2026 Women’s March Madness Sweet 16 Betting Odds and Predictions

2026 Women’s March Madness Sweet 16 Betting Odds and Predictions

We have the March Madness 2026 women’s Sweet 16 odds for eight games taking place Thursday, March 27, and Saturday, March 28. The cream of the crop are separating themselves from the pack, but who will move on to the Elite 8?

I’ll give you my three favorite games of the weekend, and analyze the women’s Sweet 16 odds below!


Women’s March Madness Sweet 16 Odds and Predictions 2026

The following NCAAB Tournament Women’s Sweet 16 picks and odds are courtesy of Bovada:

MATCHUP AND MONEYLINE ODDS SPREAD ODDS OVER/UNDER ODDS Best Bet
Notre Dame (+235) vs.
Vanderbilt (-285)
Notre Dame +7.0 (-105) vs.
Vanderbilt -7.0 (-115)
Over 151.5 (-110)
Under 151.5 (-110)
Notre Dame (+235)
North Carolina (N/A)
vs.

UConn (N/A)
North Carolina +29.0 (-EVEN)
UConn -29.0 (-120)
Over 134.0 (-110)
Under 134.0 (-110)
UConn -29.0 (-120)
Minnesota (+1350)
vs.
UCLA (-6500)
Minnesota +18.5 (-105)
UCLA -18.5 (-115)
Over 131.5 (-110)
Under 131.5 (-110)
UCLA -18.5 (-115)
Duke (+345)
vs.
LSU (-470)
Duke +9.0 (-105)
LSU -9.0 (-115)
Over 144.5 (-110)
Under 144.5 (-110)
LSU -9.0 (-110)
Louisville (+160)
vs.
Michigan (-185)
Louisville +4.5 (-110)
Michigan -4.5 (-110)
Over 142.5 (-110)
Under 142.5 (-110)
Michigan -4.5 (-110)
Kentucky (+775) vs.
Texas (-1500)
Kentucky +14.5 (-110)
Texas -14.5 (-110)
Over 131.5 (-110)
Under 131.5 (-110)
Texas -14.5 (-110)
Oklahoma (+1000)
vs.

South Carolina (-2500)
Oklahoma +17.5 (-110)
South Carolina -17.5 (-110)
Over 153.5 (-110)
Under 153.5 (-110)
Oklahoma +17.5 (-110)
Virginia (+375)
vs.

TCU (-525)
Virginia +9.5 (-110)
TCU -9.5 (-110)
Over 130.5 (-110)
Under 130.5 (-110)
TCU -9.5 (-110)

Here are all of my Women’s Sweet 16 picks for this weekend’s games, considering the odds available at Bovada! There are some massive moneyline favorites, but you can find some value against the spread in the Sweet 16!

I’ll give you analysis for my three best bets at March Madness betting sites below.

You can find these Women’s Sweet 16 odds at Bovada by heading to Sports > Basketball > Basketball – WNCAA.


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Women’s March Madness 2026 Sweet 16 Best Bets

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: Notre Dame +235

The Fighting Irish won seven of their last eight entering the NCAA Tournament, then beat Fairfield and Ohio State. The Commodores are coming off two routs, beating High Point 102-61 and Illinois 75-57.

Two of the best players in the country go head-to-head as Notre Dame’s Hannah Hidalgo and Vanderbilt’s Mikayla Blakes meet. Blakes led the country in scoring with 27 points a game, while Hidalgo was third at 25.2 (and she has 16 steals in the first two games of the tournament!). But the supporting casts will be the story, and while Vanderbilt’s might be stronger on paper, Notre Dame is playing better right now.

I’m willing to take a swing and take Notre Dame’s moneyline at +235 in my women’s Sweet 16 predictions. It’s an experienced team that has yet to make it past the Sweet 16 in four straight season, but it’s their time on Friday.

This one is almost a coin flip, so getting +235 for Notre Dame is too tempting to ignore.

The Bet
Notre Dame
+235

UConn Huskies vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: UConn -29.0 (-120)

The Huskies continue to destroy teams, thrashing UTSA 90-52, and Syracuse 98-45. The Tar Heels thumped Western Illinois 82-41, and beat Maryland 74-66.

The Tar Heels are a talented team, and they have size with Nyla Harris, and good guard play with Lanie Grant and Elina Aarnisalo. But the Huskies are a juggernaut on the both ends of the floor, led by Azzi Fudd and Sarah Strong. It would take the Tar Heels’ best effort just to keep the score respectable.

Anything but their best would lead to a full demolition. Spreads this large are normally a stay-away, but the Huskies have beaten teams by almost 38 points a game this season. Don’t shy away from UConn in your 2026 women’s Sweet 16 picks on Friday.

The Bet
UConn -29.0
-120

LSU Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: LSU -9.0 (-115)

The Tigers haven’t expended much energy in blowing out Jacksonville 116-58, and Texas Tech by a score of 101-47. The Blue Devils defeated Charleston 81-64, and won 69-46 over Baylor.

LSU beat Duke 93-77 on the road on December 5, and the Blue Devils’ defense will have to play as they did against Baylor, who also beat Duke in the regular season. However, LSU’s offense is much better than Baylor.

Flau’jae Johnson, MiLaysia Fulwiley, and Mikaylah Williams are all capable of big nights. Duke doesn’t have the horses to keep up with LSU, who should cover the 9.0-point spread rather comfortably.

The Bet
LSU -9.0
-115


Where to Bet on the Women’s Sweet 16?

In closing, here are my women’s Sweet 16 picks:

  • Notre Dame (+235)
  • UConn -29.0 (-120)
  • LSU -9.0 (-115)

You can wager on all the women’s Sweet 16 odds, as well as the women’s Final Four odds, at Bovada, where you’ll also receive a welcome bonus of 50% matched up to $250 on your first deposit! You’ll have a nice nest egg to wager on the rest of the Women’s NCAA Tournament!


Welcome Bonus

50% up to $250
  • Wide-ranging sportsbook and live betting platform
  • Top-notch poker room with numerous tournaments
  • Impressive casino with 500+ slots and live tables
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About the Author
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Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years experience publishing articles on sports, iGaming, travel, and politics. He has a particular passion for soccer as both a fan and a bettor, but he enjoys placing wagers on most sports, political events, and casino games. Since joining The Sports Geek he has been sharing his wisdom to help give you the best chance at making winning bets.
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