passing opportunities this season. 

I don’t normally bet on the favorites for this award, but Dak has all the ingredients to shine if he can stay healthy. I’m happy to back him at +275.

The Bet
Dak Prescott
+275
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About the Author
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Shaun Stack
Writer, Sports and Casino
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Shaun Stack is a freelance writer who joined the Sports Geek in 2022 and has previously authored dozens of casino blogs. He enjoys playing any casino game, but is particularly fond of Blackjack and Texas Hold’em. He also enjoys betting on sports, especially the NFL, and is an avid PA sports fan. Shaun is a native of Kansas City, Missouri, but now lives in Pennsylvania.
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