2026 NBA Cup Odds and Betting Preview: Thunder, Spurs Top the Board

2026 NBA Cup Odds and Betting Preview: Thunder, Spurs Top the Board

The NBA Cup odds suggest a competitive tournament, with Oklahoma City and San Antonio leading the way in the prices. But who will come out on top?

Let’s examine 2026 NBA Cup winner odds for the favorites, along with a few contenders and sleepers before I share my analysis and my prediction for the tournament!

2026 NBA Cup Betting Odds

TEAM ODDS
Oklahoma City Thunder +375
San Antonio Spurs +375
Boston Celtics +1000
Philadelphia 76ers +1100
Minnesota Timberwolves +1400
Detroit Pistons +1500
New York Knicks +1600
Toronto Raptors +1800
Denver Nuggets +2200
Houston Rockets +2200
Los Angeles Lakers +2500
Atlanta Hawks +2800
Cleveland Cavaliers +2800
Orlando Magic +2800
Indiana Pacers +3500
Miami Heat +3500

The Oklahoma City Thunder (+375) and San Antonio Spurs (+375) sit at the top of the board at the best NBA betting sites! The Western Conference powerhouses have an implied probability of 21.1% to win the NBA Cup, and both have lost in the last two finals of this tournament.

There is a long list of contenders in the next tier of the NBA Cup odds, including Boston (+1000), Philadelphia (+1100), Minnesota (+1400), Detroit (+1500), and the defending Cup champions from New York (+1600). Toronto (+1800) is also in the mix.

There are a couple of sleepers I’m keeping my eye on, such as the Los Angeles Lakers (+2500) and Indiana Pacers (+3500). The Lakers won the inaugural edition of this tournament in 2023.

You can find the most up-to-date 2026 NBA Cup odds at Lucky Rebel by going to Sports > A-Z > Basketball > NBA Futures > In-Season Tournament Cup.

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2026 NBA Cup Groups

The 30 NBA teams are broken up into groups of five teams each.

Eastern Conference

Group A Group B Group C
Detroit Pistons New York Knicks Boston Celtics
Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks
Orlando Magic Philadelphia 76ers Charlotte Hornets
Milwaukee Bucks Miami Heat Chicago Bulls
Brooklyn Nets Indiana Pacers Washington Wizards

Western Conference

Group A Group B Group C
Denver Nuggets Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs
Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers
Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Clippers Portland Trail Blazers
Dallas Mavericks New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors
Utah Jazz Memphis Grizzlies Sacramento Kings

NBA Cup Format and Schedule

Each team plays four group games, once against each team. The team with the best record in each group advances, which puts six teams into the quarterfinals. The remaining two spots go to the best second-place team in the Eastern Conference, and the best second-place team in the Western Conference. Then, the format moves to a knockout-round stage.

Tiebreakers include (in order):

  • Head-to-head record in group games
  • Total point differential in group games.
  • Total points scored in group games.
  • Record from the previous NBA regular season (in this case, the 2025-26 season).
  • Random draw, if needed.

NBA Cup Key Dates

STAGE DATES
Group Stage begins October 30
Group Play November 6, 13, 20, 24, 25
Final Group Play games November 27
Quarterfinals December 4-5
Semifinals December 8 and/or 9
NBA Cup Championship December 11

The NBA Cup Final will be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana on December 11, 2026.

2026 NBA Cup Betting Favorites

These two teams are, far and away, the NBA Cup betting favorites!

Oklahoma City Thunder (+375)

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter the 2026 NBA Cup as one of the favorites, and it’s easy to understand why. Led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City has established itself as one of the NBA’s most dangerous teams. The Thunder have the talent, depth, and defensive strength to beat almost anyone on a given night.

Gilgeous-Alexander remains the engine of Oklahoma City’s offense. His ability to create shots, attack the basket, and control the pace makes him especially dangerous in close games. Chet Holmgren provides another major advantage with his shot-blocking, rebounding, and ability to stretch the floor. However, the injury to Jalen Williams will be a big loss for the rest of the season.

