Tiger Woods 2024 Masters Prop Bets and Predictions

Tiger Woods 2024 Masters Prop Bets and Predictions

In anticipation of Eldrick’s return to Augusta National, most golf betting sites have released a variety of Tiger Woods Masters 2024 prop bets!

The legendary golfer played in the 2023 Masters before withdrawing after the pain from his plantar fasciitis was too much to handle. Since exiting the Masters, Woods has entered two tournaments; most recently the Genesis Invitational in February.

Currently, Woods has +17500 odds to win the 2024 Masters. With an implied probability of just 0.6% to win, the odds are stacked against that ticket cashing. However, cashing in on Tiger Woods Masters 2024 props should be much easier! Here are my favorite picks:

Tiger Woods To Make The Cut

All odds are courtesy of Bovada.

  • Makes Cut (-140)
  • Miss Cut (+110)

Woods has enjoyed immense success at Augusta National in his career. He’s won four green jackets in the following years: 1997, 2001, 2002, 2005, and 2019. The veteran remains one Masters title away from tying Jack Nicklaus’ record of six green jackets.

The 48-year-old golfing legend has made the cut in an incredible 24 out of 25 events! The last time Woods missed the cut at the Masters was way back in his second appearance in 19961. Last year, Woods just barely made the cut, and then had to withdraw after completing seven holes in the third round.

Woods had a fairly strong showing at the 2023 Hero World Challenge months later in December. He made the cut and finished 18th with a respectable effort.

In February, Woods returned to the links at the Genesis Invitational, an event that he hosted. After shooting a 72-24 through the first two rounds, Woods dropped out due to the flu.

As impressive as his run of cuts made at Augusta National is, there are some heavy hitters in this field. Scottie Scheffler is hot as ever, while the LIV golfers are returning to the PGA for the Masters. There will likely be some strong scores on the leaderboard after two rounds.

Woods doesn’t have much room for error. And, of course, you always have to be concerned with his health and whether his body will hold up. At -140, he has an implied probability of 58.3% to make the cut.

I believe it’s closer to less than 50% that Woods gets to the third round. Therefore, at +110, there is solid value on this Tiger Woods Masters prop bet to miss the cut.

The Bet

First Round Over/Under

  • Over 72.5 (-130)
  • Under 72.5 (+100)

Woods has an average score of 71.88 since his Masters debut in 1995. Over his last six events in Georgia at Augusta National, Woods has shot an average of 71.5, so despite getting older and the injuries, he’s come out of the gates swinging.

Nevertheless, in 2023, Woods shot a 74 for the highest first-round score of his career in the Masters since 2005. Furthermore, he has eclipsed a 72 in three of his previous six Masters.

Even though he squeezed past the cut line, a 74 was a divergence from his typical form in the opening round. In any event, the fact he is playing is astounding.

In 2021, Woods survived a major car accident and was required to have surgery on multiple broken bones in his tibia and fibula. The damage was so severe he nearly lost his leg. As recently as April 2023, Woods was having surgery for post-traumatic arthritis2.

According to former Stanford teammate and friend Notah Bagley III, Woods currently has no mobility in his ankle3.

Even prior to the accident, he was dealing with a bad back and knees. In short, it’s a win that he’s even playing golf at the 2024 Masters. Notching a 72 or lower to open this tournament would be nothing short of remarkable.

I suspect that Woods will shoot another 74 or just go over this mark with a 73. He likely doesn’t drastically exceed his effort from last year. Given Woods’ question marks going into the Masters, the Over 72.5 is the play at -130 odds.

The Bet
Over 72.5

First Round Hole 1 – Fairway In Regulation (-225)

Some Tiger Woods Masters 2024 prop bets at Bovada are “one and done” wagers. This prop measures whether Woods will hit the fairway off the first tee on his first shot of the tournament.

If you can’t wait until the end of the round or tournament to cash your Tiger prop bets for the Masters, this is the ideal wager. It’s simple: If Woods hits the fairway with his driver the bet wins.

He’s typically done well on the opening hole at the Masters. Known as Tea Olive, Hole #1 at Augusta National is a Par 4, 445-yard slight right dogleg. The first hole has a historical average of 4.24, which ranks it the sixth-toughest hole at Augusta National4.

Nevertheless, Woods has handled this hole well. He’s scored a birdie or par at Tea Olive every year since 2018. Last year, Woods drilled a perfect tee shot in the fairway to get the Masters started with a par.

It’s imperative to hit accurately off the tee or Hole #1 can quickly become a bogey. That hasn’t been a problem for Woods.

Tiger’s history suggests that he’ll land in the fairway on his first shot of the 2024 Masters. Therefore, consider betting on the fairway in regulation prop at -225.

The Bet
First Round Hole 1 – Fairway In Regulation

First Round Over/Under Birdies

  • Under 3.5 Birdies (-155)
  • Over 3.5 Birdies (+120)

To wrap up my Tiger Woods 2024 Masters prop bets, I am sizing up the over/under on his birdies in Round 1. Aside from two birdies on the back nine last year, Woods struggled to get comfortable for the majority of the opening round.

He had a few miscues on the front nine but settled in to end Round 1 with two birdies. It has generally been good for roughly three birdies across his previous five entries in the Masters.

Since 2018, Woods has averaged 3.2 birdies in the first round. His last two attempts at Augusta National yielded three birdies in 2022 and two birdies in 2023. In three tournaments last season, Woods averaged three birdies per round.

A year earlier in the 2021-22 season, he notched 2.56 birdies per round at the Masters, PGA Championship, and the Open Championship5. He’ll really have to dig deep to beat that average in the opening round of the Masters 2024.

History isn’t favorable for Tiger on this Masters prop bet, so consider siding with the Under 3.5 birdies here. It might even come in handy for your Masters betting games.

The Bet
Under 3.5 Birdies

Where To Find Tiger Woods Masters Prop Bets?

A number of top sports betting sites offer Tigers Woods Masters 2024 props, but I like Bovada’s markets the most. The site has a strong variety of options and high odds overall.

Get started at Bovada with a 50% match bonus of up to $250 for new customers. Our top recommendation, however, is to deposit with cryptocurrency to take advantage of a 75% match bonus of up to $750!

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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