Man City has dominated the English Premier League, and the EPL winner odds for 2024-25 suggest they are the team to beat once again. Arsenal is the closest contender, with all the rest far behind.
The best soccer betting sites expect a fairly close Premier League title race between last year’s top two, but can another team surprise everyone?
Check out my analysis of the best teams and EPL champion predictions!
2024/25 English Premier League Winner Odds
So, first thing’s first, here’s a look at the 2024/25 EPL champion betting odds, courtesy of BetUS:
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Man City | +110 |
| Arsenal | +175 |
| Liverpool | +700 |
| Chelsea | +2000 |
| Newcastle | +2500 |
| Man Utd | +2500 |
| Tottenham | +3300 |
| Aston Villa | +5000 |
Don’t be surprised Man City and Arsenal are so separated up top. That’s far from a BetUS special – all leading betting sites all agree that Pep Guardiola and Mikel Arteta’s teams are the two likeliest Premier League winning candidates this season.
Manchester City and Arsenal were fantastic last year and and didn’t go major changes over the summer. So, naturally, they’ll be in the same competitive spirit as last season.
Who else, then? Liverpool? The Reds are unlikely to be in the race because of Jurgen Klopp’s departure.
What about Manchester United? They’re going to be awful and that’s coming from a hardcore Manchester United fan. ETH brought one half decent signing this summer and he’s already walking on crutches.
The rest are arguably even further behind, so I recommend focusing on the top two. Still, BetUS offers odds on all teams, so check them out if you want to target a sleeper.
Man City: Are the Champions Unstoppable?
Let’s face it – as things stand right now, there are only two teams that can consistently reach around 90 points in such a highly competitive EPL season. Of course, I’m referring to Manchester City and Arsenal.
Last time out, Pep’s Citizens clinched the title in the last round with 91 points to their name, leaving Arsenal in second place with 89. Liverpool was in the title race for the majority of the season, but ended up short with 82 points.
Manchester City parade Champions 4 In A Row History Makers 2024 🏆🥇⚽👍🙂🤝@ManCity @mancityIndo pic.twitter.com/uXWiYz3Qhn
— Roman_Bagiandariberikutnya (@Alanrah98081457) May 27, 2024
Aston Villa’s breakthrough season ended with a sweet 4th place finish with 68 points. That’s right – 14 points separated third and fourth places last season.
Transfer-wise, City didn’t really experience much movement over the summer. Savinho came in from Girona (officially on loan from Troyes), while Liam Delap and Sergio Gomez departed to Ipswich and Real Sociedad, respectively.
While some of you might see the lack of big deals as a weakness, I for one reckon it’s only logical. Why would Pep want to switch too many things up if he already has the winning recipe?
Plus, Savinho was one of the key players in Girona’s third-place La Liga glory last season. Statistically, the 20-year-old Brazilian winger was pretty good too, scoring 9 goals and adding 10 assists to his La Liga tally.
In my books, Pep’s City at +110 is still the safest bet to place in terms of English Premier League champion prediction. However, if +110 is too low for your taste, perhaps the Gunners might be more up your alley!
Arsenal: Third Time Lucky?
Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal has come a long way: from just another top six team to a title contender in a matter of few seasons. In 2022/23 they finished second with 84 points. Last season, they finished second again, this time with 89 points.
It has become clear that, if they are to lift the EPL trophy for the first time since 2004, they’ll have to go over 90 points in the season. It’s not impossible, but it’s definitely getting increasingly more difficult as the EPL teams’ quality grows stronger with each passing year.
Emile Smith Rowe is no longer an Arsenal player and that’s bound to be a sad sight for some of the Gunners’ fans. On the bright side, the Caliafori deal worth €45M is all wrapped up, just like David Raya’s official transfer.
Bolstering the backline ✍️ pic.twitter.com/PaURTwJbci
— Arsenal (@Arsenal) July 29, 2024
It’s no wonder Arteta wants Mikel Merino too, but it’s not going to be easy, with Real Sociedad demanding more money. With or without him, Arsenal is certain to have another successful season. Last time out, they finished just 2 points short of the title.
This year, the likes of Odegaard, Saliba, Rice, and Saka have to strut their stuff, improve them stats, and deliver glory for the Gunners. It’s going to be far from a straightforward task, but if someone’s going to push Pep off his pedestal, it has to be his own student, Mikel Arteta.
The big question here is whether Arsenal can improve even further up front. Eddie Nketiah will likely leave the club, so Arteta needs another striker. If the Gunners find the right man, and he doesn’t need to be world-class or anything, they can definitely win the league.
The Rest of the Pack
Now that we’ve talked you through the two main contenders, let’s focus on teams that could join the title race. The likes of Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester United, Newcastle, and even Tottenham are the most likely sleepers to upset the odds.
So, here’s a closer look at the most notable EPL dark horses:
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Liverpool finished the season with 86 scored and 41 conceded goals. If we look at their expected goals stats, we’ll see they had the best xG in the whole EPL at 94.79. They also had the third-best xGA (expected goals against) at 47.40, though they only ended up conceding 41 goals.
None of this really matters that much because this will be Liverpool’s first season in the post-Klopp era. Slot is bound to be a nice fit, no doubts there, but no one really expects a title-winning run in the first season. It’s too far of a stretch, so let’s just leave it at that.
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Man Utd released several big-time players. Varane, Martial, Williams, van de Beek (finally), and Greenwood are now gone, among several others. When talking about newcomers, though, the list is far shorter. There are just two names here – Bologna’s Joshua Zirkzee and Lille’s Leny Yaro.
To make matters worse, Leny Yaro is already injured, meaning he won’t have an impact soon. A Champions League finish would be the realistic target for ETH and his boys.
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Chelsea was one of the most inconsistent teams last season. They ended up finishing 6th with 63 points, barely escaping the likes of Newcastle and Manchester United with 60. In the end, Chelsea scored 77 goals and conceded just 63. On paper, that wasn’t such a poor performance, but their consistency and xGs were all over the place.
Even though they brought in several outstanding young talents, they’ll once again lack experience for a clean, consistent EPL campaign.
On top of that, fan favorite Conor Callagher is likely going to leave this summer.
Atletico Madrid continue pursuit of Conor Gallagher after agreeing a £33.7m deal… but the move hits a stumbling block despite the midfielder turning down a contract extension: Atletico Madrid are determined to… https://t.co/2AgMiqKJCK #AtléticodeMadrid #Chelsea #ConorGallagher
— WhatsNew2Day (@whatsn2day) August 4, 2024
This will likely disrupt the already poor atmosphere around the club even more, so another middle-of-the-pack finish wouldn’t surprise me.
English Premier League 2024/25 Champions Predictions and Betting Pick
As always, the Premier League winner prediction is tough to call. This time around, though, it’s not because there are too many highly competitive sides in the ordeal. No. It’s quite the contrary, actually.
In my books, there are only two teams worth betting on this season – Manchester City and Arsenal. It’s on you to pick your poison, I guess.
Both are well and truly capable of going all the way. Perhaps I’m slightly more inclined toward Arsenal, but simply because of the odds. Another decent signing (Merino or a striker) could be enough to push the Gunners just enough to win the title.
