Best Jahmyr Gibbs Prop Bets: This Week & Season Odds, Picks & Predictions

Total Rushing Yards: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 97.5 (-113)

• • Over 97.5 (-113)
  • Under 97.5 (-117)

Gibbs is coming off another outstanding performance and should remain heavily involved in Detroit’s rushing attack against the Miami Dolphins in Week 9. I’m backing the Lions’ explosive running back to surpass 97.5 rushing yards, especially considering his recent workload and consistent production on the ground.

The favorite for Offensive Player of the Year has been spectacular this season, recording 773 rushing yards on 157 carries through seven games, averaging 4.9 yards per carry and 110.4 rushing yards per game. He’s currently on a three-game streak of 100-yard rushing performances, including 151 yards against Arizona, 116 yards against Green Bay, and an impressive 153 yards on 23 carries against a very stout Minnesota defense in Week 8. He’s also averaging more than 130 rushing yards per game over that three-game stretch.

Jahmyr Gibbs. Grown man.

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Miami’s run defense is a reasonable matchup, though it shouldn’t be overlooked. The Dolphins have allowed 113.1 rushing yards per game through Week 8, for 16th in the NFL, while opponents are averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. Nevertheless, this shouldn’t be a tough challenge for Gibbs on the ground.

The biggest factor here is Gibbs’ recent workload. He’s received at least 23 carries in each of his last three games, with Dan Campbell trusting him as the centerpiece of the offense.

Detroit also has one of the league’s most productive offenses. In other words, the Lions should get out to a quick lead, and then rely heavily on Gibbs. Look for another 100+ yard performance for Gibbs, so consider adding this prop to your card.

Total Receiving Yards: Over 34.5 (-113)

• • Over 34.5 (-113)
  • Under 34.5 (-117)

While Gibbs has done most of his damage on the ground recently, he’s consistently involved in Detroit’s passing attack and has the explosiveness to clear this number on just a handful of catches.

Gibbs has accumulated 34 receptions for 285 receiving yards through seven games, averaging 8.4 yards per reception and 40.7 receiving yards per game. He’s averaging 4.9 receptions and 6.3 targets per contest, with a healthy workload as a pass-catching option out of the backfield.

Detroit has plenty of ways to get him involved, whether that’s screen passes, checkdowns, or designed plays that allow him to use his speed against linebackers and defensive backs. I also like that this line is relatively modest compared to Gibbs’ season average of 40.7 receiving yards per game.

Jahmyr Gibbs with the big run and gain 🏃@NYJvsDET on CBS/Paramount+
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He doesn’t need a massive receiving performance to cash this ticket, and just five receptions at his season average of 8.4 yards per catch would put him comfortably Over the threshold. So, Over 34.5 receiving yards qualifies as one of the best Jahmyr Gibbs prop bets this week.

First Touchdown: Jahmyr Gibbs (+260)

The Lions’ star running back has been one of the NFL’s most productive touchdown scorers this season, and his significant role near the goal line makes +260 an attractive price.

Gibbs has scored 10 total touchdowns through seven games, including eight rushing touchdowns and two receiving scores. He’s found the end zone in six of seven appearances. The 24-year-old former Alabama product also scored twice against Arizona in Week 5 and added another rushing touchdown against Minnesota last week.

What makes this pick particularly appealing is Gibbs’ dominance in the red zone. He’s recorded 38 red-zone carries through seven games, accounting for approximately 93% of Detroit’s running back red-zone carries. He’s also converted those attempts into seven rushing touchdowns. That workload gives him an excellent opportunity to get the Lions on the scoreboard first.

Detroit has an explosive offense capable of putting together an early scoring drive, and Gibbs is one of its most dangerous weapons. It’s also worth noting that the Dolphins aren’t too much of a threat offensively, as they’re 31st with 16.7 points per game. Gibbs at +260 is a tremendous first touchdown bet in Week 9.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year: Jahmyr Gibbs (+175)

I’m increasingly convinced he’s the clear pick for Offensive Player of the Year at this stage of the season. The Detroit Lions’ running back has been outstanding through the first eight weeks, with an elite combination of rushing production, receiving ability, and touchdowns.

Gibbs further strengthened his case in Week 8 with a dominant performance against the Minnesota Vikings, one of the tougher defensive opponents in the NFL. He exploded for 153 rushing yards on 23 carries, averaging 6.7 yards per attempt while finding the end zone. That performance was another reminder of how difficult he is to contain, even against quality defenses.

The betting market has also taken notice. Gibbs was available at +260 on October 30, but his odds have shortened to +175 following his dominant Week 8 performance. That’s a significant shift in the market and reflects just how much his stock has risen after another statement performance.

Through eight games, Gibbs has established himself as one of the league’s most productive offensive players. His ability to take over games on the ground while contributing as a receiver makes him incredibly valuable to Detroit’s high-powered offense. He’s also been a consistent touchdown threat, giving him an additional advantage in the race.

Even at +175, Gibbs is worth backing to win Offensive Player of the Year.

NFL Regular Season MVP: Jahmyr Gibbs (+6000)

Gibbs to win NFL MVP at +6000 is certainly an interesting longshot, especially considering the outstanding season he’s putting together. However, there are a few reasons I’m hesitant to get behind him in this market.

Gibbs has been one of the NFL’s most dominant offensive players through the first eight weeks, and his recent performances have strengthened his case for individual awards. The Lions are also showing signs of improvement as a team, which is encouraging for Gibbs’ MVP chances.

However, I remain concerned about Detroit’s defense even though they’ve seemingly turned a corner. Injuries have taken a toll on that side of the football, including a serious neck injury to LB Jack Campbell, and I believe those issues could become increasingly difficult to overcome as the season progresses. For Gibbs to have a legitimate shot at MVP, Detroit likely needs to finish near the top of the NFC and enjoy considerable team success.

There’s also the historical hurdle of a running back winning the award. Adrian Peterson in 2012 was the last non-quarterback to win NFL MVP, and quarterbacks have dominated the award ever since. That makes Gibbs’ path considerably more difficult, regardless of how impressive his individual numbers become.

I won’t completely dismiss his chances, particularly with the season he’s having, but I don’t see the Lions achieving the level of team success necessary to get Gibbs over the line. Despite his outstanding production, I’m passing on this futures market.