Week 4 NFL First TD Scorer Predictions and Best Bets for Sunday

Derrick Henry (+200): Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

Ravens’ RB Derrick Henry stands out as one of the strongest first touchdown candidates on the Week 4 board, particularly with Baltimore hosting his former team.

Henry has scored the first touchdown 29 times in his career, the most among active Ravens’ players. He also opened the scoring in three of Baltimore’s last four home games.

Derrick Henry direct snap TD!@BALvsDAL on CBS/Paramount+
Stream on @NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/63KZ1b7UEq

— NFL (@NFL) September 27, 2026

The matchup also sets up well for Baltimore to establish Henry early. The Ravens have scored seven rushing touchdowns through their first three games, while the Titans have allowed three rushing touchdowns. Baltimore has also scored the first touchdown in five of their last seven games.

Henry is already a heavy favorite in the anytime touchdown betting market, which reflects his strong probability of finding the end zone. Getting +200 on him to score first gives us a chance to capitalize, which looks like a solid option.

If you’re looking through the first TD scorer predictions on Sunday night, Henry is one of the players who deserves serious consideration because of his consistent role inside the red zone.

Jonathan Taylor (+280): Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders

Jonathan Taylor is another running back with a proven track record of scoring early. He has scored the first touchdown 23 times since the beginning of the 2020 season, the most among active Colts’ players.

Even more importantly, Indianapolis has scored the first touchdown in each of its last seven games.

Taylor is also coming off a rare scoreless performance, making a bounce-back touchdown particularly interesting. He remains heavily involved in the Colts’ offense and should continue to see opportunities around the goal line.

FIRST TOUCHDOWN OF WEEK 1 SUNDAY BELONGS TO JONATHAN TAYLOR!!!! pic.twitter.com/utKzr1aigL

— NFL Fantasy Football (@NFLFantasy) September 13, 2026

Washington’s run defense creates some concern, but Taylor’s workload keeps him firmly in consideration. Indianapolis has consistently gotten on the board first, and Taylor remains one of the team’s most important options when it gets close to the goal line.

For bettors researching first TD scorer predictions this week, Taylor offers a strong combination of first-touchdown history, offensive volume, and a solid price at +280.

Kyren Williams (+525): Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Rams’ RB Kyren Williams provides the highest price of our three selections and brings an excellent first-touchdown track record into Sunday’s matchup. Williams has scored the first touchdown 16 times since the beginning of the 2023 season, the most among active Rams players.

The Rams have also scored the first touchdown in each of their first three games this season, while Williams has opened the scoring in two of the team’s last five games. That combination makes him particularly appealing in a market where early offensive involvement is critical.

KYREN WILLIAMS WITH THE FIRST TD IN MELBOURNE 🇦🇺

SFvsLAR on Netflix pic.twitter.com/CjFycKPGBm

— NFL (@NFL) September 11, 2026

Williams also has a clear role as the Rams’ primary rushing option near the goal line. At +525, he offers considerably more upside than the shorter-priced options while still bringing a strong combination of workload and scoring potential.

Among our first TD scorer predictions, Williams is the longest-priced option and provides an attractive way to target the first touchdown market for a huge payout.

For bettors looking through the first TD scorer predictions this week, Williams makes our shortlist for best bets.