The 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds have gone through a major shake-up since the start of the season! Indianapolis Colts’ RB Jonathan Taylor has established a clear lead at online sportsbooks, but should he be your top pick to take home the hardware?
Let’s analyze the updated NFL OPOY betting odds, the top favorites, and other potential winners before I share my Offensive Player of the Year predictions.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds 2025-26
Here are the latest NFL Offensive Player of the Year betting odds, courtesy of Bovada.
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | -300 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | +600 |
| Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | +1400 |
| Puka Nacua (LAR) | +1500 |
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | +1550 |
| Bijan Robinson (ATL) | +1800 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | +3300 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | +4500 |
| James Cook (BUF) | +4500 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | +7000 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | +8000 |
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | +8500 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +8500 |
Jonathan Taylor (-300) has pulled away as the odds-on betting favorite to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year honors. The Colts’ running back is having a monster season and rightfully the top odds to win NFL OPOY. At -300, Taylor has a 75% implied probability to capture the top offensive award in the league.
Seattle Seahawks’ standout WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+600) is also in contention, per the best NFL betting sites. The price puts Smith-Njigba a fairly large distance behind Taylor, but he’s compiling an impressive resume nonetheless. With +600 NFL Offensive Player of the Year betting odds, Smith-Njigba has a 14.3% chance to win, which might seem a tad low!
Aside from Taylor and Smith-Njigba, there isn’t much competition. It’s a two-player race between the Colt and Seahawk at the moment. Barring injuries, it will likely stay that way for the rest of the season.
See the latest odds and bet on your predictions today by going to Bovada and following these steps: All Sports > Football > NFL Awards & League Leaders > Offensive Player of the Year.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year 2025-26 Betting Favorites
With Week 9 in the books, let’s evaluate where the leading contenders are as of early November before making my 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year betting picks:
Jonathan Taylor (-300)
Taylor is trying to run away with the Offensive Player of the Year award, and is doing a fantastic job of it this season. He has played a pivotal role in the resurgence of the Indianapolis Colts in 2025-26.
With little expectations for the Colts entering the campaign, they are first in the AFC South and there is hope in Indianapolis. Along with unlikely heroics from first-year Colts’ QB Daniel Jones, Taylor is running like a battering ram.
In 2021-22, Taylor was honored with the Sporting News Offensive Player of the Year award. He also captured FedEx Ground Player of the Year, but missed out on winning NFL Offensive Player of the Year. If Taylor keeps running at this pace, he’s going to win and possibly be in the conversation for NFL MVP.
tip toe Taylor pic.twitter.com/c147qvQdKG
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) October 27, 2025
Taylor has galloped for 895 yards and 12 touchdowns on 5.7 yards per carry. He’s also been a threat for the Colts out of the backfield as a receiver. The two-time Pro Bowler has caught 27 receptions for 218 yards and two touchdowns.
With the Colts as a team performing so well and Taylor running with a purpose, it’s difficult not to have him as the favorite for NFL Offensive Player of the Year!
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+600)
It has been a monster season for Smith-Njigba in his first year with QB Sam Darnold at the controls in Seattle. The 23-year-old Ohio State product is flirting with Calvin Johnson’s all-time receiving record at this rate.
He’s been terrorizing secondaries and isn’t showing any signs of stopping. Smith-Njigba has collected 58 receptions, 948 yards, and four touchdowns so far this season. The talented receiver is in the midst of a red-hot streak, with four consecutive weeks of eight receptions and at least 123 yards. He also caught three touchdowns during this stretch.
Last year, he finished with 1,130 yards, so Smith-Njigba is well on his way to recording a career-high. If he can stay the course and continue producing like this, it’s going to be interesting with Johnson’s record, which was set in 2012.
Touchdown JSN! 61 yards.
SEAvsJAX on FOX/FOX Onehttps://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/2RqhCoOuX4
— NFL (@NFL) October 12, 2025
Smith-Njigba will have an extra game to get it done since the NFL moved to a 17-game schedule in 2021. In any event, voters will have to consider giving him the nod if that comes to fruition and Taylor doesn’t break Eric Dickerson’s 2,105-yard rushing title from 1984.
Despite having fairly longshot odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year, he’s closer in the race than +600 suggests. He’s been too good for the Seahawks for “JSN” to not be considered more of a serious contender.
Taylor should be the favorite, but I wouldn’t count this dynamic, unstoppable wide receiver out of the picture.
Top Offensive Player of the Year Sleepers for 2025-26
Although I believe that Taylor and Smith-Njigba have established too large of a lead for anyone to catch up, there is an off chance that a sleeper emerges due to injuries. Check out my best longshot NFL Offensive Player of the Year picks:
2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Prediction and Betting Pick
The competition between Taylor and Smith-Njigba is heating up for the NFL Offensive Player of the Year. However, the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds would make you believe that it’s already out of reach and Taylor should be crowned.
While there is no argument that Taylor deserves to be the favorite, the value on Smith-Njigba is too strong at +600. The way I see it, Smith-Njigba should be closer to +200 than his current NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds. He’s been a monster force and isn’t being given as much credit as he should have right now from oddsmakers.
Darnold has proven to be a solid quarterback in Seattle, but he’s taking over games without a future Hall of Fame under center as well. Smith-Njigba is relying on pure skill to elevate his game in the third year of his career. He was a solid receiver last season, though the former Ohio State standout is developing into the best in the NFL at the moment.
There is little to no value on Taylor at his current price, so I’m going to pass. Instead, at +600 odds, I’ll take a shot on Smith-Njigba for NFL Offensive Player of the Year!
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