Copa America 2024 Group B Odds And Analysis: Will Mexico Prevail?

Copa America 2024 Group B Odds And Analysis: Will Mexico Prevail?

The Copa America Group B odds of the top soccer betting sites suggest a close battle for the top spot! Mexico and Ecuador are the main favorites, but Venezuela and Jamaica will be hoping to find a way to the knockout.

Below, I explore the latest betting lines, provide a complete analysis for each nation, and share my exclusive Copa America Group B predictions!

Copa America 2024 Group B Betting Odds

Group B features a competitive group of nations, including Mexico, Ecuador, Venezuela, and Jamaica. The first two are most likely to progress, though, if we trust the bookies.

Per the latest odds, Mexico has a slight advantage over Ecuador. Nevertheless, both teams are projected to qualify and advance to the knockout stage.

You can find up-to-date Copa America Group B odds at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Soccer > International > Copa America > Copa America Futures > Group B.

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Copa America 2024 Group B Winner Odds

The following Copa America Group B odds are courtesy of Bovada:


Mexico (+115) has the best odds to win Group B at Copa America. As a small favorite, the oddsmakers give the country an implied probability of 46.5% to finish atop Group B.

The Mexican squad’s odds have worsened slightly since last month. In May, the price for the team was +110, so public sentiment has decreased slightly. That said, Mexico is still the favorite to win Group B!

Ecuador (+150) is just behind Mexico and the most likely challenger for the top spot. The bookies give the nation a 40% chance to capture the top of the table.

The odds to win Copa America Group B tail off to Venezuela (+500) and Jamaica (+1000). With an implied probability of just below 10%, Jamaica has the worst odds to win. The underdog’s price to win Group B regressed from +900 to +1000 in the last two weeks.

To Qualify From Group B Odds


In line with the changes to the Group B winner odds, Mexico’s (-375) price to advance from Group B has declined. Previously, the price for the nation to qualify from Group B was -400.

Despite the shift, the oddsmakers still give Mexico a highly favorable chance to advance. The current odds for Jaime Lozano’s squad equal a 78.9% probability of reaching the knockouts.

Jamaica’s (+325) odds of qualifying have decreased, too. The Jamaicans have shifted from +275 to +325. Mexico and Ecuador have favorable prices of qualifying at top sports betting sites, with Venezuela (+150) and Jamaica (+325) having less than a 50% chance.

Mexico (+115) – Which Team Shows Up?

  • Manager: Jaime Lozano
  • FIFA Ranking: 14th
  • Impact Players: Edson Alvarez, Santiago Gimenez, Hirving Lozano
  • Best Copa America Finish: Runner-up (1993, 2001)

If Mexico plays to their full capabilities, they are the class of Group B. However, are they going to be in top form?

The Mexican side is one of the most inconsistent teams at Copa America 2024. They play when they’re interested and then look like a different team in other instances.

This isn’t the same sure-handed Mexican team from the past, so there is an opening here for the favorite to falter. Right out of qualifying?

Highly unlikely, but there could be an upset or two. Mexico’s last three international matches pretty much sum up the program’s current state.

Following a 3-2 loss to Columbia in November, Mexico fired back with a 3-0 win over Panama on March 21. Three days later, though, the Americans handled Mexico in a 2-0 final for the Concacaf Nations League title.

They had similar results throughout most of the competition. Mexico lost the first leg to Honduras, 2-0, they came back in the second leg to win via penalty kicks. Fans won’t be thrilled with their latest prep matches for Copa America 2024.

Following a 4-0 loss to Uruguay and 3-2 to Brazil in June, confidence in their team has to be at an all-time low with the tournament approaching. It’s hard to knock a competitive effort against Brazil, but getting torched by Uruguay is unacceptable.

Mexico received more bad news recently, as Luis Malagon will miss Copa America 2024 with a muscle injury. 27-year-old Carlos Acevedo is expected to replace Malagon in goal. Also, winger Diego Lainez will not be available due to an ankle injury.

Mexico has a slight talent advantage in Group B, but they need to be more consistent to win. They are fortunate to draw this winnable group because it would have been a tough time elsewhere for Jaime Lozano’s squad.

Ecuador (+150) – Is This Ecuador’s Year?

  • Manager: Felix Sanchez
  • FIFA Ranking: 31
  • Impact Players: Enner Valencia, Moises Caicedo, Kendry Paez
  • Best Copa America Finish: 4th (1959, 1993)

Ecuador has never been to a Copa America final, but the future appears to be bright. Could they speed up the process and shock the world with their best finish of all time at Copa America?

If 17-year-old star Kendry Paez can grow exponentially in front of our eyes, Ecuador has a chance to surprise some people. The prodigy is expected to move from Independiente del Valle to Chelsea in 2025 for £17.5 million.

The Lionel Messi comparisons are probably too premature, but the kid is going to be special. He should be one of the most exciting players to watch at Copa America 2024.

This is a good time for soccer fans to learn his name before he starts his tenure in the Premier League. Fortunately, Ecuador also has a solid veteran presence with leading goal-scorer Enner Valencia.

The 34-year-old is a versatile forward with strong passing and dribbling abilities. He is a known finisher who needs to be on point for Ecuador to exceed expectations.