The Thunder also have an excellent supporting cast that can make life difficult for opposing offenses. Their defensive pressure and ability to force turnovers could prove valuable in the NBA Cup’s single-elimination rounds.

Oklahoma City competes in West Group B alongside Minnesota, the LA Clippers, Memphis, and New Orleans. The Timberwolves present the biggest threat, but the Thunder should be favored to advance.

At +375, Oklahoma City is a strong championship contender. However, the unpredictable nature of knockout basketball makes backing them less appealing, especially after the Williams injury.

San Antonio Spurs (+375)

The San Antonio Spurs have quickly become one of the NBA’s most exciting teams. With Victor Wembanyama leading the way, San Antonio has the talent and experience to finish the job after falling short in last season’s championship game.

Wembanyama is already one of basketball’s most difficult players to defend. His combination of size, shooting, and ball-handling creates problems for almost every opponent. He’s equally dangerous defensively, where his shot-blocking ability can completely change a game’s momentum.

The Spurs also benefit from a talented backcourt featuring De’Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, and Stephon Castle. Fox provides speed and scoring, while Castle brings toughness, playmaking, and defensive versatility, and Harper brings a little of everything to the table. Together, they give San Antonio several ways to attack opposing defenses.

San Antonio faces the Lakers, Warriors, Trail Blazers, and Kings in West Group C. It’s a competitive draw, but the Spurs have the tools to finish on top.

At +375, San Antonio offers an attractive combination of talent and motivation. After losing to New York in last year’s final, Wembanyama and company have unfinished business.

2026 NBA Cup Betting Contenders

These three teams could push the top favorites in the 2026 NBA In-Season Tournament odds.

Philadelphia 76ers (+1100)

The Philadelphia 76ers could be one of the most interesting teams in the 2026 NBA Cup. With a revamped roster featuring Joel Embiid, LeBron James, and Jaylen Brown, Philadelphia has enough star power to compete with the NBA’s best teams.

Embiid remains one of the league’s most dominant centers when healthy. His ability to score inside, draw fouls, and protect the rim gives Philadelphia a major advantage. Meanwhile, James brings championship experience and elite playmaking, while Brown provides another reliable scoring option.

The biggest question is whether Philadelphia’s stars can develop chemistry quickly enough. With several players accustomed to leading their own offenses, finding the right balance could take time. Health will also be a major factor, particularly for Embiid.

Philadelphia competes in East Group B alongside New York, Cleveland, Miami, and Indiana. It’s arguably the toughest group in the tournament, with many teams capable of advancing.

At +1100, the 76ers offer an interesting alternative to the favorites. Their difficult group makes them a risky pick, but if Philadelphia’s stars click, they have enough talent to win the entire tournament.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+1400)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have the talent to make a serious run at the 2026 NBA Cup, especially with Anthony Edwards leading their offense. Minnesota has become a regular contender in the Western Conference, and its combination of scoring and defensive toughness makes it dangerous in a knockout tournament.

Edwards is the biggest reason to believe in the Timberwolves. His explosive scoring, athleticism, and ability to take over games make him one of the NBA’s most exciting players. He’s also capable of delivering big performances when the pressure is highest.

Minnesota added LaMelo Ball to its backcourt, giving Edwards another talented playmaker. Ball’s passing and outside shooting could make the Timberwolves more difficult to defend, although building chemistry between the two guards will be important.

The Timberwolves face Oklahoma City, the Clippers, Memphis, and New Orleans in West Group B. Their matchup against the Thunder could determine who advances, making the group stage a difficult challenge.

At +1400, Minnesota offers solid potential value. The Timberwolves have enough offensive firepower to beat anyone, but their difficult group and the need to build chemistry make them a less reliable pick than the top favorites.

Toronto Raptors (+1800)

The Toronto Raptors are an intriguing contender for the 2026 NBA Cup, particularly after their impressive performance in last season’s tournament. Toronto went undefeated during group play before losing to the eventual champion New York Knicks in the quarterfinals.

The Raptors have an exciting roster built around Scottie Barnes and the returning Kawhi Leonard. Barnes provides versatility on both ends of the floor.

