2023 NFL Week 11 Odds and Predictions

2023 NFL Week 11 Odds

Following a thrilling Week 10 slate, where a record five games were decided by last-second field goals, we eagerly turn our attention to the opening NFL Week 11 odds at the best NFL betting sites.

A heavyweight matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens kicks off Week 11 on Thursday Night Football at M&T Bank Stadium. The week ends with another huge showdown as the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs meet on Monday Night Football.

Let’s get started on our NFL Week 11 predictions, including the point spread, moneyline, and over-under wagers. NFL odds are courtesy of Bovada.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds

Cincinnati Bengals+4 (-115)+170Over 44 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens-4 (-105)-200Under 44 (-110)

The Bengals and Ravens open the Week 11 schedule with a monumental showdown in the AFC. If we discard their last-second losses in Week 10, these are two of the hottest teams in football converging in and AFC North showdown.

Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson will take the spotlight, but the defenses should stiffen up after taking it on the chin last week. The Bengals used a stingy defense to beat the Ravens in this past year’s NFL Wild Card Round for a 24-17 victory.

This should be a competitive game with both teams reaching peak form after both teams appeared to be looking ahead to this week. There isn’t much that separates the Bengals and Ravens when they are at their best. Expect a matchup decided by a field goal.

Bengals vs. Ravens Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Cincinnati Bengals +4 (-115)
  • Moneyline Bet: Cincinnati Bengals (+170)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 44 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans Odds

Arizona Cardinals+5 (-110)+195Over 49 (-110)
Houston Texans-5 (-110)-235Under 49 (-110)

Kyler Murray will make his second start of the season at Houston against the Texans. Last week, he led the Cardinals to a 25-23 win over the Falcons. 

This line is shorter than many people would have thought, but the logic is that the Texans are in a letdown spot after beating the Bengals on the road. In addition to Murray’s return, the Cardinals have James Conner back on the field.

C.J. Stroud likely pulls this out, but the Cardinals can keep this within a field goal in a back-and-forth contest.

Cardinals vs. Texans Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Arizona Cardinals +5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Houston Texans (-235)
  • Over-Under Bet: Over 49 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

Los Angeles Chargers-3.5 (-105)-185Over 44 (-110)
Green Bay Packers+3.5 (-115)+160Under 44 (-110)

After a tough matchup at home versus the Lions, the Chargers are on the road to face another NFC North opponent. Football betting sites have the Packers as a 3.5-point underdog against the Chargers at home.

Green Bay doesn’t have Justin Herbert, but they do have a defensive advantage over the Chargers. This should be a spot for Jordan Love and the Packers to look in sync against a mediocre secondary.

Consider backing the Packers to cover and potentially win outright on the moneyline. The Chargers have to be exhausted after chasing the Lions around in a shootout.

Chargers vs. Packers Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Green Bay Packers +3.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline Bet: Green Bay Packers (+160)
  • Over-Under Bet: Over 44 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins Odds

Las Vegas Raiders+9.5 (-110)+360Over 48 (-110)
Miami Dolphins-9.5 (-110)-500Under 48 (-110)

The Dolphins have had issues winning a marquee game against an elite opponent. However, they’ve handled their business otherwise.

Despite coming off a loss in Germany against the Chiefs, it was an evenly matched game. The Chiefs came up with a big defensive play for 6 points, while the Dolphins did not. That was the difference.

Despite the loss, the defense played well against Patrick Mahomes. With Xavien Howard and Jalen Ramsey finally on the field together, the Dolphins’ defense stepped up.

Expect the Raiders to have trouble moving the ball, as Tua Tagovailoa and company light up the scoreboard coming off a bye. Lay the points.

Raiders vs. Dolphins Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Miami Dolphins -9.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Miami Dolphins (-500)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 48 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

Tennessee Titans+6 (-110)+235Over 40.5 (-110)
Jacksonville Jaguars-6 (-110)-285Under 40.5 (-110)

In Will Levis’ fourth pro start, the Titans travel to Jacksonville for a hard-nosed battle against the Jaguars. The verdict is out on Levis as the Titans’ franchise QB, but he certainly has NFL arm strength.

That isn’t going to be sufficient to hang around with Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars, though. Look for Josh Allen and the Jags’ defense to overwhelm Levis, while Lawrence and the offense bounce back after struggling against the 49ers.

Anything under a touchdown appears like solid value on the Jaguars to cover.

Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars -6 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars (-285)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 40.5 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers+4.5 (-115)+165Over 37.5 (-110)
Cleveland Browns-4.5 (-105)-200Under 37.5 (-110)

The Browns are looking to even the regular season series up against the Steelers in this one. Pittsburgh won the first meeting by a score of 26-22 in September at Acisure Stadium.

