ATP Wimbledon 2025 Winner Odds and Predictions: Sinner or Alcaraz?

Carlos Alcaraz (+115)

At only 22 years old, Alcaraz has already won Wimbledon twice and five major titles in total! He has a way to go before catching Djokovic’s 24 Grand Slams, but he is well on pace to at least give it a proper go.

Roger Federer has the record with eight Wimbledon titles, and if Alcaraz can win three at 22, the Spaniard has to be favored to surpass Federer! The talent is undoubtedly there for Alcaraz, who is a strong player on all surfaces, including grass courts.

Since 2023, Alcaraz has gone 27-1 on grass. This year, the Spaniard has won 16 of 20 sets! Overall, in 2025, Alcaraz has been on an unbelievable tear since losing in the final at the Barcelona Open. He took losing on home soil to heart because Alcaraz has been unstoppable since.

Carlos Alcaraz has now won 16 consecutive matches at #Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/z6MpSgOT5a

— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 2, 2025

The young tennis phenom followed up with wins in three straight tournaments, including the Italian Open, French Open, and HSBC Championships! He’s on fire and already has amassed two wins under his belt at Wimbledon in 2025.

Alcaraz made easy work of Fabio Fogini in four sets and then ended Oliver Tarvet’s upset bid in straight sets. He’s the one to beat and certainly well worth considering for your 2025 Wimbledon betting picks!

Jannik Sinner (+155)

The No. 1 rated player on the ATP Tour, Sinner appears like the only true threat to Alcaraz in 2025. That might be the case for the next decade! Until a young player comes along to challenge these two studs, they will continue to be the top favorites for a while.

The 23-year-old native of San Candido, Italy, has won back-to-back Australian Open titles in 2024 and 2025. He also captured the 2024 US Open, along with four 1000 Masters championships on his resume. However, Sinner is still searching for Wimbledon glory.

Jannik Sinner knows that people love watching him and Carlos Alcaraz go head to head ❤️ pic.twitter.com/KtxHsC3AKb

— TNT Sports (@tntsports) June 30, 2025

Last year, Sinner was upset by Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinals at Wimbledon. Without the Italian worry about, Alcaraz stormed to the final to defeat Djokovic.

Sinner is off to a strong start this year, as he carries an overall record of 20-3. He was sitting on the sidelines for three months due to a doping suspension but hasn’t skipped too much of a beat.

However, he was well out of form in a Round of 16 loss to Alexander Bublik at the Terra Worthmann in his tune-up for Wimbledon. Sinner was able to respond in his opening Wimbledon match with a 6-4, 6-3, 6-0 win over fellow countryman Luca Nardi.

He’ll have to figure out a way to get past Alcaraz to claim his first Wimbledon title, though. In two finals matches against Alcaraz, the Spaniard was victorious in both the French Open and the Italian Open!

Novak Djokovic (+475)

Despite his age, Djokovic remains one of the best tennis players in the world. His gas tank isn’t empty yet, but there are indications that he is losing some fuel.

The motivation is certainly still present for Djokovic. Every time he steps on the court, he’s going to put everything into the match. Father time is undefeated, though, and elite players like Alcaraz and Sinner have a step on him at this point.

🚨 Djokovic post match :

“I wouldn’t be here if I don’t feel I have a chance. This is my most consistent slam, I played the last 6 finals. I enjoy myself here except when I play Carlos 😅” pic.twitter.com/AxOzFfdGkE

— SK (@Djoko_UTD) July 1, 2025

Djokovic fell to Alcaraz in straight sets at last year’s Wimbledon, 2-6, 2-6, 6-7. In majors ince then, he retired in the semifinals against Alexander Zverev and lost to Sinner in the semifinals at the French Open. Djokovic bypassed a warm-up tournament and made his return versus Alexandre Muller in four sets.

My concern with Djokovic isn’t against lesser opponents. He should cruise past them like he did against Muller. However, I have little confidence in the 38-year-old keeping up with Alcaraz and Sinner.

Before betting on Djokovic, I’d like to see a price of +600 or +650 for my Wimbledon picks!