Leonard’s return could be the difference-maker. The former Raptors’ star brings championship experience and remains an excellent two-way player when healthy. However, his injury history makes his availability one of Toronto’s biggest concerns.

The Raptors compete in East Group A alongside Detroit, Orlando, Milwaukee, and Brooklyn. The Pistons should present their toughest challenge, although Orlando also has enough talent to cause problems.

At +1800, Toronto could offer better value than several teams with shorter odds. The Raptors have already shown they can succeed in this format, and Leonard adds another level of experience. If their stars stay healthy, Toronto could make a surprising run to the championship game.

2026 NBA Cup Betting Sleepers

Keep an eye on these two teams if they get on a roll!

Los Angeles Lakers (+2500)

The Los Angeles Lakers have already experienced NBA Cup success, winning the inaugural tournament in 2023. Now, with Luka Dončić leading the way, Los Angeles hopes to capture another championship and prove it can compete with the Western Conference’s strongest teams.

Dončić is the biggest reason the Lakers remain dangerous. His scoring, passing, and ability to control games make him one of the NBA’s most valuable players. In a single-elimination tournament, having a superstar who can deliver a 40-point performance is a major advantage.

The Lakers also have Austin Reaves, who provides another reliable scoring option. His shooting and ability to create offense should help take some pressure off Dončić, particularly against teams with strong perimeter defenses.

Los Angeles faces San Antonio, Golden State, Portland, and Sacramento in West Group C. The Spurs are the clear favorites, but the Lakers have enough talent to challenge them for first place.

At +2500, Los Angeles is an interesting sleeper. Dončić gives the Lakers a chance against almost anyone, but their defensive consistency, even with Walker Kessler, remains a concern. If their supporting cast steps up, another NBA Cup championship isn’t out of the question.

Indiana Pacers (+3500)

The Indiana Pacers enter the 2026 NBA Cup as one of the bigger longshots, but they shouldn’t be completely overlooked. Indiana has shown it can compete in high-pressure games, and its fast-paced offense could make it a dangerous opponent.

Tyrese Haliburton remains the key to Indiana’s success. His passing, court vision, and outside shooting make him one of the league’s most talented point guards. When healthy, Haliburton can control the tempo and create scoring opportunities for his teammates.

Pascal Siakam provides another important offensive weapon. His ability to score inside, attack mismatches, and contribute defensively gives Indiana a reliable option when its outside shots aren’t falling.

However, the Pacers face a difficult path through East Group B. They’ll compete against Philadelphia, New York, Cleveland, and Miami, leaving very little room for mistakes during group play.

At +3500, Indiana offers a potentially attractive payout, but there’s plenty of risk involved. The Pacers need Haliburton healthy and their offense operating at a high level to challenge the favorites, but they’re capable of surprising stronger opponents!

2026 NBA Cup Winner Prediction and Betting Pick

My 2026 NBA Cup betting prediction is San Antonio to win at +375. The Spurs have the right mix of superstar talent, defensive strength, and motivation to win this year’s NBA Cup.

The Spurs came painfully close last season, losing to the Knicks in the championship game. That experience should help a young team that now understands what it takes to survive the tournament’s knockout rounds. They also lost to the Knicks in the NBA Finals, adding another layer of motivation for the Spurs.

Victor Wembanyama is my biggest reason for backing San Antonio. His ability to dominate both ends of the floor gives the Spurs an advantage that few opponents can match. With De’Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, and Stephon Castle supporting him, San Antonio also has enough offensive talent to compete in close games.

Oklahoma City was arguably the safer choice, but I prefer San Antonio at the same +375 NBA Cup betting odds after the Jalen Williams injury. The Spurs have a favorable path through group play and enough talent to beat the Thunder if they meet in the knockout rounds.

The Bet
San Antonio Spurs
Lucky Rebel
+375

About the Author
Finn Archer profile picture
Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years experience publishing articles on sports, iGaming, travel, and politics. He has a particular passion for soccer and MMA as both a fan and a bettor, but he enjoys placing wagers on other sports, entertainment, political events, and casino games. Since joining The Sports Geek he has been sharing his wisdom to help give you the best chance at making winning bets.
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