MLB Cy Young 2025 Odds for AL and NL: Skenes to Be Crowned?

2025 NL Cy Young Odds

The following NL Cy Young betting odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Paul Skenes (-225) remains the betting favorite to win the NL Cy Young. However, after a shaky effort versus the Milwaukee Brewers, Skenes’ NL Cy Young odds have regressed to -225. Last week, Skenes had a -340 price to win the Cy Young.

In other words, the Pirates’ ace has witnessed a drop in implied probability from 77.3% to 71.4%. That’s a fair shift, though Skenes is still the pitcher to beat for the Cy Young in the National League. Zack Wheeler (+400) has been on the rise over the last month.

The Phillies’ starter has the second-best odds after sitting at +850 just last week, so, strong improvement from 10.5% to 20%! Conversely, Dodgers’ Yoshinobu Yamamoto (+2200) has watched his odds tank, along with his ERA, after a couple of trouble spots recently.

Chris Sale (+8000) was among the top contenders, but a recent injury has derailed his chances. Logan Webb (+800) has taken over Yamamoto and Sale’s position, as the Giants’ ace has the third-shortest price!

AL Cy Young Odds

The following AL Cy Young betting odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Tarik Skubal (-135) is the favorite to win the AL Cy Young, but his price has taken a considerable dive on MLB betting sites. Like Skenes, following an uncharacteristically poor effort, Skubal’s Cy Young betting odds have regressed.

In mid-June, Skubal had a -260 price to win the AL Cy Young. He’s nearing even odds, as Skubal is down to -135 with July approaching. In other words, Skubal, who has had the leading odds for the whole season, is down to a 57.4% implied chance from 72.2% a week ago!

The Red Sox, Garrett Crochet (+350), is in the mix after falling out of favor earlier this month. Crochet had +900 odds to win the AL Cy Young on June 20, but is down to +350! This represents a 10% to 22.2% change in one week. Max Fried (+900), who has been close to the top of the board this season, has slipped.

The Yankees’ ace was +700, with the second-best odds behind Skubal. While his price didn’t fall drastically, he did move down from the second to fourth-best AL Cy Young odds!

Paul Skenes (-250)

Although Skenes hasn’t been perfect this season, the Pirates’ sophomore star is locked in after a couple of early speed bumps. It’s been a predictably horrible season for the Pirates, but Skenes continues to pitch like one of the best in baseball.

At only 23 years old, Skenes owns a 2.12 ERA and 0.91 WHIP through 17 starts and 106 innings. He’s coming off a rare misstep against the Milwaukee Brewers on June 25. Skenes was tagged for four runs in the 2nd inning, as his ERA ballooned to 2.12 from 1.85.

Prior to that performance, Skenes was on fire with two or fewer earned runs allowed in nine straight performances. Skenes has also given up one or none through seven of his previous nine outings. He hasn’t conceded more than four hits since May 12!

Paul Skenes notches a season-high 9 strikeouts for the third time this year 🔥 pic.twitter.com/GZkHVnkQlP

— MLB (@MLB) June 20, 2025

After the announcement that he will be participating in the World Baseball Classic, Skenes mowed down the Mets with six hits and one earned run allowed. Since that effort on May 12, he was unhittable before the Brewers got to him for an inning. Note, though, that Skenes didn’t allow a run in three of those four innings on the mound — it appears to be nothing more than an outlier. Skenes continues to rank first in the MLB in pitching WAR.

Pitchers from losing teams have a tougher time winning the Cy Young — that is the 32-50 Pirates. However, he is too good and one of the only pitchers who can overcome an unfavorable team record.

Skenes is unlikely to be thrown off his red-hot form. The run he is on isn’t a fluke, so expect the outstanding work to continue for Skenes. Although his NL Cy Young odds have grown too high to warrant a huge play since I backed him at +230, he is the clear frontrunner.

Zack Wheeler (+400)

As is customary for Phillies’ ace Wheeler, he is near the top of the board for the Cy Young! Close, but no cigar is the story of Wheeler’s career when it comes to winning the Cy Young award.

Last year, he finished second in Cy Young voting behind Atlanta’s Chris Sale. Wheeler received four first-place votes, while Sale collected 26. He’s been close several times in his career, but has never been able to oust the top vote getter.

Early indications this season, and the latest NL CY Young odds, suggest that Wheeler is going to miss out again. That said, the pitcher can only control what he can, and he’s having another strong season in Philadelphia. Wheeler plans to retire after the 2027 season, so the clock is ticking on Wheeler adding a Cy Young to cap off a historic career.

Zack Wheeler becomes the 10th player in franchise history to collect 1,000 career strikeouts as a member of the @Phillies 😤 pic.twitter.com/TxE9RMi7Ss

— MLB (@MLB) June 10, 2025

Wheeler has posted an ERA of 2.55, 126 strikeouts, and a 0.93 WHIP through 16 games and 99 innings. There is plenty of work to do if he’s going to catch up to Skenes, but he’s having a solid year regardless. He’s allowed one or no earned runs in seven of his last eight outings and in four consecutive performances.

After a rocky April, Wheeler posted a 1.17 ERA in May and has notched a .183 OBA thus far in June. As a result, Wheeler’s 2025 Cy Young odds are on the move and he’s right in the conversation once again!

