Welcome to our daily WNBA picks for Friday, August 28, 2026! Each day, I analyze the WNBA schedule and odds, check the latest team news, and prepare my predictions and best bets.
Here are my best WNBA bets for today:
Daily WNBA Picks for August 28
| WNBA BETTING PICK | ONLINE BOOKMAKER |
|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever -17 (-110) | Lucky Rebel |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces -14.5 (-105) | Lucky Rebel |
Best WNBA Predictions Today (With Reasoning), August 28
There are important things to know before betting on the WNBA. Fortunately, if you can’t do your own research, you can see exactly how we arrived at each of our WNBA picks today and the key factors that influenced our analysis.
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: Fever -17 (-110)
The Sun (10-28) are walking into Gainbridge Fieldhouse in rough shape. Connecticut is missing both Brittney Griner and Leila Lacan, their top two scorers, which is a devastating blow to any team’s offensive identity. Without those two, the Sun have very little firepower to keep pace with one of the most dangerous offenses in the league right now.
all eyes on our backcourt duo 🔥
Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell, that’s our MVP². pic.twitter.com/TAk52SPOWh
— Indiana Fever (@IndianaFever) August 27, 2026
Indiana (25-14) is healthy and firing on all cylinders. The Caitlin Clark-Kelsey Mitchell-Aliyah Boston trio has been the most dynamic combination in the WNBA this season, and the Fever’s offense is on a record-setting pace. That kind of firepower against a shorthanded Sun squad is a brutal mismatch. The Fever are also 9-8 ATS as a home favorite, so they’ve proven they can back up the number when it counts.
Connecticut’s ATS struggles as a road underdog, when they’re just 6-12 , tell you the market has had this team’s number all year in these spots. With their two best players sidelined and Indiana playing its best basketball, there’s no reason to back the Sun here. Seventeen points is a big number at WNBA betting sites, but the talent gap is real and measurable tonight.
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces: Aces -14.5 (-105)
The Tempo (11-27) have been a solid ATS team as road underdogs this season, going 12-6 against the spread. But the recent trend is hard to ignore. Toronto has lost its last two road games by an average of 11.5 points, and more importantly, the team is reportedly beginning to sit injured players as the season winds down. That’s a massive red flag when you’re laying nearly 15 points.
𝙅𝙖𝙘𝙠𝘱𝘰𝘵 in the deck 🃏🎰@JackieYoung3 is the only player this season with 700+ points, 250+ assists, and 150+ rebounds.#ALLINLV pic.twitter.com/PrZD2ccr03
— Las Vegas Aces (@LVAces) August 27, 2026
Las Vegas (26-13), meanwhile, is coming off a 10-point road win over Toronto just last Sunday. That’s a significant data point. The Aces beat this exact Tempo squad on the road, where conditions are typically tougher. Now they’re back at home, where they’ve gone 10-8 ATS as a favorite, which is a respectable clip, and they’ll be facing a Toronto team that may be short-handed by design.
When a team starts resting players for the long-term, their competitiveness late in games drops fast. Big leads become bigger. That’s the kind of situation where a number like -14.5 becomes very coveted. The Aces are the sharper play here, and the juice on the -14.5 at -105 is actually quite reasonable.
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