Following a physical game and upset over the Ravens, the Browns are likely going to enter this one feeling slightly anemic.

Kenny Pickett will not have an easy time dissecting the Browns’ defense, but T.J. Watt and the pass rush should set him up in prime field position. Expect this matchup to be a defensive struggle.

The value is on the underdog plus the points. Consider siding with the Steelers at +4.5.

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline Bet: Cleveland Browns (-200)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 37.5 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers Odds

Dallas Cowboys-8.5 (-115)-400Over 41.5 (-110)
Carolina Panthers+8.5 (-105)+310Under 41.5 (-110)

After dropping a nail-biter to the Eagles in Week 9, the Cowboys have a favorable schedule over the next few weeks. Last week, they welcomed the Giants to AT&T Stadium, where they proceeded to embarrass them for a 49-17 win.

Their next two opponents are the Panthers and Commanders, before seeing the Eagles again on December 10. It presents a terrific opportunity for the Cowboys to gain confidence.

They most certainly should be chomping at the bit against Bryce Young and a struggling Panthers’ offensive line. If Young isn’t hitting open receivers, he is trying to evade pass rushers in the backfield.

It won’t go well against a Cowboys’ defense that can abuse a porous offensive line. Look for the Cowboys to pull away for a win and cover.

Cowboys vs. Panthers Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline Bet: Dallas Cowboys (-400)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 41.5 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Odds

Chicago Bears+9 (-110)+305Over 46.5 (-110)
Detroit Lions-9 (-110)-410Under 46.5 (-110)

After Justin Fields was expected to return last week, Tyson Bagent ultimately led the Bears to a 16-13 win over the Panthers. With extra time off following an appearance on Thursday Night Football and a bye week, Fields should be ready to suit up.

The Lions should win at home, but the point spread looks too inflated. Despite their issues, the Bears have stiffened up defensively, especially against the run.

The Bears have had more than enough time to prepare for the Lions. If they come out flat, head coach Matt Eberflus didn’t do his job in the more than two weeks of prep time.

Nevertheless, the Bears should be competitive to keep the final score within nine points.

Bears vs. Lions Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Chicago Bears +9 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Detroit Lions (-410)
  • Over-Under Bet: Over 46.5 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Odds

New York Giants+9.5 (-110)+330Over 36.5 (-110)
Washington Commanders-9.5 (-110)-440Under 36.5 (-110)

As Daniel Jones and Tyrod Taylor attend to injuries, the Giants have settled on Tommy DeVito and Matt Barkley at QB.

Unfortunately for Giants fans, those two quarterbacks aren’t going to win many games. However, they can help earn a high draft pick for the 2024 NFL Draft.

The Giants are coming off a horrific 49-17 loss to the Cowboys on the road. But, laying -9.5 points is hard to do on the Commanders. As bad as the Giants are, they should have some pride to avoid losing by double digits against an average Washington squad.

Giants vs. Commanders Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: New York Giants +9.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Washington Commanders (-440)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 36.5 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers+10.5 (-110)+425Over 42 (-110)
San Francisco 49ers-10.5 (-110)-550Under 42 (-110)

Several people were jumping off the 49ers bandwagon after going on a multi-game losing streak. The skid coincided with injuries to key players including Deebo Samuel.

Last week, the dynamic playmaker returned and the 49ers looked completely different in a 34-3 road victory over the Jaguars. Back at Levi’s Stadium, expect the 49ers to continue to turn a corner in Week 11.

The defense should force Mayfield into multiple mistakes, while the offense has their best performance in weeks. Expect the 49ers to look like the Super Bowl 58 contender that people saw earlier in the season for a two-touchdown win.

Buccaneers vs. 49ers Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: San Francisco 49ers -10.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: San Francisco 49ers (-550)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 42 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams Odds

Seattle Seahawks-3 (-110)-150Over 44.5 (-110)
Los Angeles Rams+3 (-110)+130Under 44.5 (-110)

After a disastrous experiment with Brett Rypien under center, Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford should be back on the field for the Rams.

Stafford’s absence came shortly after Cooper Kupp made his debut this season. The Rams have been trying to make it work with the hand that they’ve been dealt. But this season has been a rollercoaster so far.

With Stafford at the controls, the Rams are getting value as a home underdog in this NFC West showdown. The Rams’ NFL Week 11 odds are worth a look for your betting card at sports betting sites.

Seahawks vs. Rams Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Los Angeles Rams +3 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Los Angeles Rams (+130)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 44.5 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

New York Jets+7 (-110)+270Over 40.5 (-110)
Buffalo Bills– 7 (-110)-340Under 40.5 (-110)

Zach Wilson and the Jets travel to Orchard Park for a tricky assignment versus the Bills.