Logan Webb (+800)

It was only one week ago that I was talking about Webb as one of the best longshot NL Cy Young picks! On June 20, I locked in Webb to win the Cy Young at +2000.

Now, Webb is among the top favorites to capture the prestigious award! At +800, Webb is in the top three to win the NL Cy Young in 2025. He’s making it hard for bettors to ignore him, as Webb is in fantastic form at the moment.

The 28-year-old veteran from Rocklin, CA, has been one of the most consistent starters in the Majors since entering the league in 2019. And, in 2025, Webb has picked things up a notch and is in the conversation for the NL Cy Young!

Webb heads into his 18th start with an ERA of 2.52 and a 1.14 WHIP. As has been the case throughout his career, he’s consistently delivering with two or fewer earned runs in five straight performances since June 2.

Logan Webb has 862.2 IP since 2021 (most in the MLB) and has a 3.10 ERA over that stretch.

ELITE. #SFGiants pic.twitter.com/7gEawXEKua

— DylanIsADragon (@DylanIsADragon) June 20, 2025

He can’t afford too many shellings to remain with the top contenders. However, Webb is one of the most predictable pitchers in baseball, and I don’t expect that to happen. I don’t know if there’s great value at +800, at least compared to the +2000 ticket I bet last week, but expect Webb to continue rolling.

Tarik Skubal (-135)

Skubal has his eyes set on back-to-back Cy Youngs in the American League after he ran away with the honor in 2024. The 28-year-old’s work on the mound this season would have everyone believing that Skubal is well on his way. Additionally, the AL Cy Young odds point to a win for the Tigers’ ace.

Ladies and gentlemen, TARIK SKUBAL 😤

His last 4 starts:
30.2 IP
1 ER
0.29 ERA
32/2 K/BB pic.twitter.com/RcJQbPhRFc

— MLB (@MLB) June 13, 2025

That being said, Skubal has had a few tough outings this season. The Dodgers got to Skubal for four earned runs in five innings in the opener. He bounced back and has been sensational, but five earned runs against the Red Sox, and recently got hit hard by the Athletics.

Skubal gave up six hits and four earned runs in an unexpectedly lousy showing. The Tigers’ ace watched his odds to win the AL Cy Young award deteriorate quickly after that effort. On June 20, Skubal was at -260 to win, so this is a fairly notable hit to his bid.

Nevertheless, Skubal’s 2.29 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 125 strikeouts put him ahead of the competition. Additionally, he just doesn’t know how to walk batters, as he’s yielded just 13 in 102 innings! If you prefer to use WAR as the most important metric, he’s behind Crochet and Fried with a 3.4.

Skubal is undoubtedly in Cy Young form and is capable of winning again, but it’s difficult to win back-to-back awards in the American League. Pedro Martinez was the last pitcher to do so in 1999 and 2000!

If votes were counted today, the Tigers’ ace would easily cruise to the top. The way I see it, however, there are stronger odds to win the AL Cy Young available, even though -135 is the best price I’ve seen this year.

Garrett Crochet (+350)

Crochet’s Cy Young odds have gone up and down this season! The Red Sox hurler is on a roller coaster, as his price has been as low as +350 and up to +900 last week. With Skubal revealing that he’s a human and not a machine recently, Crochet has been able to get right back into the battle.

Crochet is on a roll with one or no earned runs allowed in three consecutive starts. He has brought his ERA down to 2.06 from 2.35 in four starts since June 7. Additionally, Crochet boasts a 1.02 WHIP and 135 strikeouts. He’s coming off a 10-strikeout and lockdown performance versus the Angels.

The former White Sox pitcher allowed three hits and no runs across seven innings of work! That effort helped catapult Crochet back into the picture behind Skubal. Since April 29, Crochet has yielded two or fewer earned runs in 10 of his last 11 games.

Garrett Crochet has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 14 starts, tying Paul Skenes for the most in MLB! pic.twitter.com/Hz3J0USKDm

— MLB (@MLB) June 25, 2025

It’s hard to discount Crochet in the Cy Young race against Skubal. It’s probably closer than the odds suggest right now. However, Skubal and Crochet both have company, so let’s continue reviewing the top favorites in the American League!

Hunter Brown (+450)

One pitcher not getting nearly enough Cy Young hype is Astros’ starter Hunter Brown. He will likely come short of the ultimate goal, but his contributions to the Astros can’t be overlooked this season.

The Astros have exceeded their pre-season expectations, and Brown has played a monumental role. Brown carries a 1.74 ERA and 0.89 WHIP across 98 innings this season. He’s keeping pace with Crochet and Skubal on the mound. With 118 strikeouts on the year, he is behind Crochet, but has pitched in one fewer game.

Brown’s 3.4 WAR puts him in a tie with Skubal and 0.4 behind Crochet. He’s followed a similar trajectory as Crochet on the mound recently, with one bad start and pretty flawless otherwise.

Hunter Brown has the best ERA in baseball this season ⛽️ pic.twitter.com/ZxuWXbQRsv

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) June 26, 2025

Brown allowed five earned runs on May 21 and hasn’t given up more than two in six starts since then. The Detroit native’s resume includes one or no runs in five of six contests since May 27!

As Brown continues to fly under the radar, he makes a strong choice as one of the best 2025 Cy Young betting picks.