The 2025 NFL Black Friday Game odds suggest the champions will have an easy day on the pitch. After a full day of Thanksgiving action, the Chicago Bears will face the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on Friday afternoon.
I’ll break down the Bears vs. Eagles matchup, analyze the latest betting odds, and share my NFL Black Friday Game predictions!
NFL Black Friday 2025 Odds: Bears vs. Eagles
Here are the NFL Black Friday Game betting odds, courtesy of Lucky Rebel:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | +7 (-110) | +255 | Under 44 (-111) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -7 (-110) | -330 | Over 44 (-109) |
The Philadelphia Eagles (-330) are heavily favored to defeat the Chicago Bears (+255), per the top NFL betting sites. As a strong -330 favorite on the moneyline, the Eagles own a 76.7% implied probability to win outright.
After blowing a 21-point lead to the Dallas Cowboys, they are a touchdown favorite over the surging Bears. The Bears have some confidence entering Philadelphia, but this is their biggest test of the season.
If Ben Johnson can lead the Bears to a win in Philadelphia, people will start believing in this team. The odds for NFL Black Friday don’t suggest that this is likely to happen, though. Can they pull off the upset in an NFC shocker?
You can find up-to-date Bears vs. Eagles odds at Lucky Rebel by navigating to Sports > Football > NFL > Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles.
Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview
Following another losing record in 2024-25, the Bears hired a new head coach and are seeing instant results under Johnson. In just one season, the Bears are competing for the NFC North title. At 8-3, they were the first team in their division to reach eight wins.
Currently riding a four-game winning streak, the Bears just defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-28. They’ve also beaten the Cincinnati Bengals 47-42, the New York Giants 24-20, and the Minnesota Vikings 19-17. While these may not be the league’s best teams, the Bears couldn’t string together four consecutive wins against anyone last season.
Their QB Caleb Williams has improved significantly under Johnson. He’s thrown for 2,568 yards, 16 touchdowns, and four interceptions with a 59.2% completion rate. While he still needs to refine his accuracy, Williams’ progress is promising, though the bigger concern is the Bears’ defense.
The team’s biggest weakness is their rush defense, as they often give up large gains on the ground.
The Eagles should capitalize on this with RB Saquon Barkley. Chicago ranks 28th in the NFL, allowing an average of 138.1 rushing yards per game. They’re also 27th in points allowed, giving up 26.8 per game. Barkley is coming off a rough start, but he should roll here.
Despite their 8-3 record, the Bears’ average win margin is -0.3 points, ranking only 18th in the league. After giving up a 21-point lead last week, expect the Eagles to remain aggressive and not ease up. This sets up as an ideal bounce-back opportunity for Philadelphia, who lead the NFC East with a record of 8-3.
Best NFL Black Friday Prop Bet: Barkley Over 75.5 Rush Yards
Before finalizing your NFL Black Friday betting card, consider wagering on our best prop bet. Barkley had a horrid performance on the ground against the Cowboys. He gained just 22 yards on 2.2 yards per carry in the 24-21 loss.
It has been a while since Barkley has had such a disappointing effort. However, with the Bears’ defense on the schedule, this is a good opportunity for him to snap back to form. Overall, in 2025-26, Barkley has been well off his staggering pace since last season.
In any event, he’s having a solid campaign with 684 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 3.7 yards per carry. We’ve seen much better out of Barkley, so I expect a similar effort to what he did against the Lions two weeks ago. The quarterback ran for 83 yards on 26 carries, and he’ll see a heavy workload versus the Bears this week again.
The Bears have conceded 5.2 yards per carry, something Barkley should be able to exploit. I recommend backing him to go over 75.5 rushing yards for your NFL Black Friday player prop bets!
2025 NFL Black Friday Game Predictions and Betting Pick
I expect the Eagles to run the ball well and control time of possession. They’re 4-1 at home with a +6.3 win margin, compared to the Bears’ -6 margin on the road.
Philadelphia is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games and has an impressive 15-1 outright record in their last 16 home games. Also, the Eagles are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games versus the NFC North.
After an embarrassing collapse versus the Cowboys, the Eagles are likely to be wide awake. That wasn’t a matter of the Cowboys being a better team — it was the Eagles calling it a day believing the game was in the bag and looking ahead to the Bears on a short week.
While the Bears have made great advancements this season, they’ve taken advantage of weak teams recently. The Eagles are a huge test, and I think they are going to fail at Lincoln Financial Field.
Take the Eagles to win convincingly and lay the points for your best NFL Black Friday picks.
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