2024 Tour de France Daily Stage Predictions and Betting Picks

2024 Tour de France Daily Stage Predictions and Betting Picks

Are you looking for daily Tour de France 2024 stage predictions? I will be happy to oblige by exploring the odds, analyzing each stage, and sharing my best bets every single day, starting from day 1 of the competition!

I will share a quick pick and odds for every stage in the table below, but you can find more detailed stage predictions for Tour de France 2024 in the first section of this article! If you want more about my strategy, you will also find the info below.

Without further ado, here’s my Tour de France Stage 3 prediction.

Tour de France Stage 3 Prediction

PredictionBetting OddsBookmaker
Jasper Phillipsen-175Bovada

Tour de France Stage 3 Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets

Stage 3 of Tour de France 2024 will be the longest in the entire competition. The riders will need to tackle over 230 km on Monday, and it looks like the heat will be a problem once again.

On the bright side, it’s the first flat stage and an opportunity for sprinters to shine. I flirted with the idea of picking Cavendish for this one, but he has only one lead man. The Brit needs more help to be competitive, so I had to look elsewhere.

The obvious choice for stage 3 is Jasper Phillipsen who won 4 stages last year. The Belgian loves flat terrain and has strong support from his team. Phillipsen preserved enough energy in the opening two stages and will be fresh.

On top of that, he can rely on solid teammates, most notably Mathieu van der Poel. I expected to see something like -200 for Phillipsen, so the -175 offered by Bovada is high enough to back the favorite.

The Bet
Jasper Phillipsen Stage 3 Winner

My Tour de France Stage Betting Strategy

Betting on individual Tour de France stages can be both exciting and profitable. Unlike the outright winner odds, which are usually dominated by one or two favorites (Vingegaard and Pogacar in 2024), the stages are often very competitive.

They provide all contestants with opportunities to write their name in the history books and all bettors with a chance to find some juicy wins! Here’s how I plan to do the latter.

1. Stage Analysis

The first step in my preparation is to analyze the stage. Certain cyclists excel in mountain stages, while others prefer flat terrain. The nature of each stage determines the favorites, so I always explore it.

The official site of Tour de France has an excellent section on the route, so I just go there and check the stage I’m about to target.

2. Evaluating the Bigger Picture

Once I know what to expect from the terrain, it’s time to explore the context. How is the general classification going? Will the leaders see an opportunity to push hard? Did they use lots of energy in previous stages, forcing them to take it easy?

I just try to figure out how each contestant will approach the stage. For example, a cyclist who’s already behind in the general classification will usually look for opportunities to challenge for stage wins in stages that fit his strengths.

There are other factors to consider, like some of the side classifications, team goals, the latest news, and so on. I try to cover everything, so you don’t have to if you don’t have the time!

3. Hunting for the Best Odds

Finally, I start looking at the latest odds. I go through a few top cycling betting sites to make sure I get the highest potential return for my Tour de France stage predictions.

I’ve selected BetUS and Bovada for this post because they offer odds on all stages, including props and specials. I will visit both for each stage to find the best bets possible!

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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