The English Premier League winner odds for 2025-26 have moved significantly since the start of the season, with Arsenal leading the way and Liverpool essentially out of the picture as of early December. The Gunners have a healthy lead at the top of the table, but can they finally win the title?
I explore the EPL title odds, analyze the big favorites, and share my expectations in this article, so stay tuned for my 2025-26 Premier League title predictions!
2025-26 English Premier League Winner Odds
The following 2025-26 EPL title betting odds are available at BetUS:
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | -230 |
| Man City | +300 |
| Chelsea | +1600 |
| Liverpool | +1800 |
The EPL title odds for 2025-26 look like a two-horse race after only six rounds, according to the soccer betting sites. Arsenal are strongly favored, with Man City as the only realistic contender left. Chelsea and Liverpool come after that, but both sides have struggled this season.
I’ve not listed any other team, as I don’t expect anyone outside of these four to challenge under any circumstances.
If you already see a good option here, you can find the Premier League champion odds shown at BetUS.
2025-26 English Premier League Winner Favorites
The following teams will dominate most people’s EPL title predictions, and for a good reason.
Arsenal (-230)
Arsenal had a very weird Premier League campaign in 2024-25. They finished second by a wide margin on both ends. No one truly challenged them from behind, but they also failed to put Liverpool under real pressure at the end of the season.
Overall, it was a mixed year that showed a lot of potential. The squad looked drained after challenging Man City for the title two seasons in a row and playing in the EUROs in the summer. As a result, Arsenal led the EPL 2024-25 injury table convincingly.
The team is still struggling with plenty of injuries, but Mikel Arteta and Andrea Berta have found the solution. The squad depth they built in the summer has been the key to success.
We’ve watched Arsenal play without a number of key players all across the pitch and still get results. The team is leading the league with a healthy 5-point gap above Man City.
The big question here is if Arsenal can limit their injuries. The team has played without Gyokeres, Saliba, Gabriel, Martinelli, Trossard, Havertz, Odegaard, and other at times this season. The results are still strong, but this injury epidemic needs to be contained.
This is the only question mark left for me. If the Gunners avoid a complete disaster on the injury front, they are by far the most consistent team in England this season.
Man City (+300)
I didn’t expect from Man City to be in the title race this year, but the team is still hanging around. Erling Haaland is breaking records once again, while Phil Foden has found some form. This lethal duo up front will bring goals, but the team is still inconsistent.
The defense is leaking too many goals and the team as a whole can’t control games. The latest two EPL encounters clearly showed that.
Man City allowed Leeds to come back from two goals down and almost snatch a point at the Etihad, while the game against Fulham was one Gvardiol clearance away from a shocking comeback. If a 5-1 lead against a team from the bottom half of the table is not safe, what is?
It’s really hard to trust Manchester City given their inconsistencies, but they remain the most dangerous opponent for Arsenal in the title race.
Can Anyone Else Win the EPL?
I would normally add a few sleepers to my Premier League winner picks, but I’m not sure there’s value in any of the dark horses this year. Chelsea and Liverpool are the obvious candidates, outside of Arsenal and CIty, but I can’t trust them based on what we’ve seen so far.
The Blues are still young and have lots of problems to solve. We saw that clearly in the defeat against Leeds. The team got a solid result against Arsenal at home with 10 men just a few days before that, but went on to lose against a relegation candidate. You need to be more consistent to win the title.
As for Liverpool, I don’t think that even their die-hard fans expect them to fight for the title. The Reds have struggled to find balance for most of the season, and the gap to Arsenal is already 11 points.
Aston Villa look more likely to challenge at this point, but they lack the depth and quality to keep up with the big boys over the course of the season.
English Premier League 2025-26 Winner Predictions and Betting Pick
The title is Arsenal’s to lose, plain and simple. The Gunners have the strongest and most cohesive squad, as well as a 5-point cushion at the top as of early December.
The big question is whether they can keep their injuries to a reasonable level. They’ve been unable to do it so far and still lead the race, so it’s hard to bet against them.
I backed Arsenal before the start of the season and haven’t seen enough from other times to switch my EPL title prediction. The odds have dropped significantly, but the Gunners just get results consistently, no matter what. That makes them the only reasonable pick for the title at this point.
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