Copa America 2024 Top Scorer Odds: Can Anyone Beat Messi?

Copa America 2024 Top Scorer Odds: Can Anyone Beat Messi?

A familiar face is leading the Copa America top scorer odds for the 2024 tournament! The best soccer sites for betting expect the iconic Leo Messi to score the most goals and capture the Copa America Golden Boot in what might be his last big tournament for Argentina.

I’m sure many players will be eager to stop the superstar, though! Continue reading to discover the latest prices, favorites, analysis, and my top Copa America 2024 top scorer predictions!

Copa America 2024 Top Scorer Betting Odds

The following Copa America Golden Boot odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Lionel Messi+250
Vinícius Júnior+500
Darwin Núñez+600
Julian Alvarez+750
Lautaro Martinez+750
Gabriel Martinelli+1200

Argentina’s Lionel Messi (+250) is the clear favorite to be the top goalscorer at Copa America 2024. As the betting favorite, the superstar has a 28.6% implied probability of winning the Golden Boot.

This likely isn’t a surprise to many people. The 36-year-old Argentinian is still a delight to watch and playing at a high level. Messi’s biggest rival for the Golden Boot is Brazil’s Vinícius Júnior. The dynamic Brazilian star has +500 odds to be Copa America’s top scorer, with an implied chance of 16.7%!

You can find up-to-date odds on the Copa America 2024 top scorer at Bovada by navigating to Sports > Soccer > International > Copa America.

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Copa America 2024 Top Scorer Favorites

Messi and Júnior will be the most popular choices at the best sports betting sites. Uruguayan star Darwin Nunez is also a contender to capture top goal-scoring honors at Copa America 2024.

Now that we’ve established who the top favorites are to win the Golden Boot, let’s analyze them!

Lionel Messi (+250)

  • Age: 36
  • Country: Argentina
  • Club Team: Inter Miami
  • Position: Forward

Regardless of if Messi is playing for Barcelona, Inter Miami, PSG, or the Argentinian national squad, he is the most feared player on the pitch. In an international career dating back to 2005 as a teenager, Messi has had all the answers.

Throughout his Hall of Fame career, Messi has scored 833 goals and 372 assists in 1,060 appearances. He’s buried 106 goals in 180 international matches for Argentina. Messi steps up when the lights are the brightest, which includes 129 goals in 163 UEFA Champions League assignments.

Messi propelled Argentina to the 2022 World Cup title, the first of his prestigious career. He wasn’t leaving without lifting the trophy, as Messi recorded seven goals in seven matches! He also contributed three assists in the championship campaign.

Last season, Messi took his services to Major League Soccer with Inter Miami. While MLS defenses are some of the weakest he’s seen in his career, the magical number 10 is still very much in quality form.

In what could be his final Copa America tournament, expect Messi to put on a show in front of eager spectators! Currently, at +175, Argentina has the shortest odds to win Copa America 2024, and the superstar’s attacking threat is one of the main reasons.

Vinícius Júnior (+500)

  • Age: 23
  • Country: Brazil
  • Club Team: Real Madrid
  • Position: Forward

Oddsmakers have Copa America 2024 coming down to Argentina and Brazil. If Brazil wins their sixth title, it will likely be due to Vini Junior’s contributions.

The 23-year-old star forward started his journey with Real Madrid in 2018-19. Signs of a future star emerged in the 2021-22 season, where Júnior netted 17 goals and 10 assists!

In 2023-24, Júnior needed just 26 appearances to score 15 goals in La Liga! After returning from an injury, Vinicius caught fire and went on an impressive run as the primary goalscorer for Real.

I wouldn’t say that Vini Júnior has had a knack for the net with Brazil. Since 2021, his record includes only two goals in 18 appearances. There is one important thing to note here, though.

Neymar will not participate in Copa America due to a torn ACL injury. 17-year-old Endrick is expected to take Neymar’s spot on the roster. Currently, his Copa America 2024 top scorer betting odds are +1800.

The goal-scoring share will lean more heavily toward Vini Júnior with Neymar out. The forward is the next best attacking player to come out of Brazil in recent memory and deserves to be in the same conversation with young stars like Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham.

At +500, there is a lot of betting value on Junior being the top scorer.

