Super Bowl 60 MVP Odds, Favorites, and Predictions

Sam Darnold (+125)

The best Super Bowl betting sites have Seattle’s Sam Darnold as the +125 favorite to win MVP. Darnold was viewed as a bust after failing to live up to expectations with the Jets and moving to a fourth team in as many years.

After a 14-win season with the Vikings last year, Darnold signed with the Seahawks as a free agent and led Seattle to 14 wins and a first-round bye. In two playoff games, Darnold racked up 470 passing yards and four passing TDs while completing nearly 70% of his passes.

Sam Darnold becomes the first starting QB from the stacked 2018 Draft class to reach the Super Bowl! pic.twitter.com/GqK6ISbORW

— NFL (@NFL) January 26, 2026

More importantly, Darnold has minimized his mistakes. He has zero interceptions and only one fumble so far this postseason. If Darnold can continue to play mistake-free football, he can maximize Seattle’s chances of winning the Big Game.

Reducing mistakes will be easier said than done against the Patriots, though. New England’s defense has forced eight turnovers in its three playoff games this season.

As the QB, Darnold will get the most credit for Seattle’s offense. For better or worse. QBs have won 34 of the 59 Super Bowl MVPs, including five of the last six. If Darnold can come close to his performance from the NFC title game and lead Seattle to a win, he should claim MVP honors.

Drake Maye (+240)

Drake Maye and the Patriots are 4.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup with Seattle on Super Bowl Sunday. Only one Super Bowl MVP won the award despite losing the game.

With that in mind, it is not surprising that Maye is listed behind Darnold. However, the second-year QB is far from a long shot to win MVP. He played at an MVP-level in the regular season, racking up the following stats:

• • 4,394 passing yards (4th)
  • 5 passing YPG (4th)
  • 31 passing TDs (3rd)
  • 5 passer rating (1st)

Maye also racked up 450 rushing yards and four rushing TDs. However, he was sacked 47 times, the fourth-most in the NFL.

In the playoffs, Maye led his team to three straight wins against top-five defenses. However, his stats have been far from impressive.

Maye has completed 55.8% of his pass attempts this postseason for 533 yards, just 177.7 YPG. He has also been sacked 15 times, thrown two interceptions, and fumbled six times. If Maye wants to pull off the upset and win the MVP, he must return to his regular-season form on the biggest stage against the league’s best scoring defense.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+450)

Seattle’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the best Super Bowl MVP odds of any non-quarterback. The league’s leading receiver is listed at +450 to win the award for this year’s Big Game.

JSN led the NFL with 1,793 receiving yards this season. He has stepped up in the postseason, too, gaining 172 yards in two games.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 115 receiving yards is the most in the first half of a Conference Championship game since Chris Hogan had 117 in the 2016 AFC Championship 🔥 pic.twitter.com/uln04bVAGz

— ESPN Insights (@ESPNInsights) January 26, 2026

Smith-Njigba was quiet in Seattle’s Divisional Round win, catching three of four targets for 19 yards. He exploded in the NFC title game, though, catching 10 passes for 153 yards.

Receivers have won the Super Bowl MVP eight times, the second-most of any position. The most recent WR to win MVP was Cooper Kupp, who claimed the MVP in Super Bowl 56 as a member of the Rams and is now the WR2 in Seattle behind JSN.

JSN faces a tough matchup against Christian Gonzalez, who is second in the NFL with four passes defended this postseason. Gonzalez also has an interception and will likely shadow JSN for most of the game, but the WR has showed elite mentality in the last game and will be hungry for more success.