Women’s 2024 NCAA Final 4 Betting Odds and Predictions

Women’s 2024 NCAA Final 4 Betting Odds and Predictions

The Women’s Final 4 in March Madness 2024 is here, with the odds showing a very different picture in the two matchups. The March Madness betting sites expect South Carolina to beat NC State with ease, while Caitlin Clark’s Iowa will have to go through a tough clash against UConn.

Let’s delve into the two semifinal matchups and find the best women’s Final Four betting picks!


NC State vs. South Carolina Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets

The following women’s odds for Final 4 2024 are courtesy of Bovada:

TEAMSPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
NC State+11.5 (-105)+600Over 139.5 (-110)
South Carolina-11.5 (-115)-950Under 139.5 (-110)

According to the NCAAW Final Four odds at Bovada, South Carolina (-950) is a heavy favorite to beat the NC State Wolfpack and proceed to the national title game. This price for the Gamecocks equals an implied probability of 90.5% for them to win the clash!

Along with their male counterparts in the men’s Final Four, the women’s squad at NC State faces long odds of reaching the championship game. The Wolfpack upset the Stanford Cardinal, 77-67, and then did the same to the Texas Longhorns in the Elite Eight, 76-66.

They can do it again with the largest upset of the tournament with a shocking victory over South Carolina, but that won’t be easy. The Gamecocks are coming off a straightforward 70-58 win over the Oregon State Beavers in the Elite Eight.

Team Records

Following their 10-point win over Texas, the Wolfpack boast an overall record of 32-6. They had the most wins of any team in the ACC, but at 14-4, the Virginia Tech Hokies won one more conference game than NC State.

In the ACC Tournament, the Wolfpack were cut down by the Notre Dame Fighting Irish by a score of 55-51. Despite the loss, they have to be feeling good after their wins over Stanford and Texas in March Madness.

Meanwhile, South Carolina is the only team in the nation that hasn’t lost a game all season. They enter the Final Four with an overall team record of 36-0. If we include the 2022-23 season, South Carolina is 72-1 over the last two years!

Key Players

NC State largely depends on Aziaha James to run the show for the Wolfpack. They aren’t completely one-dimensional, but James must be at her best for NC State to have success.

The 5-foot-9 junior is averaging 16.7 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 3 assists through the Elite Eight1. If South Carolina can neutralize her, the Gamecocks will be in a great position to pull away. Saniya Rivers would need to step up doubly without James heating up.

Fortunately for them, the Gamecocks are not heavily dependent on one player. They are incredibly deep in the starting five and off the bench. That said, South Carolina operates around the center, Kamilla Cardoso.

She is a mismatch nightmare in the paint for opposing teams on defense and offense. In the NCAA Tournament, she has averaged 15.3 points, 1.3 steals, and one block per game2.

NC State vs. South Carolina Betting Pick

The matchup of this game will be River Baldwin vs Cardoso. If Baldwin can consistently frustrate her opponent, then we could have a game on our hands. However, it’s a big ask and it’s hard to expect much against a player like Cardoso.

Overall, South Carolina is third in the NCAA with an average of 85.6 points scored per game. The Wolfpack lag behind the Gamecocks, with 73.8 points per contest for 47th in the nation. The difference between Texas, Stanford, and South Carolina is the defensive intensity, though.

South Carolina is the only group out of the three in the top 20 on defense. They’ve yielded an impressive 56 points per game entering the Final Four. The clean looks that NC State had against Texas and Stanford are unlikely to be there in this matchup.

On top of that, matching South Carolina’s depth is a recurring problem for any opponent and the same will ring true for NC State. The point spread on the women’s Final Four 2024 odds for this matchup is a couple of points too low.

The favorite can beat the spread, so I’m going for it.

