Picking the Monday Night Football best bets week after week is a tough task, but our team is here to help. The Sports Geek will review hundreds of markets available each Monday, delivering expert MNF betting picks for player props, team props, and traditional markets like totals, spreads, and moneylines.
Check this page regularly for the latest picks and tips the team at The Sports Geek has prepared for this week. For Week 8, the Washington Commanders and Kansas City Chiefs square off at Arrowhead Stadium.
Here are our top Week 8 Monday Night Football predictions for what is lots of action on the board this week.
MNF Best Bets This Week: Commanders vs. Chiefs
Monday Night Football Odds and Betting Lines for Week 8
The best NFL betting sites have a variety of MNF odds available for the Week 8 showdown between the Commanders and Chiefs in Kansas City. The main markets, including the point spread and total, are on the board at most major sportsbooks.
Now, let’s delve into the MNF matchup this evening and reveal my best Monday Night Football betting picks below! Here, you can find the latest MNF odds, courtesy of Lucky Rebel:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | +10.5 (-110) | +525 | Over 47 (-110) |
| KC Chiefs | -10.5 (-110) | -800 | Under 47 (-110) |
The Kansas City Chiefs (-800) are heavy favorites to defeat the Washington Commanders (+525) at Arrowhead on Monday night. As a huge -800 favorite, the Chiefs have an 88.9% implied probability to win outright. They are also double-digit favorites to cover the point spread.
In short, online bookies are expecting this to be a lopsided affair in Kansas City. Based on recent results, this matchup appears to be a situation of teams heading in opposite directions, and the odds back that up.
The offenses are expected to find some traction in this contest. The over/under is set at 47 points, which suggests it’s unlikely to be a true defensive battle on Monday Night Football.
If you are interested in alternative lines and unique MNF prop bets tonight, Lucky Rebel has a wide selection of options. You can find the most up-to-date MNF betting odds at Lucky Rebel by navigating to Sports > Football > NFL > Commanders vs. Chiefs.
Monday Night Football Betting Trends
There are some key betting trends to keep in mind before placing your best Thursday Night Football bets!
I’ve dug through several trends for this matchup and have isolated the best to consider for the Commanders vs. Chiefs matchup:
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 16-1 outright in their previous 17 games at home.
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their previous five games.
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 7-3 against the spread (ATS) in their previous 10 games in October.
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in their previous four games at Arrowhead Stadium.
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-0 against the spread (ATS) in their previous eight games versus the Washington Commanders.
- The Washington Commanders are 0-5 outright in their previous five games at Arrowhead Stadium.
- The Washington Commanders are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their previous five games on the road.
- The OVER is 4-2 in the previous six meetings between the Washington Commanders and Kansas City Chiefs.
- The OVER is 8-1 in the Washington Commanders’ previous nine games versus the AFC.
MNF Football Prediction and Betting Pick: Commanders vs. Chiefs
The Chiefs have re-discovered their form, which could mean bad news for the rest of the NFL. Following a mediocre start to the season, which included a season-opening loss to the Chargers and Week 2 to the Eagles, the Chiefs are back on track.
They suffered from a small Super Bowl-losing hangover to open the season, but the Chiefs have managed to find that killer instinct again. When everything is working in Kansas City, the Chiefs have that look in their eyes that is tough to duplicate.
Over the last two weeks, they’ve looked like a Super Bowl contender again. After dispatching a good Detroit Lions team 30-17, the Chiefs blasted the Las Vegas Raiders by a score of 34-0! As a result, QB Patrick Mahomes’ NFL MVP odds skyrocketed to the top of the board.
Patrick Mahomes in his last four games:
— PFF (@PFF) October 20, 2025
🔴 79.8% adjusted completion rate
🟡 1,256 total yards
🔴 13 total TDs, 1 INT
🟡 117.2 passer rating https://t.co/CirEI4Fhuu pic.twitter.com/AJOJAedwDL
Mahomes has been locked in, with 11 touchdown passes and just one interception in his last four games. The two-time regular season MVP is playing with loads of confidence and delivering for the Chiefs. Overall, the Chiefs are in the top five, averaging 370.6 yards per game.
Now, with WR Rashee Rice back on the field, expect the offense to take a big chunk out of the Commanders. Washington is 27th in the NFL, with 364.3 yards conceded per contest. That number rises to 396 yards on the road. The secondary hasn’t been at its best against the pass, as they’re 25th in yards allowed through the air.
Commanders’ WR Terry McLaurin could make his return this week, but we’ve heard the same for the last two weeks. He hasn’t played since September 21 against the Raiders. McLaurin and WR Deebo Samuel back on the field together would give the Commanders a decent boost, though they’d have to contend with an aggressive Chiefs’ defense and QB Jayden Daniels is dealing with a hamstring injury.
Daniels has been ruled out, so veteran QB Marcus Mariota is scheduled to receive the start. Prior to the news, the Chiefs were 10-point favorites to cover the spread. This isn’t good for the Commanders against an aggressive Chiefs’ defense.
Kansas City is fifth with 280.3 yards allowed per game this season. With 174.6 yards passing conceded, the Chiefs have had an elite secondary. They are back in business, and I’m comfortable laying double digits at Arrowhead. They’ve dominated the Commanders at 8-0 ATS in their last eight meetings. Additionally, the Commanders are 0-5 ATS in their previous five matchups on the road.
Expect the Chiefs to continue rolling, so lay the points for your MNF best bets this week!