Darwin Núñez (+600)

  • Age: 24
  • Country: Uruguay
  • Club Team: Liverpool
  • Position: Forward

Liverpool’s Darwin Núñez could be a sneaky Copa America 2024 Golden Boot pick. Although Núñez and Uruguay will enter the tournament in the shadows of Argentina and Brazil, Uruguay is the third-likeliest team to win at +500 odds.

I don’t view Uruguay as much of an underdog going into Copa America 2024. If they lift the Copa America trophy, I wouldn’t be surprised in the least. This is partially due to Núñez’s noticeable presence on the pitch.

The Liverpool forward is coming off a solid campaign in the Premier League, despite some efficiency concerns. Playing against some of the toughest defenses in the world, Núñez deliver 11 goals and eight assists in 36 appearances (many of which from the bench).

Although it isn’t as impressive as Messi and Junior’s numbers, Uruguay leans heavily on Núñez. In the current World Cup qualifying cycle, he scored five goals in six appearances. The 24-year-old was held out of the goal column at the 2022 World Cup, but he should play a bigger role at Copa America 2024!

Núñez’s Copa America 2024 Golden Boot odds rank among the top three. I believe Nunez, with Messi and Vini Júnior rightfully ahead of him on most online betting apps and sites.

Top Copa America 2024 Goal Scorer Sleepers

The Sports Geek recommends including a few sleepers for your Copa America top goalscorer picks. My Copa America 2024 Golden Boot predictions consist of three long shots with a chance to surprise fans this summer!

  1. Team USA has the fifth-best odds to win Copa America 2024. They drew favorably in Group C, so the United States should qualify for the knockouts. Aside from Uruguay, they appear to be in the clear for second in Group C.

    22-year-old Monaco striker Folarin Balogun must play a huge role if the Americans reach the semifinals. Balogun has been a fixture in Ligue 1 over the last two years. He put home 21 goals in 37 appearances for Reims in 2022-23.

    In the ensuing campaign, Balogun recorded seven goals in 29 matches. If the U.S. is to have success, their offensive strategy must include giving Balogun ample opportunities to score!

  2. Rather than backing Nunez at +600, consider taking a chance on his teammate, Luis Suárez, at +3500. Suárez has just a 2.8% probability of being Copa America’s top goalscorer.

    However, I foresee Suárez having a better chance than the odds suggest. Amid an 11-goal campaign in 14 matches alongside Messi with Inter Miami, he is one of the most important cogs for Uruguay.

    Suárez was the most consistent scorer for Uruguay in the  World Cup Qualifiers. He finished with eight goals in 14 appearances to clinch a berth in Qatar.

    My soccer betting strategy for the Copa America 2024 Golden Boot includes Suarez since the veteran can still be deadly.

  3. Colombia’s Luis Diaz dazzled with Portugal’s Porto in 2021-22. He finished the campaign with 14 goals and four assists in 18 matches! It was a coming-out party for Diaz, who scored six goals in 30 appearances a season earlier.

    The winger caught the attention of Liverpool, who transferred to the EPL side that year. He had an immediate impact, scoring four goals and three assists in 13 matches for the Reds.

    Although his production fell in the 2023-24 season after injuries and personal issues after his relatives were kidnapped, Colombia will ensure to provide Diaz with goal-scoring chances at Copa America 2024.

Copa America 2024 Top Scorer Prediction and Betting Pick

The Copa America 2024 top scorer betting odds suggest that Messi is in line to win the Golden Boot. However, at +250, is there better value on the board?

There is a strong argument to be made for Vinicius Júnior being the Copa America 2024 Golden Boot winner at +500! With eight goals in his previous 11 La Liga matches, the Real Madrid forward is in top form entering this summer.

Additionally, he scored two goals against Bayern Munich to reach the Champions League Final. Messi is scoring at an unbelievable pace with Inter Miami, though Júnior is currently doing it in La Liga and the Champions League.

I expect Messi to impress, but Vini Junior might steal the show at Copa America 2024. The best Copa America 2024 Golden Boot bet on the board is Brazil’s forward at +500!

The Bet
Vinícius Júnior

More Soccer Futures for the Summer

For Golden Boot odds across various leagues and major international tournaments, check out what Bovada has to offer bettors!

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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