They would have appreciated Brighton’s Pervis Estupinan, but the left-back will be absent with an ankle injury. Estupinan underwent ankle surgery, and will also miss the start of next season’s EPL campaign. It’s a tough loss for an Ecuadorian squad that heavily relied on Estupinan.

Another player to watch is 22-year-old Moises Caicedo, who can dictate the tempo in the middle of the park and impact the game on both ends of the pitch.

Like Mexico, Ecuador is coming off a couple of losses. They were far from terrible, though, as Ecuador fell to EURO 2020 winner Italy, 2-0, and 2022 World Cup champion Argentina, 1-0. Ecuador’s defeat to Italy was their first since September 2023 versus Argentina.

They went six straight matches without a loss, which included wins over Uruguay, Bolivia, Chile, and Guatemala.

While the Copa America 2024 Group B odds suggest that Mexico has the best chance to win, Ecuador will be a formidable foe in the group stage.

Venezuela (+500) – Do They Show Enough Improvement?

  • Manager: Fernando Batista
  • FIFA Ranking: 54
  • Impact Players: Josef Martinez, Salomon Rondon, Tomas Rincón
  • Best Copa America Finish: 4th (2011)

Venezuela’s best finish in a Copa America tournament is 4th, similarly to Ecuador. They did it more recently in 2011, but their squad has been misaligned before picking it back up over the last two years.

The Venezuela soccer program is on the upswing, and in my opinion, deserves more credit by the top betting apps and sites. At +500, the Venezuelans have a 16.7% implied chance to win.

That’s slightly lower than what I have in mind, especially with the possibility of an upset if Mexico doesn’t want to play. Strikers Josef Martinez and Salomon Rondon have the ability to make the rest of this group pay if they’re in lazy form.

My issue with Venezuela is their depth as opposed to Mexico and Ecuador. From what we’ve seen at the last two Copa America tournaments, the Venezuelans are a much-improved side.

However, I believe they are a couple of players away from having enough offense to compete. Since November 2023, Venezuela has scored only two goals in six matches!

They had a draw against Ecuador in a CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying match but were fortunate to avoid a loss. Venezuela is coming along and showing major strides forward. Currently, though, Mexico and Ecuador are a step ahead, so it should be tough to qualify.

Jamaica (+900) – Do The Jamaicans Have A Path To Victory?

  • Manager: Heimir Hallgrimsson
  • FIFA Ranking: 55
  • Impact Players: Leon Bailey, Shamar Nicholson
  • Best Copa America Finish: Group Stage (2015, 2016)

Jamaica is back at Copa America after making their first two appearances in 2015 and 2016. Simply qualifying for the tournament is an accomplishment, but now they are looking for more in their third showing!

They clinched a spot in the Copa with a 3-2 win over Canada in November. Since then, Jamaica has played six international matches — two  friendlies against Trinidad and Tobago, as well as the Concacaf Nations League in March.

Jamaica had mixed results, beating Panama and Trinidad and Tobago once, but a draw in the following match was rather uninspiring. The 3-1 loss to the United States was largely expected, though the defensive breakdowns were frustrating in an otherwise decent attempt.

Most recently, Jamaica met with the Dominican Republic and Dominica in June. Both results ended in favor of the Jamaican side in 1-0 and 3-2 wins.

Aston Villa’s Leon Bailey is by far the biggest earner on this roster. He’s not the only player from a top European league, though, with Shamar Nicholson featuring for Clermont in Ligue 1.

However, Bailey will not be at Copa America, as he continues to be in a dispute with the Jamaican soccer organization. This is a critical blow to a Jamaican team that needs Bailey on the pitch.

He’s a dynamic player and by far the most accomplished current Jamaican player. Jamaica will have to pick up his production elsewhere, which will not be an easy task.

Although Jamaica avoided a “Group of Death” scenario at Copa America, talent-wish they are trailing the rest of their opponents, especially without Bailey.

Jamaica is yet to win a point after their first two Copa America events. They backed into this tournament due to a sloppy strategy and a disheartening team effort from Canada!

The “Reggae Boyz” could earn a point or two this year but need more than Bailey’s scoring touch to do much more damage. Securing a point should be viewed as a successful Copa America 2024 for Jamaica.

Copa America 2024 Group B Predictions and Best Bets

Group B will be one of the most competitive groups at Copa America 2024. Mexico and Ecuador will go head-to-head for the top spot, while I expect Venezuela to be lingering there in the background.

Still, Group B appears like a tight fight between Mexico and Ecuador. The North American country’s inconsistent form makes them a less desirable option. They’ve shown often that putting together consecutive winning performances is a struggle!

Additionally, Mexico isn’t sending the best talent to Copa America compared to what we’ve seen in the past. Ecuador has had issues fulfilling expectations before, but Paez’s presence should provide some extra kick this time. As far as raw talent is concerned, he is the best player in this group.

For my Copa America 2024 Group B predictions, the best bet is to side with the stronger value play. A winning $100 bet on Ecuador yields a return of $150, while you’ll win $110 on Mexico capturing Group B.

The smart soccer betting strategy is to back Ecuador, when the squads are so close.

The Bet
Ecuador To Win Group B

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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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