Team MNF Prop Bets
Leading online bookmakers Lucky Rebel and Bovada have a variety of Monday Night Football prop bets for the Week 8 showdown between the Commanders and Chiefs. Let’s delve into my top team props this week:
Chiefs 1st Quarter Points: Over 6.5 (-145)
- Over 6.5 (-145)
- Under 6.5 (+119)
Look for the Chiefs to get off to a quick start against a Commanders squad that is coming off a 44-22 drubbing versus the Dallas Cowboys. After reaching the NFC Championship last season, the Commanders have been a bit stagnant and disappointing in 2025-26.
The Commanders have been abysmal in the first quarter defensively. They’ve gotten ripped for 7.6 points per opening quarter, which ranks 31st in the NFL. That’s bad news against a Chiefs’ squad that has scored seven points in two of the last three games.
I’m optimistic that the Chiefs will get out to a quick start against a Commanders’ defense struggling to find traction. In short, the Chiefs over 6.5 first quarter points is a solid option for your best MNF prop bets tonight.
Both Teams to Score 7+ 1st Half Points: Yes (-174)
- Yes (-174)
- No (+139)
I have faith in the Chiefs connecting for a quick seven points in the first quarter. However, what about seven points from the Commanders and Chiefs before halftime? This has a strong chance of both sides having a minimum of a touchdown on the scoreboard.
The Chiefs have been one of the better first-half teams in the league. They’ve scored 13.3 points per first half for eighth best. Conversely, the Commanders have been solid, notching an average of 11.3 points in the first half this season.
While the Chiefs’ defense is likely to frustrate the Commanders, Mariota should manage to lead his offense to at least one touchdown. The way I see it, the Commanders should score a touchdown and have a field goal on the board. There should be room to spare on this bet for both sides.
In a 17-10 halftime score or thereabout, consider both teams to score at least seven points for your Week 8 Monday Night Football prop bets this week.
Best Monday Night Football Player Props This Week
Now, let’s delve into the best MNF player prop bets to consider locking this week for Week 8. There are a handful of appealing picks on the board, available at Bovada:
Anytime Touchdown: (WSH) Deebo Samuel (+185)
The Commanders are expected to have McLaurin and Samuel on the field this week. With Mariota under center, the Commanders will look to get the ball into their hands as much as possible.
Daniels to Deebo for the TD!
— NFL (@NFL) October 5, 2025
WASvsLAC on FOX/FOX Onehttps://t.co/HkKw7uXnxV pic.twitter.com/wqC4pxRgVx
Samuel is capable of getting the ball in multiple formations, including out of the backfield. Through six games, Samuel has notched 34 receptions for 315 yards and three touchdowns. The 29-year-old wide receiver has scored three touchdowns as a receiver and an extra score on the ground.
As the primary weapon in this game for the Commanders, it’s surprising to see Samuel’s odds at +185. In any event, there is lots of value in this spot, so consider Samuel to score for your Week 8 MNF player prop bets this week.
Anytime Touchdown: (KC) Kareem Hunt (+230)
Another value play to consider as one of the best Monday Night Football props is on Chiefs’ RB Kareem Hunt to score a touchdown. Hunt hasn’t been used as much as Isiah Pacheco in the backfield, but he’s receiving touches around the goal line.
Kareem Hunt powers through the goal line TD
— NFL (@NFL) September 22, 2025
KCvsNYG on NBC
Stream on @NFLPlus + Peacock pic.twitter.com/nrjPazxuWQ
In a game where the Chiefs could take an early lead and run the ball to kill the clock, both running backs should see chances. Pacheco scored his first touchdown last week, while Hunt has found the end zone three times this season.
Last season, Hunt rumbled into the end zone for seven touchdowns and nine in 2023. Getting him at +230 is a great option for this matchup.
Total Receiving Yards: (KC) Travis Kelce Over 46.5 (-115)
- Over 46.5 (-115)
- Under 46.5 (-115)
Taylor Swift’s finance is one of the top player props to cash in Week 8. This is a low total for TE Travis Kelce, who has been heating up as of late. The Chiefs have a favorable matchup against the Commanders’ pass defense.
As I noted, the Commanders are 25th against the pass. They have some holes that Kelce can exploit in the middle of the field. The Commanders’ defense has allowed an average of 52.43 yards per game to tight ends this season.
1st & 20 is no problem for Mahomes and Kelce
— NFL (@NFL) October 19, 2025
LVvsKC on CBS/Paramount+https://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/0pQG0hnyPv
Look for Kelce to get the best of the Commanders in this one. Overall, he’s caught 31 receptions for 375 yards and two touchdowns. Kelce has recorded at least 47 yards in four straight games and in six of seven games in 2025-26.
At +230, Kelce is a bargain to go over the total of 46.5 yards for your best Monday Night props tonight!
Monday Night Football Parlay for Week 8
For my final Monday Night Football betting pick, I am wrapping up my card with a parlay bet that includes three wagers on one ticket. So, the best MNF parlay for my card is the three player props: Samuel TD; Hunt TD; and Kelce over 46.5 yards receiving.
On a $100 wager, bettors can bank a whopping $1,685.00 at massive +1685 odds with a winning bet! Considering this monster return, it’s certainly a wager that should be on your radar for your MNF picks this week at Bovada.
- Samuel: Anytime Touchdown
- Hunt: Anytime Touchdown
- Kelce: Over 46.5 Receiving Yards
Monday Night Football Summary: Commanders vs. Chiefs
The Sports Geek is excited to close out the Week 8 card with our best Monday Night Football bets! Do you like the MNF predictions?
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