Several prolific playmakers are gearing up for a big season, and the 2026-27 NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds suggest a wide-open race. Who will hear their name called at NFL Honors before Super Bowl LXI?
Keep scrolling for the latest winner odds, analysis of the top favorites, and my NFL Offensive Player of the Year predictions.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year 2026-27 Odds
The following NFL OPOY winner odds are courtesy of Lucky Rebel:
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | +650 |
| Bijan Robinson (ATL) | +850 |
| Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | +1000 |
| Puka Nacua (LAR) | +1400 |
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | +1800 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | +1800 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | +2000 |
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | +2200 |
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | +2200 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | +2500 |
Dynamic Detroit Lions’ playmaker Jahmyr Gibbs (+650) is the favorite to win Offensive Player of the Year. Updated odds at the top NFL betting sites give Gibbs a 13.3% implied chance to take home the award. He should be dangerous, even if the market doesn’t point to a runaway favorite.
Behind Gibbs, Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (+850) has the second-best price. At +850, Robinson carries a 10.5% chance to win Offensive Player of the Year. He and Gibbs are the only players listed below +1000, while Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase (+1000) rounds out the top three with a 9.1% chance.
Defending winner Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+2000) is viewed as more of a longshot. He faces a tougher path in the futures market, where the race remains wide open, but he still has to be considered.
You can find up-to-date NFL OPOY 2026-27 betting odds at Lucky Rebel by navigating to Lucky Rebel by navigating to Sports (A-Z) > Football > A-Z > NFL Awards > Offensive Player of the Year.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year 2026-27 Betting Favorites
With the regular season nearing kickoff, let’s evaluate the leading contenders before making my NFL Offensive Player of the Year picks:
Jahmyr Gibbs (+650)
Jahmyr Gibbs heads into the 2026-27 NFL season as the consensus favorite to win Offensive Player of the Year. Gibbs’ combination of elite dual-threat efficiency and the RB1 on a high-octane Detroit Lions’ offense gives him a big lift.
Detroit demonstrated their commitment by making Gibbs the highest-paid running back in NFL history with a three-year, $67.5 million extension (22.5M APY) featuring $51.5 million guaranteed.
"He's going to be our bell cow now."
-Coach Campbell on Jahmyr Gibbs pic.twitter.com/K4L8D17jgQ
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) June 4, 2026
With David Montgomery traded to Houston during the offseason, head coach Dan Campbell confirmed Gibbs will operate as the undisputed, bell-cow feature back, pushing his expected snap share past 75%.
Gibbs boasts top-tier playmaking metrics, coming off a 2025 campaign where he generated 1,839 total scrimmage yards and 18 touchdowns. His efficiency remains staggering: he averages 5.9 yards per touch over his career and has compiled 38 total touchdowns over the past two seasons alone.
As both a home-run threat on the ground and an elite receiver who racked up 77 receptions last year, his multi-dimensional game affords him a solid edge. However, with multiple game breakers on the Lions’ roster, Jared Goff will make sure to work the ball around, potentially hurting his numbers a bit.
Bijan Robinson (+850)
Atlanta Falcons’ RB Bijan Robinson enters the 2026-27 NFL season positioned directly behind Gibbs on the betting boards to win Offensive Player of the Year. His complete three-down skill set and elite total-yardage ability as a dual-threat gives him a clear pathway to securing the award.
Atlanta reaffirmed their commitment to Robinson by signing him to a three-year, $66.75 contract (22.25M APY) with $51 million guaranteed. While the deal briefly set the benchmark for running backs, it sits just behind Jahmyr Gibbs’ deal (51.5M guaranteed).
Contract logistics aside, Robinson operates as the unquestioned focal point of the Falcons’ offense with a massive week-in, week-out ceiling.
This is the longest rushing touchdown in Falcons history.
Bijan Robinson pic.twitter.com/XSrIqUaygc
— The Sports Geek (@TheSports_Geek) December 30, 2025
Robinson’s production heading into his fourth season is staggering, coming off a league-leading 2025 campaign with 2,298 total scrimmage yards (1,478 rushing, 820 receiving on 79 catches).
His game is built on unmatched open-field playmaking, as he led the NFL in missed tackles forced on runs (87) and rushing yards after contact (1,172), proving he can single-handedly generate chunk plays regardless of the opponent.
Because quarterbacks dominate MVP voting, OPOY voters routinely favor non-QBs who eclipse 2,000 yards from scrimmage and score double-digit touchdowns. Robinson has already proven he can clear that threshold, and his heavy involvement as a pass-catcher gives him a massive scoring and yardage floor, making him a premier award candidate.
The Lions have more weapons around, so Robinson has more of a chance to be the main weapon in Atlanta.
Ja’Marr Chase (+1000)
Cincinnati Bengals’ high-flying WR Ja’Marr Chase ranks as a top-tier candidate (+1000) to win Offensive Player of the Year. His combination of historic target volume, game-breaking efficiency, and positional dominance makes him the premier wide receiver option on the award board.
Cincinnati cemented Chase as the centerpiece of their franchise by signing him to a four-year, $161 million contract extension (40.25M APY). The landmark deal made him the highest-paid non-quarterback in NFL history.
Paired with Joe Burrow, Chase’s security and chemistry with his quarterback guarantee elite volume as the undisputed focal point of Cincinnati’s high-powered passing attack.
Last night was the 2nd time this season Ja’Marr Chase went for 14+ catches & 160+ yards 😳🔥
🆚 PIT: 16 REC, 161 YDS, 1 TD
🆚 JAX: 14 REC, 165 YDS, 1 TD pic.twitter.com/uEevrxvRly— The Sports Geek (@TheSports_Geek) October 17, 2025
Chase commands elite metrics, coming off a 2025 season where he hauled in 125 receptions for 1,412 yards and 8 touchdowns. That followed a historical 2024 Triple Crown season where he logged 127 catches, 1,708 yards, and 17 touchdowns.
He led the entire league in targets (185) and total pass routes last season, demonstrating a 30% target share that keeps his statistical floor higher than nearly every skill player in the league.
With running backs usually dominating the award alongside historic receiver seasons, wide receivers need monster yardage and double-digit touchdown campaigns to take home OPOY. Behind an elite route tree and game-breaking after-the-catch ability, Chase possesses a realistic path to clear 1,600+ yards and 15+ touchdowns, putting him firmly in position to capture the trophy.
At +1000 odds, there is a flash of value there where you have to consider Chase for one of the best NFL OPOY betting picks to win.
Top Offensive Player of the Year Sleepers for 2025-26
In a season where we should see multiple players explode statistically, there are two longshots to think about betting on for OPOY in 2026-27:
2026-27 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Prediction and Betting Pick
Gibbs is the favorite to win at +650, but the better value lies with Robinson to claim NFL Offensive Player of the Year. At +850, Robinson offers strong value and a premium position on the board.
Coming off a 2025 campaign in which he compiled 2,298 total scrimmage yards and led the league in missed tackles forced, Robinson brings a rare dual-threat workload. Gibbs is a dynamic weapon out of the backfield, but the Lions are going to spread the ball around in that offense.
With Tyler Allgeier gone in free agency, head coach Kevin Stefanski will lean heavily on Robinson in close divisional games against Tampa Bay and New Orleans. The Falcons aren’t built as well as the Lions from a depth perspective, so Robinson is likely to carry a heavier burden.
In short, backing Robinson to win OPOY offers bettors an opportunity to land a strong payout.
Where to Bet on NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds?
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