The Bet
SC Gamecocks -11.5


Connecticut Huskies vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets

The following women’s odds for Final 4 2024 are courtesy of Bovada:

TEAMSPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
UConn+3.5 (-110)+135Over 162.5 (-110)
Iowa-3.5 (-110)-165Under 162.5 (-110)

The Iowa Hawkeyes (-165) are favored to beat the Connecticut Huskies and book a return trip to the national title game. The Hawkeyes have a 62.3% implied chance to defeat Paige Bueckers and the Huskies in the semifinals.

According to the latest NCAAW Final Four 2024 odds for this matchup, most sports betting sites expect a tightly contested game at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.

While Clark’s legend continues to grow in the NCAA Tournament, this isn’t projected to be a textbook matchup versus Geno Auriemma’s Huskies.

Team Records

Clark’s dominance is undeniable, but her team had some missteps along the way this season. Overall, Iowa owns a record of 33-4 and went 15-3 in the Big Ten. They fell a game shy of Ohio State’s conference record of 16-2.

Nevertheless, the Hawkeyes are on a ten-game winning streak and haven’t lost since an 86-69 defeat to the Indiana Hoosiers on Feb 22. In their latest outing, Iowa pulled away from LSU for a 94-87 win.

UConn edged out JuJu Watkins and the No. 1 seed USC Trojans with an 80-73 win in the Elite Eight. The Huskies moved to 33-5 on the season for their 13th consecutive win of this season.

Key Players

UConn vs. Iowa features one of the most exciting matchups of the NCAA Tournament. Clark and Bueckers should have an all-time epic battle in this one.

Iowa’s offense is predicated on Clark shooting lights out from the floor. They aren’t as deep as other teams, but their star makes up for the lack of production elsewhere.

Entering the Final Four, Clark is averaging 31.7 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 8.9 assists per game. She is shooting 46% from the field and 37.7% from beyond the three-point stripe3.

Bueckers has the talent to trade points with Clark in the Final Four. The Huskies’ guard is shooting an efficient 53.6% from the field on 21.9 points per game. She has also averaged 5.1 rebounds and 3.8 assists per assignment.

In the NCAA Tournament, Bueckers is up to 28 points per game and active on the defensive end, with 3.3 steals and 1.5 blocks through the Elite Eight4.

UConn vs. Iowa Betting Pick

In the more highly anticipated matchup of the women’s Final Four, I expect a classic battle between UConn and Iowa. There shouldn’t be much give or take on either side of the floor in Cleveland.

The Huskies rank second in women’s college basketball in NET ranking. Per the NCAA’s metric, which measures several key variables, only South Carolina’s numbers are more impressive than UConn’s5.

Iowa ranks fifth, with Stanford and Texas ranking ahead of Clark’s squad this season. Nevertheless, Clark isn’t allowing Bueckers to steal her spotlight. Iowa’s top-ranked offense will score points, but I am not so convinced that they’ll pull away to cover the spread.

For my UConn vs. Iowa 2024 Final Four prediction, I foresee a game that goes down to the wire. A game decided by one or two points isn’t out of the question in this powerhouse showdown. There is solid value on the Huskies at +3.5, especially since this team could win.

The Bet
UConn Huskies +3.5


Do You Agree With My Women’s Final 4 Predictions?

Will you be tailing or fading my women’s Final Four picks at the college basketball betting sites? Regardless of your selections, we are likely in agreement that placing your Final Four bets at a highly reputable online sportsbook is important.

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Sources

  1. Aziaha James Career Stats | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/player/_/id/4433807/aziaha-james

  2. Kamilla Cardoso 2023-24 Stats per Game | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/player/gamelog/_/id/4433405/kamilla-cardoso

  3. Caitlin Clark Career Stats | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/player/stats/_/id/4433403/caitlin-clark

  4. Paige Bueckers 2023-24 Stats per Game | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/player/gamelog/_/id/4433730/paige-bueckers

  5. DI Women’s Basketball Rankings – NCAA Women’s Basketball NET | NCAA.com. Retrieved From “https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-women/d1/ncaa-womens-basketball-net-rankings

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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