Best College Football Player Props Today: NCAAF Player Prop Bets for December 31

Total Interceptions: Bryce Underwood (MICH) Over 0.5 (-120)

With nothing to lose in the Citrus Bowl, Michigan is expected to give freshman QB Bryce Underwood the keys to the offense. That means more volume and more risk, especially against a Texas defense that thrives on turnovers. Underwood is being groomed for the future, and this is the perfect stage to test his arm with aggressive downfield looks.

That high-risk approach comes with a downside. Underwood has tossed six interceptions this season, and the timing of those turnovers is concerning. Four of them have come in his last four outings, each against strong defensive competition. As the competition stiffened, so did the mistakes.

BRYCE UNDERWOOD IS PICKED OFF@OhioStateFB's defense does it again pic.twitter.com/z945FIE9ZO

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 29, 2025

Texas ranks tied for 20th nationally with 1.1 interceptions per game. Their defensive backs are opportunistic and well-equipped to bait a young quarterback into a bad read. At -120, the over on 0.5 interceptions feels like a sharp play in a game where Underwood is likely to force at least one throw too many.

Total Passing Yards: Julian Sayin (OSU) Over 236.5 (-115)

Buckeyes’ QB Julian Sayin steps into the spotlight for the CFP quarterfinals with a prime matchup against a Miami defense that can be stretched through the air.

While the Hurricanes are physical at the line of scrimmage, ranking among the nation’s better run defenses, their pass coverage leaves room for quarterbacks to operate. They’ve allowed over 200 yards per game through the air, sitting 36th nationally in that category.

Sayin has been locked in down the stretch. Fresh off a Heisman finalist nod, the Ohio State signal-caller has piled up 3,323 passing yards this season with 31 touchdowns and just six picks. More importantly for this prop, he’s cleared 236.5 passing yards in four of his last six games, including a 258-yard effort against a strong Indiana defense in the Big Ten title game.

Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin is the highest-graded quarterback in the college football playoff quarterfinals according to PFF pic.twitter.com/Go1xJLaaIw

— The Buckeye Nut (@TheBuckeyeNut) December 26, 2025

Against a Miami team likely to key on stopping the run, Sayin should find openings downfield. At -115, the over 236.5 passing yards sets up as a sharp play for New Year’s Eve NCAAF prop picks.

Total Rushing Yards: Malachi Toney (MIA) Over 10.5 (-115)

If Miami wants any shot at upsetting Ohio State in the CFP quarterfinals, they’ll need to get creative, and that’s where Malachi Toney comes in. The Hurricanes have been using the dynamic wideout as a change-of-pace runner, and his involvement on the ground should increase in a high-stakes matchup against an elite Buckeye defense.

THE FRESHMAN IN THE CLUTCH 🔥

Malachi Toney gives Miami the lead 👀 pic.twitter.com/iHiRTBKQZA

— ESPN (@espn) December 20, 2025

Toney has logged 11 rushing attempts for 55 yards across his last three games, clearing the 10.5-yard mark in two of those contests and three of his last five overall. His only quiet outing came in a blowout win over NC State, where his usage was scaled back due to game flow. Against tougher opponents, though, Miami has leaned on his versatility to create misdirection and stretch defenses horizontally.

Expect the Hurricanes to tap into that wrinkle again against Ohio State’s front. At just 10.5 yards and -115 odds, the over on Toney’s rushing total is a strong value in a game where Miami will need every trick in the playbook.

1. Evaluate Roster Turnover and Returning/Departing Players

While this is a must for placing your college football picks on traditional markets like the point spread, it’s also important to examine roster turnover for prop betting.

Let’s assume an experienced defense from the previous season has several new faces in the secondary for this year. Especially through the first month, we can assume that there will be an adjustment period for the defense.

As a result, quarterbacks and wide receivers typically have a high likelihood of feasting on these units. Of course, this can be applied to a variety of situations and examples.

For instance, if you are considering backing a running back’s rushing prop bet, I would advise investigating the experience on the offensive line before betting. Additionally, the defensive line and linebackers of the opposing defense are worth your time.

Teams can look much different than the previous season in college football because of graduations and the transfer portal, so it’s invaluable information to have for your NCAA football player props today!

2. Know the Team’s Offensive Philosophy and System

College football is unique due to the variety of different offensive systems that teams utilize. From conference to conference and team to team, coaches have implemented their system to best suit their personnel.

Some of these offensive strategies include the pro-style offense, pistol offense, air-raid offense, run-and-shoot offense, spread offense, option offense, and more.

The system will have a direct correlation to offensive output. An air-raid offense is going to put up far more yardage through the air than a pro-style system, for instance.

Understanding the offensive objective of the players you are backing for your NCAA football player props is vital for being profitable.

3. Analyze Each Individual Matchup for Strengths and Weaknesses

You can’t make your best college football prop bets without breaking down each individual matchup! It would be a losing proposition to not take into consideration the strengths and weaknesses of each squad.

This also ties into analyzing team and NCAA statistics to help you ascertain which teams are excelling and struggling in certain areas. I have come to discover that teams rarely fix trouble spots with their roster in the same season.

When a team is bad against the run, pass, and so on, it typically takes an offseason or two to address these needs. Things that are working and failing tend to continue through the season.

In short, I recommend identifying early trends and noting them for your wagers in the future.

Carson Beck Passing Yards Prop:

• BetUS: Over 280.5 (-120), Under 280.5 (-110)
• Bovada: Over 278.5 (-115), Under 278.5 (-115)

• Bovada
• Betwhale
• BetUS
• BetOnline