The Jets’ defense will look impressive at times, but for how much longer can they bail out this putrid offense? Wilson can’t be trusted, especially on the road at Buffalo.

It shouldn’t take too many positive offensive drives for the Bills to assert their control of this game. The Jets’ offense is unlikely to have an answer after falling behind on the scoreboard.

Jets vs. Bills Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Buffalo Bills -7 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Buffalo Bills (-340)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 40.5 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos Odds

Minnesota Vikings+1.5 (-110)+110Over 43 (-110)
Denver Broncos-1.5 (-110)-130Under 43 (-110)

The Vikings visit the Broncos at Mile High Stadium in Week 11. Do you have faith in Joshua Dobbs to lead the Vikings to an upset on the road?

It’s possible, but he could run into a few issues against a Broncos’ defense which was outstanding in their last performance at home. In Week 9, the Broncos upset the Chiefs in a 24-9 final as eight-point underdogs.

On Sunday Night Football, expect Russell Wilson to put a strong showing together. Dobbs has been a great success story after wins over the Falcons and Saints. However, we are siding with the Broncos as slight favorites at home.

Vikings vs. Broncos Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Denver Broncos -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Denver Broncos (-130)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 43 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Philadelphia Eagles+2.5 (-110)+115Over 49 (-110)
Kansas City Chiefs-2.5 (-110)-135Under 49 (-110)

This is the most highly anticipated game of the week. It’s a rematch from Super Bowl LVII between the Eagles and Chiefs. And it takes place on Monday Night Football for all to see. If you are tired of hearing about the Kelce brothers and Taylor Swift, unfortunately, it won’t get any better.

Whoever wins this game will likely be the favorite to win the Super Bowl on Tuesday morning.

You could make a good argument for both sides, but the Eagles’ offense has been easier to trust this season. It sounds crazy, but the Chiefs have been disjointed offensively. They’ve often leaned on their defense to win games.

Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown have developed into a formidable duo for the Eagles. All the value is on the underdog Eagles at Arrowhead Stadium.

Eagles vs. Chiefs Prediction:

  • Point Spread Bet: Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Bet: Philadelphia Eagles (+115)
  • Over-Under Bet: Under 49 (-110)

Place Your Bets Now!

Best NFL Bets This Week

With all the Week 11 matchups covered, let’s look at the NFL best bets for this week. We have two point spread bets highlighted as our best NFL bets for Week 11.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-7)

Despite the defense being outstanding, the Jets’ offense is dreadfully bad under Wilson. They can’t generate any type of rhythm, as Wilson has no chemistry with his receivers.

However, the Bills can simply stack the box and dare Wilson to throw the ball. It’s unlikely that the Jets will get out to a big enough lead to be able to lean on the running game. Wilson needs to come up with a big play or two, which probably won’t be there.

Allen doesn’t have to lead the Bills up and down the field for 30+ points to win and cover the spread. The Jets’ offense should allow the Bills to win by double digits without needing Allen to pass for 300+ yards and three touchdowns.

The Bet

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-6)

The Jaguars are on the heels of their biggest loss of the season. Lawrence and company ran into an angry steamroller, as the 49ers dismantled the Jaguars by a score of 34-3 to fall to 6-3 on the season. We cashed in on the 49ers as one of our best NFL bets of Week 10.

After three straight losses and a bye week, there weren’t many teams in the NFL that would have been able to stop the 49ers in Week 10. With that ugly performance out of the way, the Jaguars will prepare for an AFC South showdown versus the Titans.

Last week, Levis played poorly in a 20-6 loss to the Buccaneers. The pass rush was too much for Levis, as he looked overwhelmed with the assignment.

It won’t get any easier against a Jaguars squad that should be in much better shape after getting blown out. Expect a focused effort on both sides of the ball.

Levis could face more growing pains on the road at EverBank Stadium. With the Texans coming on hard in the division, look for the Jaguars to show that they are still the team to beat in the AFC South.

The Bet

Best NFL Week 11 Parlay

For our last NFL Week 11 pick, let’s play our best NFL parlay ticket at Bovada. If you are looking for the best NFL parlay odds, consider signing up with Bovada and collecting your free $250 or $750 betting bonus. The full $750 bonus will require an initial deposit with a cryptocurrency.

On a $100 wager, the following five-team NFL Week 11 parlay has the potential for possible winnings of $1,091.20:

  • Buffalo Bills (-340)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (-285)
  • Los Angeles Rams +3 (-110)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5 (-115)
  • Denver Broncos -1.5 (-110)
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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