WNBA Betting Picks: Predictions for Tuesday, September 29

Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: Aces (-103)

Game 1 of this series wasn’t close. Las Vegas put up 102 points and shot 59% from the field, with A’ja Wilson and Jackie Young leading the way in a 17-point blowout. Indiana’s defense, which was ranked fifth-worst in the league, had no answer, and there’s little reason to believe that changes dramatically in Game 2.

Game one W. On to the next. 🫡

Wilson: 38 PTS / 16 REB / 4 BLK / 2 STL / 15-19 FG
Young: 21 PTS / 10 AST / 3 STL / 3 3PM / 57% FG
Gray: 14 PTS / 5 REB / 8 AST / 50% FG
Loyd: 10 PTS / 2 3PM / 67% FG#RaiseTheStakes pic.twitter.com/86sez2phS2

— Las Vegas Aces (@LVAces) September 27, 2026

The Fever are a team built to score, but when your offense carries the entire load, you’re one cold shooting night away from a blowout loss. Las Vegas is the far superior defensive unit, and that edge tends to compound over a playoff series. The Aces also carry a 12-9 ATS record on the road this season, which tells you they know how to perform when it matters away from home.

The line here at WNBA betting sites is essentially a coin flip, with both teams priced near even money. That makes the Aces an outstanding value. You’re getting the better defensive team, the team that just dominated Game 1, at nearly pick-’em odds. Sharp bettors don’t pass up spots like this.

Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: Lynx -3 (-115)

The Liberty handed Minnesota a 91-75 loss in Game 1, but don’t read too much into that final score. The Lynx are a defense-first team, and that performance was well below their standard, which means a correction is coming. Playoff series are about adjustments, and Minnesota’s coaching staff will have this group locked in and ready to respond.

New York leaned heavily on Breanna Stewart to carry the offensive load in the opener. That kind of reliance on one player is a vulnerability, and the Lynx defense is built to make stars work for every point. If the Liberty’s supporting cast doesn’t step up in a major way, New York is going to struggle to replicate that Game 1 output.

celebrating TOGETHER. 🙂‍↕️ pic.twitter.com/HoDwaJb00d

— Minnesota Lynx (@minnesotalynx) September 28, 2026

On the Minnesota side, newly-crowned Rookie of the Year Olivia Miles looked rusty in her return from a brief absence, which is expected. A game of shaking off the cobwebs is behind her now, and she should be sharper and more assertive in Game 2. The Lynx are 10-8 ATS as an away favorite this season, which shows they know how to handle the road role. New York is just 11-11 ATS at home, which means there’s nothing intimidating there.